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BOBBY BABOWSKI’S FREE MLB PICKS
**All plays are Listed Pitchers and trends are courtesy of Don Best Sports and are through 7/31/26**
Miami (Phillips) at NY Mets (Thornton) – 4:10 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Marlins are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League East.
Hot: Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Mets are 0-4 in their last 4 Saturday games.
Cold: Marlins are 1-7 in their last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Marlins are 1-7 in their last 8 road games.
Over/Under
Hot: Under is 7-0-1 in Mets last 8 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 7-0 in Mets last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 home games.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 vs. National League East.
Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.
Cold: Marlins are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.
Pick: Marlins +111
Pittsburgh (Ashcraft) at Cincinnati (Abbott) – 6:40 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Pirates are 8-0 in Ashcraft’s last 8 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Pirates are 6-0 in Ashcraft’s last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
Hot: Pirates are 5-0 in Ashcraft’s last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
Cold: Reds are 0-5 in Abbott’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cold: Reds are 0-4 in their last 4 Saturday games.
Cold: Pirates are 0-4 in their last 4 games on grass.
Over/Under
Hot: Over is 8-0 in Ashcraft’s last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.
Hot: Over is 6-0 in Ashcraft’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 14-2 in Ashcraft’s last 16 starts on grass.
Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.
Under is 8-3-2 in the last 13 meetings in Cincinnati.
Cold: Pirates are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.
Pick: Reds +107
Washington (Mikolas) at Atlanta (Lopez) – 7:15 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.
Hot: Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
Hot: Nationals are 5-1 in Mikolas’ last 6 starts.
Cold: Nationals are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. National League East.
Cold: Nationals are 0-4 in their last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cold: Braves are 1-6 in Lopez’s last 7 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Over/Under
Hot: Under is 7-0 in Nationals last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Hot: Over is 6-0 in Mikolas’ last 6 starts on grass.
Hot: Over is 6-0 in Mikolas’ last 6 starts overall.
Hot: Under is 5-0-1 in Lopez’s last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
Head-to-Head
Under is 20-6-1 in the last 27 meetings in Atlanta.
Nationals are 4-12 in the last 16 meetings.
Pick: Braves -1.5 +105
San Francisco (Mahle) at San Diego (Buehler) – 8:40 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Hot: Padres are 5-0 in Buehler’s last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
Cold: Giants are 0-8 in Mahle’s last 8 road starts.
Cold: Giants are 0-5 in Mahle’s last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cold: Giants are 0-4 in Mahle’s last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
Over/Under
Hot: Under is 4-0-2 in Mahle’s last 6 starts on grass.
Hot: Under is 4-0-2 in Mahle’s last 6 starts overall.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 vs. National League West.
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 road games.
Hot: Under is 3-0-2 in Mahle’s last 5 road starts.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Buehler’s last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in San Diego.
Giants are 7-17 in the last 24 meetings.
Pick: Giants +120
Minnesota (Prielipp) at Seattle (Gilbert) – 4:10 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Mariners are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Mariners are 9-1 in Gilbert’s last 10 starts on grass.
Hot: Twins are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Mariners are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
Cold: Mariners are 1-5 in Gilbert’s last 6 Saturday starts.
Cold: Mariners are 2-8 in their last 10 games on grass.
Over/Under
Hot: Under is 8-0 in Twins last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Twins last 5 during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Prielipp’s last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Gilbert’s last 4 starts overall.
Hot: Over is 2-0-2 in Mariners last 4 Saturday games.
Hot: Over is 9-1 in Prielipp’s last 10 starts on grass.
Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Seattle.
Pick: Mariners -1.5 +125
Chicago White Sox (Hicks) at Tampa Bay (Rasmussen) – 4:10 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: White Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: White Sox are 9-1 in their last 10 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Rays are 8-1 in their last 9 vs. American League Central.
Cold: Rays are 0-4 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cold: White Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cold: Rays are 1-4 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 home games.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Hot: Over is 6-1-1 in Rasmussen’s last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Over is 6-1 in Rasmussen’s last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Head-to-Head
Hot: White Sox are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Tampa Bay.
Pick: White Sox +143
Texas (deGrom) at Houston (Blanco) – 7:10 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Astros are 5-0 in Blanco’s last 5 home starts.
Hot: Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cold: Rangers are 0-5 in deGrom’s last 5 Saturday starts.
Cold: Rangers are 1-4 in their last 5 road games.
Cold: Rangers are 1-4 in deGrom’s last 5 starts vs. American League West.
Over/Under
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Over is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings in Houston.
Rangers are 4-10 in the last 14 meetings.
Rangers are 18-42 in the last 60 meetings in Houston.
Pick: Rangers -125
Detroit (Valdez) at Athletics (Perkins) – 9:40 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Tigers are 8-1 in their last 9 vs. American League West.
Hot: Tigers are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Cold: Tigers are 0-7 in Valdez’s last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
Cold: A’s are 0-6 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Cold: A’s are 0-6 in Perkins’ last 6 starts.
Over/Under
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 on grass.
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 overall.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Perkins’ last 4 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 2-0-2 in Perkins’ last 4 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Athletics.
Tigers are 16-40 in the last 56 meetings.
Pick: A’s +122
St Louis (Mathews) at Toronto (Gausman) – 3:07 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Blue Jays are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Cardinals are 8-3 in their last 11 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Blue Jays are 25-10 in their last 35 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cold: Blue Jays are 0-8 in Gausman’s last 8 starts.
Cold: Blue Jays are 0-7 in Gausman’s last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Cold: Blue Jays are 0-6 in Gausman’s last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
Over/Under
Hot: Under is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 5-0-1 in Gausman’s last 6 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 Saturday games.
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Gausman’s last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in Cardinals last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Gausman’s last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in Toronto.
Cold: Cardinals are 0-7 in the last 7 meetings.
Cold: Cardinals are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Toronto.
Pick: Cardinals +122
Philadelphia (Sanchez) at Baltimore (Baz) – 7:05 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Phillies are 8-0 in Sanchez’s last 8 starts vs. American League East.
Hot: Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 Saturday games.
Hot: Phillies are 23-5 in Sanchez’s last 28 starts during game 2 of a series.
Cold: Orioles are 0-6 in Baz’s last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Cold: Orioles are 0-5 in Baz’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Phillies are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 Saturday games.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 overall.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 on grass.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 3-0-2 in the last 5 meetings in Baltimore.
Over is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings.
Phillies are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings in Baltimore.
Pick: Phillies -1.5 +122
NY Yankees (Fried) at Chicago Cubs (Peterson) – 7:15 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Cubs are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cold: Cubs are 1-7 in their last 8 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cold: Cubs are 1-5 in their last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cubs are 2-5 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over/Under
Hot: Under is 7-0 in Cubs last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Fried’s last 4 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 10-1-1 in Cubs last 12 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 8-1 in Yankees last 9 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Chicago.
Hot: Yankees are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Chicago.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
Yankees are 19-7 in the last 26 meetings.
Pick: Yankees -118
Arizona (Drake) at Cleveland (Messick) – 7:15 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Guardians are 6-0 in Messick’s last 6 interleague starts.
Hot: Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 games following a win.
Cold: Guardians are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Guardians are 0-4 in Messick’s last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Diamondbacks are 1-8 in their last 9 interleague road games.
Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 vs. National League West.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Messick’s last 4 starts overall.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 interleague road games.
Head-to-Head
Hot: Diamondbacks are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Cleveland.
Hot: Diamondbacks are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Cleveland.
Pick: Diamondbacks +140
Kansas City (Avila) at Colorado (Feltner) – 8:10 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Royals are 4-0 in Avila’s last 4 interleague starts.
Hot: Royals are 6-1 in Avila’s last 7 road starts.
Cold: Royals are 2-12 in their last 14 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: Rockies are 1-6 in Feltner’s last 7 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cold: Rockies are 1-5 in Feltner’s last 6 starts with 6 days of rest.
Over/Under
Hot: Under is 9-0 in Royals last 9 during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Royals last 5 games following a loss.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Feltner’s last 4 starts on grass.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Feltner’s last 4 starts overall.
Head-to-Head
Hot: Royals are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
Pick: Rockies -115
Boston (Tolle) at LA Dodgers (Yamamoto) – 9:10 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Red Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games.
Hot: Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Cold: Dodgers are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cold: Dodgers are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Dodgers are 2-5 in their last 7 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Dodgers last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Yamamoto’s last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Over is 8-1 in Red Sox last 9 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Yamamoto’s last 7 starts vs. American League East.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Red Sox last 7 overall.
Pick: Dodgers -1.5 +135
Milwaukee (Gasser) at LA Angels (Soriano) – 9:38 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Brewers are 6-1 in Gasser’s last 7 starts.
Hot: Brewers are 6-1 in Gasser’s last 7 starts on grass.
Hot: Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Cold: Angels are 0-5 in their last 5 home games.
Cold: Angels are 0-4 in their last 4 Saturday games.
Cold: Angels are 1-5 in their last 6 games following a loss.
Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0-1 in Angels last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 6-0-1 in Angels last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in Gasser’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 interleague home games.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 vs. National League Central.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Head-to-Head
Hot: Brewers are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles.
Under is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings.
Pick: Brewers -118
