Alouettes vs Blue Bombers Preview, Odds, Trends, & Free Pick [Week 6]

By
Jay Cooper
-

Montreal (2-3, 4 pts) at Winnipeg (2-2, 4 pts)
When: Thursday, July 27th 2017
Where: Investors Group Field, Winnipeg, Manitoba
Time: 8:30 ET | TV: ESPN 2, TSN, RDS
Opening Odds: Winnipeg -4/51

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The Winnipeg Blue Bombers will host the Montreal Alouettes to kick-off Week 6 of the CFL season at Investors Group Field on Thursday night in Manitoba. Winnipeg is coming off a tough 45-42 loss to British Columbia last week when they were outscored by the Lions 18-0 in the fourth quarter after winning the third quarter 21-0. British Columbia took the lead for good with a field goal in the final minute in what was a rematch of last year’s Western semifinal. Winnipeg quarterback Matt Nichols threw for 254 yards with three touchdown passes and an interception. Wide receiver Darvin Adams recorded 87 yards and a pair of touchdowns, including a one-handed grab in the corner of the end zone. Running back Andrew Harris had an all-around nice game with 29 yards rushing and 12 catches for 85 yards. Linebacker Maurice Leggett will miss his second straight week with an undisclosed lower-body injury and being scratched from the Bombers’ lineup last week against BC. Winnipeg will be in Ottawa next Friday to take on the REDBLACKS in Week 7.

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Montreal also fell in a close contest in Week 5 – a 24-19 loss to the reigning Grey Cup Champion Ottawa REDBLACKS. Montreal scored two second half touchdowns to pull within five points of Ottawa’s lead midway through the second half, but couldn’t get any closer. The Als managed to find their way into the red zone with less than three minutes on the clock, but Ottawa’s defense came up big by denying a third down rush attempt to hold on for the win. Quarterback Darian Durant racked up 452 passing yards, throwing two touchdowns and two interceptions in the Alouettes loss while receivers Ernest Jackson and B.J. Cunningham recorded 101 receiving yards each. Fellow wideout Nik Lewis became only the fourth player in CFL history to record 1,000 catches in his career. The Als will be without receiver Tiquan Underwood, who is out with an ankle injury and taking his place in the starting lineup in his CFL debut will be 24-year-old Eugene Lewis. Also out of the lineup this week is starting running back Tyrell Sutton (295 yards), who is dealing with a calf injury.

These two teams split last year’s two meetings with the road team winning outright both times. Montreal has been terrific against the spread on the road especially as a dog. The underdogs have been covering this season at a very high rate, so I’m going to stick with that trend in this one. Take the points.

Pick: Alouettes +3.5

ATS TRENDS

Montreal
  • Alouettes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
  • Alouettes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.
  • Alouettes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
  • Alouettes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
  • Alouettes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 6.
  • Alouettes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.
  • Alouettes are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog.
  • Alouettes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
  • Alouettes are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 Thursday games.
Winnipeg
  • Blue Bombers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 6.
  • Blue Bombers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
  • Blue Bombers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
  • Blue Bombers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in July.
  • Blue Bombers are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 Thursday games.
  • Blue Bombers are 11-23 ATS in their last 34 games as a favorite.
  • Blue Bombers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 0.5-3.0.

OU TRENDS

Montreal
  • Under is 4-0 in Alouettes last 4 Thursday games.
  • Under is 5-1 in Alouettes last 6 road games.
  • Under is 8-2 in Alouettes last 10 games in July.
  • Under is 21-8 in Alouettes last 29 games as a road underdog.
  • Under is 25-10-1 in Alouettes last 36 games following a straight up loss.
  • Under is 5-2 in Alouettes last 7 games in Week 6.
  • Under is 29-12 in Alouettes last 41 games following a ATS loss.
  • Under is 37-16 in Alouettes last 53 games as an underdog.
  • Under is 9-4 in Alouettes last 13 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
  • Under is 43-21-1 in Alouettes last 65 games overall.
Winnipeg
  • Over is 4-0 in Blue Bombers last 4 games following a straight up loss.
  • Over is 4-0 in Blue Bombers last 4 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
  • Over is 5-1 in Blue Bombers last 6 games as a favorite.
  • Over is 13-3 in Blue Bombers last 16 games overall.
  • Over is 4-1 in Blue Bombers last 5 games as a home favorite.
  • Over is 8-2 in Blue Bombers last 10 games following a ATS win.
  • Under is 4-1-1 in Blue Bombers last 6 Thursday games.
  • Under is 9-3 in Blue Bombers last 12 games as a home favorite of 0.5-3.0.
  • Over is 18-7-1 in Blue Bombers last 26 vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Under is 5-2 in Blue Bombers last 7 games in Week 6.
  • Under is 12-5-2 in Blue Bombers last 19 home games.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Winnipeg.

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