Thursday’s MLB Baseball Free Picks & Predictions [7/2/26]

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**All plays are Listed Pitchers and trends are courtesy of Don Best Sports and are through 6/30/26**


Pittsburgh (Jones) at Philadelphia (Rangel) – 12:35 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Pirates are 5-0 in Jones’ last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Pirates are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: Pirates are 0-7 in their last 7 during game 4 of a series.
Cold: Phillies are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.
Cold: Pirates are 2-9 in their last 11 vs. National League East.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 4-0-2 in Phillies last 6 home games.
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 Thursday games.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 on grass.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 overall.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Jones’ last 4 starts on grass.

Head-to-Head
Pirates are 7-18 in the last 25 meetings in Philadelphia.

Pick: Pirates +114


Cincinnati (Burns) at Milwaukee (Misiorowski) – 2:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Brewers are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Brewers are 6-0 in Misiorowski’s last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
Hot: Reds are 5-0 in Burns’ last 5 road starts.
Cold: Brewers are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 4 of a series.
Cold: Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Reds are 7-21 in their last 28 vs. National League Central.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 7-0-1 in Misiorowski’s last 8 starts vs. National League Central.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Misiorowski’s last 4 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Misiorowski’s last 6 starts on grass.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Misiorowski’s last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Misiorowski’s last 6 starts overall.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Under is 13-5 in the last 18 meetings in Milwaukee.
Reds are 19-49 in the last 68 meetings.

Pick: Brewers -1.5 +118


Miami (Gusto) at Colorado (Lorenzen) – 3:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Hot: Marlins are 24-4 in their last 28 vs. National League West.
Hot: Marlins are 14-3 in their last 17 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: Rockies are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Cold: Rockies are 1-4 in Lorenzen’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Marlins are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 during game 4 of a series.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Hot: Over is 10-1 in Marlins last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Marlins last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 on grass.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Marlins are 7-0 in the last 7 meetings.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Colorado.
Hot: Marlins are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Colorado.

Pick: Rockies +112

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St Louis (May) at Atlanta (Waldrep) – 7:15 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Braves are 10-2 in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.
Hot: Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Cold: Braves are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.
Cold: Braves are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Cardinals are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0 in May’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in Braves last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 on grass.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 overall.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 6-1-1 in Braves last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

Pick: Braves -105


San Diego (Vasquez) at LA Dodgers (Sasaki) – 10:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Dodgers are 53-17 in their last 70 Thursday games.
Dodgers are 24-9 in their last 33 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Dodgers are 47-18 in their last 65 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Cold: Padres are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. National League West.
Padres are 4-11 in their last 15 road games.

Over/Under
Under is 13-4 in Padres last 17 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 6-2 in Dodgers last 8 Thursday games.
Under is 6-2 in Padres last 8 road games.
Over is 5-2 in Dodgers last 7 during game 1 of a series.
Under is 5-2 in Dodgers last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 7-3 in Dodgers last 10 vs. National League West.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles.
Cold: Padres are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.
Padres are 25-61 in the last 86 meetings in Los Angeles.

Pick: Dodgers -1.5 +105


Chicago White Sox (Martin) at Cleveland (Cecconi) – 6:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Hot: White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 Thursday games.
Hot: Guardians are 5-1 in their last 6 Thursday games.
Cold: Guardians are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Cold: Guardians are 1-4 in Cecconi’s last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Cold: Guardians are 1-4 in Cecconi’s last 5 starts.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Cecconi’s last 6 starts on grass.
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Cecconi’s last 6 starts overall.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in White Sox last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Cecconi’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings in Cleveland.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Cold: White Sox are 0-7 in the last 7 meetings in Cleveland.
White Sox are 5-18 in the last 23 meetings.

Pick: Guardians +104

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Tampa Bay (Seymour) at Kansas City (Kolek) – 7:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
Hot: Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.
Cold: Rays are 1-7 in their last 8 games on grass.
Cold: Rays are 1-7 in their last 8 road games.
Cold: Royals are 2-8 in their last 10 Thursday games.
Cold: Rays are 2-8 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing record.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 7-1 in Rays last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Over is 6-1 in Royals last 7 vs. American League East.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Royals last 6 on grass.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Royals last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Royals last 6 overall.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Royals last 6 home games.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Rays are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Kansas City.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Kansas City.
Rays are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

Pick: Royals +105


Detroit (Valdez) at Texas (Eovaldi) – 8:05 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
Hot: Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Tigers are 0-5 in Valdez’s last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
Cold: Tigers are 0-5 in Valdez’s last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Cold: Tigers are 0-4 in Valdez’s last 4 road starts.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 6-0 in Valdez’s last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
Hot: Under is 2-0-2 in Rangers last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Hot: Under is 7-1 in Rangers last 8 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Rangers last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Rangers last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 9-2 in Rangers last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Texas.

Pick: Tigers +112


LA Angels (Urena) at Seattle (Miller) – 9:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Mariners are 5-1 in their last 6 games following an off day.
Hot: Angels are 4-1 in Urena’s last 5 starts vs. American League West.
Hot: Angels are 4-1 in Urena’s last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Cold: Mariners are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: Angels are 1-4 in Urena’s last 5 road starts.
Angels are 4-14 in their last 18 games following an off day.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Miller’s last 5 starts vs. American League West.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Miller’s last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Miller’s last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Over is 8-2 in Miller’s last 10 home starts.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 games following an off day.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Seattle.
Cold: Angels are 0-7 in the last 7 meetings in Seattle.
Angels are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings.

Pick: Mariners -1.5 +105