Tuesday’s MLB Baseball Free Picks & Predictions [8/11/26]

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**All plays are Listed Pitchers and trends are courtesy of Don Best Sports and are through 8/9/26**


Pittsburgh (Skenes) at Miami (Perez) – 6:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Pirates are 11-2 in their last 13 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Marlins are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Pirates are 0-7 in Skenes’ last 7 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cold: Marlins are 0-5 in Perez’s last 5 starts.
Cold: Marlins are 0-5 in Perez’s last 5 starts on grass.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 road games.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Skenes’ last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Skenes’ last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Miami.

Pick: Marlins +103


Chicago Cubs (Imanaga) at Washington (Irvin) – 6:45 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Cubs are 6-0 in their last 6 Tuesday games.
Hot: Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Cubs are 14-2 in their last 16 vs. National League East.
Cold: Cubs are 0-8 in Imanaga’s last 8 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cold: Nationals are 0-6 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Cold: Cubs are 2-8 in Imanaga’s last 10 starts during game 1 of a series.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Imanaga’s last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Imanaga’s last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 7-1 in Cubs last 8 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 vs. National League East.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Cubs are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Washington.
Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Washington.
Cold: Cubs are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.

Pick: Nationals +145


NY Mets (McLean) at Atlanta (Perez) – 7:15 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Hot: Mets are 5-0 in McLean’s last 5 road starts.
Hot: Mets are 5-0 in McLean’s last 5 starts vs. National League East.
Cold: Mets are 1-7 in McLean’s last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.
Cold: Braves are 1-6 in their last 7 Tuesday games.
Cold: Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. National League East.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Mets last 6 vs. National League East.
Hot: Over is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 road games.
Hot: Over is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 on grass.
Hot: Over is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 overall.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Perez’s last 5 starts on grass.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Perez’s last 5 starts overall.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Mets are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Atlanta.

Pick: CLICK HERE

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Philadelphia (Sanchez) at St Louis (Pallante) – 7:45 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Cardinals are 4-0 in Pallante’s last 4 Tuesday starts.
Hot: Cardinals are 8-1 in Pallante’s last 9 starts with 5 days of rest.
Hot: Phillies are 22-4 in Sanchez’s last 26 starts during game 2 of a series.
Cold: Cardinals are 0-5 in their last 5 Tuesday games.
Cold: Cardinals are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
Cold: Cardinals are 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0-1 in Phillies last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 Tuesday games.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 on grass.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 overall.
Hot: Under is 7-1 in Phillies last 8 during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Under is 7-1 in Sanchez’s last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.

Head-to-Head
Under is 22-8 in the last 30 meetings in St. Louis.
Phillies are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings.

Pick: Phillies -1.5 +100


Colorado (Sugano) at Arizona (Bratt) – 9:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Rockies are 7-0 in Sugano’s last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Rockies are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Hot: Rockies are 5-1 in Sugano’s last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
Cold: Rockies are 17-73 in their last 90 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Rockies are 16-63 in their last 79 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Rockies are 16-53 in their last 69 road games vs. a left-handed starter.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 on grass.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 overall.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 vs. National League West.
Hot: Over is 2-0-2 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

Head-to-Head
Rockies are 17-40 in the last 57 meetings in Arizona.

Pick: Rockies +156


Milwaukee (Harrison) at San Diego (Buehler) – 9:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Padres are 5-0 in Buehler’s last 5 starts.
Hot: Padres are 5-0 in Buehler’s last 5 starts on grass.
Cold: Padres are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.
Cold: Padres are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Brewers are 2-6 in their last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 8-1-1 in Brewers last 10 on grass.
Hot: Under is 8-1-1 in Brewers last 10 overall.
Hot: Under is 7-1 in Brewers last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Padres last 6 Tuesday games.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Padres last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Buehler’s last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in San Diego.
Brewers are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings in San Diego.

Pick: Padres +125

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Cleveland (Bibee) at Detroit (Anderson) – 6:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Tigers are 9-0 in their last 9 games following an off day.
Hot: Guardians are 24-4 in Bibee’s last 28 starts vs. American League Central.
Hot: Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 Tuesday games.
Cold: Guardians are 0-6 in Bibee’s last 6 Tuesday starts.
Cold: Guardians are 0-4 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cold: Guardians are 1-6 in their last 7 games following an off day.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 home games.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 vs. American League Central.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 11-1 in Guardians last 12 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 6-1 in Guardians last 7 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 on grass.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Guardians are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.
Hot: Under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings.
Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Detroit.

Pick: Guardians +112


Seattle (Woo) at NY Yankees (Weathers) – 7:05 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss.
Hot: Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Yankees are 4-1 in Weathers’ last 5 starts.
Cold: Mariners are 0-5 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cold: Mariners are 0-5 in Woo’s last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Cold: Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 games following an off day.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0-1 in Mariners last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Woo’s last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in Mariners last 5 games following a loss.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in New York.
Mariners are 7-19 in the last 26 meetings in New York.
Mariners are 17-40 in the last 57 meetings.

Pick: Yankees -127


Boston (Sandoval) at Toronto (Cease) – 7:07 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Red Sox are 9-0 in their last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Red Sox are 5-0 in Sandoval’s last 5 starts.
Hot: Red Sox are 9-1 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Cold: Blue Jays are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cold: Blue Jays are 1-5 in their last 6 Tuesday games.
Cold: Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 on astroturf.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 home games.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 Tuesday games.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 overall.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Toronto.
Red Sox are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings.

Pick: Red Sox +131

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Baltimore (Young) at Minnesota (Ober) – 7:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Twins are 7-0 in Ober’s last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
Hot: Twins are 6-0 in Ober’s last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Orioles are 5-0 in Young’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Twins are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
Cold: Twins are 1-9 in Ober’s last 10 starts during game 2 of a series.
Cold: Orioles are 1-6 in their last 7 Tuesday games.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 7-0-1 in Twins last 8 during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Twins last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Ober’s last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 vs. American League Central.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Youngs last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.

Head-to-Head
Orioles are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Minnesota.
Orioles are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings.

Pick: Orioles +103


Texas (Bradford) at LA Angels (Johnson) – 9:38 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 Tuesday games.
Hot: Rangers are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Hot: Rangers are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Cold: Angels are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
Cold: Rangers are 0-5 in their last 5 road games.
Cold: Angels are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. American League West.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Hot: Under is 10-2 in Angels last 12 home games.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Angels last 6 vs. American League West.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Johnson’s last 5 starts on grass.

Head-to-Head
Over is 14-4-3 in the last 21 meetings in Los Angeles.
Cold: Rangers are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.

Pick: Rangers -1.5 +115


Tampa Bay (Martinez) at Athletics (Barnett) – 9:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 games on grass.
Hot: Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 road games.
Cold: A’s are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: A’s are 1-6 in their last 7 Tuesday games.
Cold: A’s are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 8-0 in Martinez’s last 8 starts on grass.
Hot: Under is 8-0 in Martinez’s last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 vs. American League West.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in A’s last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 road games.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 on grass.

Head-to-Head
Under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in Athletics.

Pick: Rays -1.5 -102

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Cincinnati (Lodolo) at Chicago White Sox (Burke) – 7:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Hot: White Sox are 7-1 in their last 8 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Reds are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: Reds are 0-5 in Lodolo’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: White Sox are 0-4 in Burke’s last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
Cold: Reds are 0-4 in their last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 7-0 in Reds last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 6-0 in Burke’s last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Burke’s last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 3-0-2 in White Sox last 5 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Burke’s last 4 starts overall.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Pick: Reds +140


Houston (Brown) at San Francisco (ACTION) – 9:45 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Astros are 7-0 in their last 7 Tuesday games.
Hot: Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Astros are 4-0 in Brown’s last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
Cold: Giants are 0-5 in their last 5 Tuesday games.
Cold: Astros are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague games.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Brown’s last 4 starts vs. National League West.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 on grass.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 overall.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague home games.

Head-to-Head
Under is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings in San Francisco.
Cold: Astros are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings.
Cold: Astros are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in San Francisco.

Pick: UNDER 8 -110


Kansas City (Wacha) at LA Dodgers (Snell) – 10:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Dodgers are 4-1 in Snell’s last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
Dodgers are 7-2 in their last 9 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Dodgers are 58-17 in their last 75 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Cold: Royals are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague road games.
Cold: Dodgers are 1-8 in their last 9 overall.
Cold: Dodgers are 1-8 in their last 9 games on grass.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0-1 in Royals last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Hot: Under is 5-0-1 in Dodgers last 6 during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Wacha’s last 4 starts vs. National League West.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.
Cold: Royals are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles.
Royals are 5-12 in the last 17 meetings.

Pick: Royals +1.5 -102