Twins vs Brewers Preview & Free Pick | Prediction [7/2/18]

Minnesota (35-45) at Milwaukee (48-35)
When: Monday, July 2nd 2018
Where: Miller Park, Milwaukee, WI
Time: 8:10 ET | TV: FS North, FS Wisconsin
Opening Odds: Milwaukee -150/8.5 


The Minnesota Twins finally got some offense away from home this weekend, but it wasn’t enough to avoid a three-game sweep at the hands of the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field. They now turn the bus north into Wisconsin to take on the Milwaukee Brewers in the first of a three-game interleague set on Monday night. The Twins scored 25 runs in Chicago, but lost all three games 10-6, 14-9, and 11-10, leaving them a distant nine games behind Cleveland in the American League Central. Minnesota found itself in an early eight-run hole before dropping an 11-10 decision Sunday to fall to 15-25 away from Target Field. Brian Dozier, who hit a two-run shot in the series finale, has two homers among his five hits during the first six games of the nine-game road trip. Catcher Mitch Garver is 9-for-15 with a homer, three RBIs and five runs scored in his last six games. While, the Twins were scoring left-and-right in Chicago, Milwaukee’s offense stalled in two straight losses to the Cincinnati Reds, getting a Ryan Braun two-run homer in the ninth inning Sunday to avoid the club from being shut out for the 11th time this season. Braun has answered a 2-for-18 stretch with eight hits – including two homers – and five runs scored and four RBIs in his last seven games. Milwaukee has lost five of eight overall, but remain a half-game ahead of the Cubs in the NL Central.

Pitchers: Twins – Kyle Gibson (2-6, 3.48 ERA) | Brewers – Brent Suter (8-5, 4.28)

Kyle Gibson is still stuck at two victories on the season and is 1-5 in his last eight outings after allowing five runs on a season-high 11 hits in a 6-1 setback at the Chicago White Sox last Wednesday. Gibson began the eight-game stretch by allowing five runs versus Milwaukee including two homers and four walks.


Brent Suter ended his three-start winning streak Wednesday after allowing four runs on six hits in as many innings of a 5-4 setback versus Kansas City. Suter pitched well in his last encounter with Minnesota on May 18th, allowing one run while striking out six in 5.2 innings of an 8-3 victory. He has allowed seven homers in as many outings.

Despite his record and poor showing last week, Gibson has been the ace of this staff and has allowed two earned runs or less in five of his last six starts. The Twins bats are hot right now and that will help carry them to an upset victory over Milwaukee in the opener of their series.

Pick: Twins +124

https://youtu.be/PZKvW9_-2EE


BETTING TRENDS:

  • Twins are 16-35 in their last 51 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Twins are 3-7 in their last 10 Monday games.
  • Twins are 2-5 in their last 7 games following a loss.
  • Twins are 8-20 in their last 28 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Twins are 8-21 in their last 29 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Twins are 3-9 in their last 12 games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Twins are 2-6 in their last 8 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Twins are 1-5 in their last 6 overall.
  • Twins are 1-5 in their last 6 games on grass.
  • Twins are 1-6 in their last 7 road games.
  • Twins are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. National League Central.
  • Twins are 1-6 in their last 7 interleague games.
  • Twins are 1-6 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Twins are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Twins are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Twins are 8-1 in Gibson’s last 9 starts during game 1 of a series.
  • Twins are 6-2 in Gibson’s last 8 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Twins are 9-3 in Gibson’s last 12 starts with 4 days of rest.
  • Twins are 12-5 in Gibson’s last 17 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Twins are 14-6 in Gibson’s last 20 road starts.
  • Twins are 13-6 in Gibson’s last 19 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Twins are 2-6 in Gibson’s last 8 starts.
  • Twins are 2-6 in Gibson’s last 8 starts on grass.
  • Twins are 1-5 in Gibson’s last 6 starts vs. National League Central.
  • Twins are 1-5 in Gibson’s last 6 Monday starts.
  • Twins are 1-6 in Gibson’s last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
  • Twins are 0-6 in Gibson’s last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
  • Brewers are 7-2 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Brewers are 14-5 in their last 19 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Brewers are 44-18 in their last 62 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Brewers are 12-5 in their last 17 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Brewers are 36-16 in their last 52 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Brewers are 15-7 in their last 22 games following a loss.
  • Brewers are 17-8 in their last 25 vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Brewers are 4-10 in their last 14 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.
  • Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague games.
  • Brewers are 4-0 in Suter’s last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.
  • Brewers are 8-1 in Suter’s last 9 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Brewers are 5-1 in Suter’s last 6 home starts.
  • Brewers are 8-2 in Suter’s last 10 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Brewers are 7-2 in Suter’s last 9 starts with 4 days of rest.
  • Brewers are 6-2 in Suter’s last 8 starts.
  • Brewers are 6-2 in Suter’s last 8 starts on grass.
  • Brewers are 2-5 in Suter’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Brewers are 1-4 in Suter’s last 5 interleague starts.
  • Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 3-0-1 in Twins last 4 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 3-0-1 in Twins last 4 interleague road games.
  • Over is 5-0-1 in Twins last 6 during game 1 of a series.
  • Over is 6-1 in Twins last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 6-1 in Twins last 7 interleague games.
  • Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Over is 16-5-1 in Twins last 22 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Over is 3-1-1 in Twins last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Over is 18-7-4 in Twins last 29 vs. National League Central.
  • Over is 5-2 in Twins last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Under is 6-1 in Gibson’s last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 5-1 in Gibson’s last 6 interleague starts.
  • Under is 13-3-1 in Gibson’s last 17 road starts.
  • Under is 4-1 in Gibson’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-1 in Gibson’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
  • Over is 4-1 in Gibson’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 5-2-1 in Gibson’s last 8 Monday starts.
  • Over is 20-8 in Gibson’s last 28 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 11-5 in Gibson’s last 16 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
  • Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 on grass.
  • Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 overall.
  • Under is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Under is 7-1-1 in Brewers last 9 interleague home games.
  • Under is 5-1-1 in Brewers last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 vs. American League Central.
  • Over is 7-2 in Brewers last 9 Monday games.
  • Under is 21-6-3 in Brewers last 30 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Under is 19-6-2 in Brewers last 27 interleague games.
  • Under is 6-2-1 in Brewers last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
  • Under is 17-6-2 in Brewers last 25 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Under is 55-21-1 in Brewers last 77 games following a loss.
  • Under is 43-17-1 in Brewers last 61 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 5-2 in Brewers last 7 during game 1 of a series.
  • Under is 39-18-1 in Brewers last 58 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Under is 83-39-5 in Brewers last 127 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Over is 4-0 in Suter’s last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
  • Over is 4-0 in Suter’s last 4 starts on grass.
  • Over is 5-0 in Suter’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
  • Over is 4-0 in Suter’s last 4 starts overall.
  • Over is 7-0 in Suter’s last 7 home starts.
  • Under is 6-1 in Suter’s last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
  • Over is 5-1 in Suter’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Over is 4-1 in Suter’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 6-2 in Suter’s last 8 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 10-4 in Suter’s last 14 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 3-1-2 in the last 6 meetings in Milwaukee.
  • Twins are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
  • Over is 21-10-5 in the last 36 meetings.

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