Steelers vs Colts Preview & Free Pick [November 28th 2022]

Pittsburgh (3-7) at Indianapolis (4-6-1)
When: Monday, November 28th 2022
Where: Lucas Oil Stadium,
Indianapolis, IN
Time: 8:15 ET | TV: ESPN
Opening Odds: Indianapolis -3/39.5

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Two teams in danger of missing the playoffs this year will conclude Week 12 action, as the Pittsburgh Steelers visit the Indianapolis Colts on Monday Night Football. The Steelers are rebuilding and are struggling with a young quarterback under center. Head coach Mike Tomlin will likely finish the season with his worst record in his long stint with the Steelers. Rookie quarterback Kenny Pickett is a work in progress but has avoided throwing an interception in each of the last two weeks. It wasn’t enough last week, as Pittsburgh’s defense was scorched by Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati Bengals 37-30. The Steelers have dropped three of their last four games but the offense has produced 50 points in the last two.

Meanwhile, the Colts are playing their third game under interim coach Jeff Saturday, who replaced Frank Reich two games ago. The Colts responded with a win in his first game and led the Philadelphia Eagles 16-3 in the fourth quarter last week before falling 17-16. The hiring of Saturday led to the return of veteran Matt Ryan, who was presumably benched for the rest of the season. Ryan has responded with two solid games, although he’s been sacked 29 times this season. The Steelers enter the week with the 29th-ranked defense, so Ryan could once again have some success. These teams haven’t played since the 2020 season when Ben Roethlisberger outdueled Philip Rivers 28-24 for Pittsburgh’s seventh-straight win in the series.


Pittsburgh allowed 408 yards of total offense to the Bengals last week and surrendered touchdown drives of 79, 92 and 93 yards. The defense struggled despite having Pro Bowl safety Minkah Fitzpatrick and 2021 NFL Defensive Player of the Year T.J. Watt in the lineup together for the first time since Week 2. Pickett passed for 265 yards on 25-of-42 completions with a touchdown, while Najee Harris rushed for 90 yards and two scores. Pickett is completing 65.4 percent of his passes, but is averaging just over 6 yards per completion and has eight interceptions to only three touchdowns. On the season, the Steelers are averaging just 17.0 points per game, but they have scored 50 in the last two. Pittsburgh allows 24.4 ppg, which is 26th in the league, and ranks near the bottom in sacks with just 19.


Indianapolis never trailed last week until the final Philadelphia touchdown with under a minute to play. The Colts scored a touchdown on their opening drive for the first time since late last season but only could manage three field goals by Chase McLaughlin after that. Jonathan Taylor carried 22 times for 84 yards and scored for the second straight week. Ryan was 23-of-32 with 213 yards and passed Dan Marino for No. 6 on the NFL’s career passing attempts list. The Colts offense will see a Pittsburgh team that has allowed at least 35 points in two of their last three games. Defensively, the Colts rank fourth in yards allowed (307.6) and are sixth against the pass (194.2). The Colts are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games after a loss.

This Pittsburgh team is a mess on offense and the Colts defense should be able to induce a turnover or two against Pickett. Ryan seems to have settled in under Jeff Saturday and should find success against the Steelers defense.

Week 12 NFL Staff Selections

Pick: Colts -2.5