Toronto (1-0) at Edmonton (0-2)
When: Sunday, June 25th 2023
Where: Commonwealth Stadium,
Edmonton, Alberta
Time: 7:00 ET | TV: ESPN+
Opening Odds: Toronto -6.5/44.5
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The Toronto Argonauts will look to carry their momentum from an opening-season victory last week when they visit the hapless Edmonton Elks on Sunday night. This is the final game of Week 3 and myself and Bobby Babowski are a combined 16-6 (73%) so far this season.
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With nine teams in the CFL, at least one team has to sit out a week and that was Toronto in Week 1. The Argos got their season underway last week with an easy 32-14 victory over the favored Hamilton Tiger-Cats thanks to great defense. Since the end of last season, Toronto is on a 3-1-1 ATS run and have covered five of seven against losing teams.
Meanwhile, Edmonton has played twice and have scored a total of 13 points. They were shutout 22-0 at B.C. last weekend after opening the season with a 17-13 setback at home against Saskatchewan. Edmonton is just 17-37 ATS in their last 54 at home and 1-4 ATS in their last five against teams with a winning record. However, the Elks have won four of the last five meetings with the Argonauts, covering the spread in four of them.
New quarterback Chad Kelly is off to a hot start with Toronto after the first week. Kelly finished the day 14-of-23 for 238 yards along with 28 rushing yards and three touchdowns. Wideout Damonte Cox hauled in 131 receiving yards as the Argos rolled over the Tiger-Cats. The defense held Bo Levi Mitchell to just 161 passing yards, no touchdowns and two interceptions. It was a strong showing for the Argos after dropping both preseason games.
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The Edmonton offense is having all sorts of trouble moving the football through two games. They rank dead-last in total offense (216 ypg), passing yards (152.5) and points (6.5). Quarterback Taylor Cornelius had a measly 91 passing yards last week while the team ran for just 54 yards. They also managed just seven first downs the entire game. The defense ranks last against the run (127.0) but second against the pass (251.5).
All stats point towards a Toronto mauling, but the oddsmakers are begging you to lay the 6.5. Edmonton can’t be that bad on offense for three weeks in a row and always play Toronto tough. I’ll take the points.
Pick: Edmonton +6.5
