Thursday’s MLB Baseball Free Picks & Predictions [5/21/26]

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JAY COOPER’S FREE MLB PICKS
49-54 (+$1,010) Run

BOBBY BABOWSKI’S FREE MLB PICKS
9-4 (+$522) Run

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**All plays are Listed Pitchers and trends are courtesy of Don Best Sports and are through 5/19/26**


Pittsburgh (Ashcraft) at St Louis (May) – 1:15 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Cardinals are 10-1 in their last 11 Thursday games.
Hot: Cardinals are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. National League Central.
Hot: Pirates are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: Pirates are 0-4 in their last 4 games on grass.
Cold: Pirates are 0-4 in their last 4 overall.
Cardinals are 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0 in May’s last 6 starts on grass.
Hot: Under is 6-0 in May’s last 6 starts overall.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in May’s last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Ashcraft’s last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Cardinals last 5 vs. National League Central.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Pick: Cardinals +113


NY Mets (Peterson) at Washington (Cavalli) – 4:05 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Hot: Mets are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Mets are 9-2 in their last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: Nationals are 1-5 in Cavalli’s last 6 home starts.
Cold: Nationals are 2-8 in their last 10 during game 4 of a series.
Cold: Nationals are 1-4 in Cavalli’s last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 Thursday games.
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Cavalli’s last 5 home starts.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 on grass.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 overall.

Pick: Mets -111


Atlanta (Strider) at Miami (Alcantara) – 6:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Braves are 4-0 in Strider’s last 4 road starts.
Hot: Marlins are 6-1 in Alcantara’s last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
Hot: Marlins are 5-1 in Alcantara’s last 6 Thursday starts.
Hot: Braves are 5-1 in Strider’s last 6 starts.
Cold: Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Marlins are 8-20 in Alcantara’s last 28 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Alcantara’s last 4 starts vs. National League East.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Alcantara’s last 4 Thursday starts.
Hot: Over is 4-1-2 in Braves last 7 vs. National League East.
Hot: Under is 4-1-1 in Marlins last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Hot: Under is 4-1-1 in Braves last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Alcantara’s last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.

Pick: Marlins +122

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Colorado (ACTION) at Arizona (Rodriguez) – 9:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
Hot: Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League West.
Hot: Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Cold: Diamondbacks are 1-6 in their last 7 Thursday games.
Cold: Rockies are 12-50 in their last 62 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Rockies are 13-53 in their last 66 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 7-0 in Rockies last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 5-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 on grass.
Hot: Under is 5-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 overall.
Hot: Under is 5-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 home games.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Rockies last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Pick: Rockies +165


Cleveland (Cantillo) at Detroit (Mize) – 1:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Guardians are 6-0 in Cantillo’s last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
Hot: Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: Tigers are 0-5 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cold: Tigers are 0-4 in their last 4 home games.
Cold: Tigers are 1-8 in their last 9 games vs. a left-handed starter.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0-1 in Mize’s last 6 starts vs. American League Central.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Mize’s last 4 starts on grass.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Mize’s last 4 starts overall.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Cantillo’s last 6 starts overall.

Pick: Tigers -117


Toronto (ACTION) at NY Yankees (Rodon) – 7:05 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Yankees are 5-0 in Rodon’s last 5 starts vs. American League East.
Hot: Yankees are 5-0 in Rodon’s last 5 Thursday starts.
Hot: Yankees are 4-0 in Rodon’s last 4 starts during game 4 of a series.
Cold: Blue Jays are 1-7 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Blue Jays are 1-7 in their last 8 vs. American League East.
Blue Jays are 2-7 in their last 9 road games.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 vs. American League East.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 during game 4 of a series.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Rodon’s last 4 starts following an outing of less than 4 innings in his last appearance.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Blue Jays last 4 road games.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Blue Jays last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.

Pick: Check back later…

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Athletics (Severino) at LA Angels (Soriano) – 9:38 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: are 8-0 in Severino’s last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
A’s are 11-3 in their last 14 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
A’s are 8-3 in their last 11 Thursday games.
Cold: Angels are 1-6 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Cold: Angels are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Cold: A’s are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 7-1 in Angels last 8 on grass.
Hot: Under is 13-2-1 in Angels last 16 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 6-1-1 in Soriano’s last 8 home starts.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 home games.
Hot: Under is 9-2 in Angels last 11 overall.
Hot: Over is 4-1-1 in A’s last 6 during game 4 of a series.

Pick: A’s -105

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Jay has been watching and following sports since he could walk and turned to betting in his late teens. His favorite sport is MLB and has been producing winners on UltimateCapper for almost 25 years. Follow Jay's free sports picks and enjoy the winners.