Titans vs Packers Preview & Free Pick [November 17th 2022]

Tennessee (6-3) at Green Bay (4-6)
When: Thursday, November 17th 2022
Where: Lambeau Field,
Green Bay, WI
Time: 8:15 ET | TV: Prime
Opening Odds: Green Bay -1/41.5

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Oddsmakers are still not giving the Tennessee Titans any credit when it comes to setting lines and the team has responded with seven-straight ATS covers. Tennessee will be 3-point underdogs this Thursday night when they visit the Green Bay Packers at frigid Lambeau Field. Temperatures are expected to be in the 20s with double-digit winds. That should suite the Titans’ game well, as they run the ball 30.2 times a game behind Derrick Henry. Running the ball effectively hasn’t resulted in a ton of points, but the defense has been solid, limiting their last seven opponents to 22 points or less since a 41-7 loss at the Buffalo Bills. The Titans have scored exactly 17 points in each of their last three games including a 17-10 home win over the Denver Broncos last Sunday. Somehow this team keeps winning despite being outgained in every single game this season but one.

Meanwhile, the Packers’ season was on the line last week against the Dallas Cowboys. Green Bay trailed 28-14 in the fourth quarter, but Aaron Rodgers and company engineered a big comeback and upset Dallas 31-28 in overtime as 5-point underdogs to snap a five-game losing streak. Aaron Jones (24 carries, 138 yards, one touchdown) helped Green Bay top 200 yards rushing for the third time this season, while the Packers started the same offensive line in consecutive games for the first time. These teams last met in 2020 at Lambeau Field and the Packers rolled to a 40-14 win. Rodgers was 21-for-25 with four touchdown passes, while Ryan Tannehill threw for only 121 yards and two interceptions for Tennessee. The over is 5-1 in the past six meetings.


After missing two games injured, Tannehill came back and threw for 255 yards and two scores. Henry’s streak of five straight 100-yard rushing games ended as he was held to 53 yards on 19 carries. Rookie wide receiver Treylon Burks returned after missing four games and had three catches for 24 yards, while Nick Westbrook-Ikhine led the way with 119 yards and two touchdowns on five catches. The injury bug has hit the Titans. They played without five defensive starters, including lineman Jeffery Simmons, safety Amani Hooker and outside linebacker Bud Dupree. They lost three other defenders to injuries during the game as well. Tennessee is averaging just 18.4 points per game, but lead the AFC South by two games. The Titans will host Cincinnati in Week 12.


Last week, Green Bay handed Dallas their first ever loss when leading by 14 points in the fourth quarter. It was a much-needed win for a team that is in danger of missing the playoffs. Rodgers had three touchdown passes, all to rookie receiver Christian Watson. He entered Sunday with 10 catches for 88 yards, while battling injuries. Aaron Jones was questionable but came through with a big game. Wide receiver Randall Cobb (ankle) could play this Thursday. He has been on injured reserve since injuring his ankle in the Packers’ Week 6 loss to the Jets. The Packers are 6-1-1 against the spread in their last eight games on a Thursday.

It’s hard not to back Rodgers in a prime time game. The Titans have one of the worst pass defenses in the league and Rodgers should have a field day. Last week’s comeback win was just what the team needed and will carry that momentum into this contest. I’ll lay the points.

Week 11 NFL Staff Selections

Pick: Packers -3