Thunder vs Mavs Spread, Trends, and Free Pick – May 17th, 2011 ]]> include($base_url . “/includes/header.htm”); ?>
The point spread for Tuesday’s Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Dallas Mavericks opened up at -5.5 in favor of the Mavs at Bdg.eu and the total was set at 192. The spread has moved up to -6 as of Monday night and the total has gone all the way up to 193. So far, 60% of the betting public is on Dallas and 68% are on the over. To help you better decide who to bet, take a look at these trends for tonight.
Thunder are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
Thunder are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5.
Mavericks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5.
Mavericks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 playoff games as a favorite.
Under is 6-2 in Thunder last 8 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5.
Under is 6-2-1 in Thunder last 9 games as an underdog.
Over is 4-1 in Mavericks last 5 vs. Western Conference.
Over is 4-1 in Mavericks last 5 games following a ATS win.
Thunder are 6-0-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Dallas.
Thunder are 9-3-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings.
My Prediction: It will have been 9 days since the Mavericks swept the Lakers 4-0 in the Western Conference Semifinals while the Thunder played a hard-fought 7-game series with the Grizzlies. The Mavs are 5-2 ATS with 3 or more days rest this year. Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook have been brilliant in carrying the Thunder this far. Based on how the road team has fared in this series over the past few years I think the Thunder’s momentum carries them to an upset win in Game 1 tonight, so take the 6 points as a gift.
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