Washington vs Baylor Spread, Trends, and Free Pick – 2011 Alamo Bowl ]]> include($base_url . “/includes/header.htm”); ?>
The point spread for this year’s Alamo Bowl between the Washington Huskies and Baylor Bears opened up at -9 in favor of the Bears at Bovada Sportsbook on 12/12/11. As of Monday night (12/19), the line has moved up to 9.5. Bovada hasn’t released a total, but most books have it set at 78.5. Right now, 79% of the betting public is on Baylor and 59% are on the over. To help you better decide who to bet, take a look at these trends for tonight.
Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Bowl games.
Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Bears are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Over is 4-1 in Huskies last 5 non-conference games.
Over is 4-1 in Huskies last 5 vs. Big 12.
Over is 16-4-1 in Bears last 21 games overall.
Over is 4-1 in Bears last 5 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
My Prediction: If this game appears to be a mismatch on paper, it’s because it is. Heisman Trophy winner Robert Griffin III leads the high-powered Baylor offense against the weak Washington defense. Even though Baylor gives up a lot of points and the Huskies can score, doesn’t mean this will be a close game. I’m going to side with the public consensus on this one and take Baylor to cover the 9.5.