Alabama vs Penn State Trends and Free Pick [9/10/2011]

Alabama (1-0) at Penn State (1-0)
When: Saturday, September 10th, 2011
Where: Beaver Stadium, State College, PA
Time: 3:30 ET

The point spread for Saturday’s game between the Alabama Crimson Tide and Penn State Nittany Lions opened up at -10 in favor of the road team at Bovada Sportsbook. The line has not moved as of Thursday afternoon. The total opened up at 43.5 and has since moved down to 42. Right now, 80%% of the betting public is on the Tide. To help you better decide who to bet, take a look at these trends for tonight.

Crimson Tide are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in September.

Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.

Nittany Lions are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.

Nittany Lions are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Under is 6-1-1 in Crimson Tide last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Under is 4-1-1 in Crimson Tide last 6 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.

Under is 7-1 in Nittany Lions last 8 non-conference games.

Under is 6-1 in Nittany Lions last 7 vs. SEC.

My Prediction: Almost a year ago to the day, the Penn State Nittany Lions will be looking for revenge from Alabama’s dominating 24-3 win in Tuscaloosa last year. Trent Richardson ran for 144 yards last year against Penn State and looks to carry the load this year now that Mark Ingram is in the NFL. The Lions running attack is led by Silas Redd. The Sophomore, taking over for Evan Royster, ran for 104 yards and 2 touchdowns in a win over Indiana State last week. Both teams are still trying to figure out their QB situation as both are using two signal callers. I think ‘Bama is a little overrated and will have their hands full in Happy Valley. Take the points.

Penn State +10

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