Saturday’s MLB Baseball Free Picks & Predictions [9/12/26]

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**All plays are Listed Pitchers and trends are courtesy of Don Best Sports and are through 9/10/26**


Pittsburgh (Skenes) at Chicago Cubs (Holmes) – 2:20 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 road games.
Hot: Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
Cold: Pirates are 0-6 in Skenes’ last 6 Saturday starts.
Cold: Cubs are 0-4 in their last 4 games on grass.
Cold: Cubs are 0-4 in their last 4 overall.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 6-0-1 in Cubs last 7 Saturday games.
Hot: Under is 4-0-2 in Pirates last 6 Saturday games.
Hot: Under is 7-1-3 in Pirates last 11 during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Under is 7-1 in Pirates last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 7-1 in Pirates last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Hot: Under is 7-1 in Pirates last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Under is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings in Chicago.

Pick: Cubs -120


San Diego (King) at San Francisco (Perdomo) – 4:05 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
Hot: Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
Hot: Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Cold: Padres are 1-6 in their last 7 road games.
Cold: Padres are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
Cold: Padres are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0 in King’s last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in King’s last 4 starts on grass.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in King’s last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in King’s last 4 starts overall.
Hot: Under is 7-1 in Padres last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Padres are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in San Francisco.
Under is 17-5 in the last 22 meetings in San Francisco.
Padres are 19-7 in the last 26 meetings.

Pick: Giants +139


LA Dodgers (Glasnow) at Miami (Phillips) – 4:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Dodgers are 7-0 in their last 7 games on grass.
Hot: Dodgers are 7-0 in their last 7 overall.
Hot: Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Cold: Marlins are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Cold: Dodgers are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Cold: Marlins are 1-6 in their last 7 games on grass.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 on grass.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 overall.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 home games.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 road games.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Dodgers are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Miami.
Over is 14-4 in the last 18 meetings.
Over is 16-5-1 in the last 22 meetings in Miami.
Dodgers are 21-8 in the last 29 meetings.

Pick: Dodgers -1.5 -110

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Cincinnati (Singer) at Milwaukee (ACTION) – 7:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Brewers are 7-1 in their last 8 Saturday games.
Hot: Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
Reds are 7-2 in Singer’s last 9 Saturday starts.
Cold: Reds are 0-4 in Singer’s last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Reds are 1-11 in Singer’s last 12 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Reds are 3-13 in Singer’s last 16 starts vs. National League Central.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0-1 in Brewers last 6 Saturday games.
Hot: Over is 5-0-1 in Singer’s last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Singer’s last 4 road starts.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Singer’s last 4 Saturday starts.
Hot: Over is 7-1 in Reds last 8 vs. National League Central.
Hot: Over is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee.
Cold: Reds are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee.
Reds are 16-39 in the last 55 meetings.

Pick: Brewers -1.5 +120


Philadelphia (ACTION) at Atlanta (Mahle) – 7:15 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Phillies are 7-0 in Luzardo’s last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Phillies are 7-0 in Luzardo’s last 7 Saturday starts.
Hot: Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
Cold: Braves are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Cold: Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Cold: Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 Saturday games.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Braves last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Luzardo’s last 7 Saturday starts.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Luzardo’s last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Hot: Under is 13-3 in Braves last 16 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Hot: Over is 8-2 in Luzardo’s last 10 starts with 4 days of rest.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 9-2-2 in the last 13 meetings.
Under is 10-3-1 in the last 14 meetings in Atlanta.
Phillies are 3-8 in the last 11 meetings.

Pick: Phillies +105


Baltimore (Bradish) at Toronto (Miles) – 3:07 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Blue Jays are 8-0 in their last 8 Saturday games.
Hot: Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Blue Jays are 8-1 in their last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: Orioles are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. American League East.
Cold: Orioles are 0-4 in Bradish’s last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Cold: Orioles are 1-6 in their last 7 games on astroturf.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 on astroturf.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Bradish’s last 4 starts vs. American League East.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Bradish’s last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 11-1 in Orioles last 12 Saturday games.
Hot: Under is 8-1-1 in Blue Jays last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 5-1-1 in Bradish’s last 7 starts overall.

Head-to-Head
Over is 25-10-2 in the last 37 meetings in Toronto.
Cold: Orioles are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings in Toronto.
Orioles are 3-8 in the last 11 meetings.

Pick: Blue Jays -110

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Cleveland (Espino) at Minnesota (Prielipp) – 4:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Guardians are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.
Guardians are 7-2 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Guardians are 7-2 in their last 9 road games.
Cold: Guardians are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Twins are 2-7 in their last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.
Twins are 2-5 in their last 7 games on grass.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 on grass.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 overall.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 vs. American League Central.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 road games.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.

Head-to-Head
Under is 15-5-1 in the last 21 meetings in Minnesota.

Pick: Twins -107


Kansas City (Dobnak) at Boston (Suarez) – 4:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Red Sox are 8-0 in their last 8 vs. American League Central.
Hot: Red Sox are 5-0 in Suarez’s last 5 home starts.
Hot: Red Sox are 4-0 in Suarez’s last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
Cold: Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Cold: Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 home games.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 on grass.
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 overall.
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in Dobnak’s last 5 starts overall.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Suarez’s last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Dobnak’s last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Dobnak’s last 4 road starts.

Head-to-Head
Over is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings.
Under is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings in Boston.

Pick: Red Sox -1.5 +110


Houston (Lambert) at Tampa Bay (Seymour) – 6:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Hot: Rays are 10-2 in their last 12 vs. American League West.
Cold: Astros are 0-6 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
Cold: Astros are 0-5 in their last 5 Saturday games.
Cold: Rays are 0-4 in Seymour’s last 4 starts.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 6-1 in Rays last 7 vs. American League West.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Rays last 6 on fieldturf.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Rays last 6 home games.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Seymour’s last 5 starts overall.

Head-to-Head
Under is 35-10-3 in the last 48 meetings in Tampa Bay.
Astros are 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in Tampa Bay.
Under is 40-16-3 in the last 59 meetings.

Pick: Astros +127

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Seattle (Woo) at Athletics (Jump) – 9:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Mariners are 4-0 in Woo’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Mariners are 5-1 in Woo’s last 6 starts vs. American League West.
Hot: A’s are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
Cold: Mariners are 0-6 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Mariners are 0-4 in Woo’s last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Mariners are 1-7 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Woo’s last 5 Saturday starts.
Hot: Over is 7-1 in A’s last 8 vs. American League West.
Hot: Over is 6-1-1 in Woo’s last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Woo’s last 7 starts on grass.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Woo’s last 7 starts overall.
Hot: Over is 4-1-1 in Jump’s last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Athletics.
Mariners are 27-10 in the last 37 meetings in Athletics.
Mariners are 56-24 in the last 80 meetings.

Pick: Mariners -1.5 -105


Colorado (Gordon) at Detroit (Sears) – 1:10 ET

Win/Loss
Tigers are 5-2 in their last 7 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Tigers are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Cold: Rockies are 0-6 in Gordon’s last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
Cold: Rockies are 0-5 in Gordon’s last 5 starts vs. American League Central.
Cold: Tigers are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Cold: Rockies are 2-10 in their last 12 interleague games.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 vs. National League West.
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Rockies last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 interleague home games.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 interleague games.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 vs. American League Central.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
Cold: Rockies are 1-7 in the last 8 meetings.
Rockies are 3-8 in the last 11 meetings in Detroit.

Pick: Rockies +152


NY Mets (Thornton) at NY Yankees (Cole) – 1:35 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
Hot: Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Cold: Yankees are 1-5 in Cole’s last 6 starts vs. National League East.
Cold: Yankees are 2-9 in Cole’s last 11 interleague starts.
Cold: Mets are 1-4 in Thornton’s last 5 starts.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 6-0 in Mets last 6 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Mets last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Hot: Over is 3-0-2 in Mets last 5 Saturday games.
Hot: Under is 7-1 in Cole’s last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Over is 7-1 in Mets last 8 overall.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in New York.

Pick: Yankees -1.5 +115

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LA Angels (Urena) at Washington (Alvarez) – 4:05 ET

Win/Loss
Nationals are 10-4 in their last 14 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Nationals are 5-2 in their last 7 home games.
Angels are 7-3 in Urena’s last 10 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Cold: Nationals are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: Nationals are 0-5 in Alvarez’s last 5 starts.
Cold: Nationals are 0-5 in Alvarez’s last 5 starts on grass.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Angels last 6 Saturday games.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Urenas last 5 interleague starts.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Washington.

Pick: Nationals -110


Chicago White Sox (Castillo) at St Louis (Leahy) – 7:15 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: White Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Cardinals are 4-1 in Leahy’s last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Cardinals are 4-1 in Leahy’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Cardinals are 1-6 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series.
Cold: Cardinals are 1-5 in their last 6 Saturday games.
Cold: White Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0-2 in Leahy’s last 8 home starts.
Hot: Under is 5-0-1 in Leahy’s last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Cardinals last 5 Saturday games.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Leahy’s last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 7-1 in Cardinals last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 6-1-1 in Cardinals last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in St. Louis.
Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings.
White Sox are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings.

Pick: Cardinals -112


Texas (Rocker) at Arizona (Pfaadt) – 8:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague games.
Hot: Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
Cold: Rangers are 1-6 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series.
Cold: Rangers are 2-8 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Rangers are 3-9 in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 on grass.
Hot: Under is 6-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 overall.
Hot: Under is 5-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 interleague games.
Hot: Over is 6-1-1 in Rangers last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 5-1-1 in Rangers last 7 interleague games.
Hot: Over is 9-2-1 in Rangers last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.

Head-to-Head
Cold: Rangers are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Arizona.

Pick: Rangers +122