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**All plays are Listed Pitchers and trends are courtesy of Don Best Sports and are through 4/14/26**
Washington (Griffin) at Pittsburgh (Ashcraft) – 12:35 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Nationals are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Nationals are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Hot: Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 games on grass.
Cold: Pirates are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 4 of a series.
Cold: Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 Thursday games.
Nationals are 23-66 in their last 89 Thursday games.
Over/Under
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 9-3 in Nationals last 12 on grass.
Over is 9-3 in Nationals last 12 overall.
Over is 5-2 in Pirates last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Over is 5-2 in Pirates last 7 on grass.
Over is 5-2 in Pirates last 7 overall.
Pick: Nationals +139
San Francisco (Roupp) at Cincinnati (Burns) – 12:40 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Giants are 5-1 in Roupp’s last 6 road starts.
Cold: Reds are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Cold: Reds are 0-4 in Burns’ last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Cold: Reds are 1-6 in Burns’ last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Giants are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.
Cold: Giants are 1-5 in Roupp’s last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over/Under
Hot: Over is 6-0 in Reds last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Reds last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Burns’ last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Hot: Under is 8-1 in Burns’ last 9 starts overall.
Hot: Under is 7-1 in Burns’ last 8 starts on grass.
Pick: Giants +113
Kansas City (Bubic) at Detroit (Montero) – 1:10 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Royals are 8-0 in their last 8 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.
Hot: Royals are 5-0 in Bubic’s last 5 road starts.
Hot: Royals are 5-0 in Bubic’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Tigers are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.
Cold: Tigers are 4-18 in their last 22 vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Tigers are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.
Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Royals last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Montero’s last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Royals last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Hot: Under is 6-1-1 in Montero’s last 8 starts during game 3 of a series.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Royals last 7 road games.
Pick: Tigers -105
LA Angels (ACTION) at NY Yankees (Fried) – 1:35 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Yankees are 8-2 in Fried’s last 10 starts on grass.
Yankees are 10-3 in their last 13 during game 4 of a series.
Yankees are 11-4 in Fried’s last 15 starts with 4 days of rest.
Cold: Yankees are 1-6 in their last 7 overall.
Cold: Angels are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 4 of a series.
Cold: Yankees are 1-4 in Fried’s last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Angels last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 Thursday games.
Hot: Over is 8-1 in Angels last 9 on grass.
Hot: Over is 8-1 in Angels last 9 overall.
Hot: Over is 7-1 in Angels last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Angels last 6 road games.
Pick: Angels +1.5 +115
Tampa Bay (Matz) at Chicago White Sox (Leasure) – 2:10 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Cold: White Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 home games.
Cold: Rays are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
White Sox are 29-87 in their last 116 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Rays are 2-6 in their last 8 Thursday games.
White Sox are 44-113 in their last 157 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over/Under
Hot: Over is 7-0 in White Sox last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 8-1-1 in Rays last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 6-1-1 in Rays last 8 during game 3 of a series.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Hot: Over is 8-2-1 in Rays last 11 road games.
Hot: Over is 4-1-1 in Rays last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Pick: White Sox +112
Texas (Leiter) at Athletics (Lopez) – 3:05 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: are 4-0 in Lopez’s last 4 home starts.
Hot: are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Hot: are 6-1 in their last 7 games on grass.
Cold: Rangers are 0-4 in their last 4 Thursday games.
Cold: Rangers are 1-6 in Leiter’s last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Cold: Rangers are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over/Under
Hot: Over is 4-0 in last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 6-1-1 in Lopez’s last 8 home starts.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in last 6 home games.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in last 6 vs. American League West.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Rangers last 6 vs. American League West.
Pick: Rangers -110
Baltimore (Baz) at Cleveland (Messick) – 6:10 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League Central.
Hot: Guardians are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League East.
Orioles are 6-2 in their last 8 games on grass.
Cold: Orioles are 0-8 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Orioles are 3-15 in their last 18 vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Orioles are 2-8 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Over/Under
Hot: Under is 12-2-3 in Orioles last 17 Thursday games.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 on grass.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 overall.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Under is 11-3-2 in Guardians last 16 Thursday games.
Under is 3-1-1 in Guardians last 5 vs. American League East.
Pick: Guardians -119
Toronto (Corbin) at Milwaukee (Sproat) – 1:40 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Blue Jays are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague road games.
Hot: Brewers are 8-2 in their last 10 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.
Cold: Brewers are 0-6 in their last 6 overall.
Cold: Brewers are 0-6 in their last 6 games on grass.
Cold: Brewers are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 vs. National League Central.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 overall.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 home games.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 during game 3 of a series.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 interleague home games.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Pick: Brewers -120
Colorado (Sugano) at Houston (Weiss) – 8:10 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Hot: Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 home games.
Hot: Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague home games.
Cold: Astros are 1-8 in their last 9 games on grass.
Cold: Astros are 1-8 in their last 9 overall.
Cold: Rockies are 1-7 in their last 8 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.
Over/Under
Hot: Over is 6-0 in Astros last 6 home games.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Hot: Over is 10-1 in Astros last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 during game 3 of a series.
Hot: Over is 13-3 in Astros last 16 on grass.
Hot: Over is 13-3 in Astros last 16 overall.
Pick: Rockies +170
Seattle (Castillo) at San Diego (Buehler) – 8:40 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 home games.
Hot: Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
Hot: Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 games on grass.
Cold: Mariners are 0-6 in their last 6 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Mariners are 0-6 in their last 6 road games.
Cold: Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over/Under
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 road games.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Padres last 4 during game 3 of a series.
Hot: Over is 12-1 in Castillo’s last 13 interleague starts.
Hot: Over is 8-1 in Castillo’s last 9 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 6-1 in Castillo’s last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.
Pick: Mariners -115
