Saints vs 49ers Preview and Free Pick September 20th, 2010

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Saints vs 49ers Preview and Free Pick – September 20th, 2010 ]]> include($base_url . “/includes/header.htm”); ?>

Saints New Orleans Saints (1-0) at San Francisco 49ers (0-1)
When: Monday, September 20th, 2010
Where: Candlestick Park, San Francisco, California
Time: 5:30 PT
TV: ESPN
Opening Line: Saints -4.5
49ers

Saints Last 4 Games
W 14-0 vs Minnesota
L 27-24 @ Tennessee – Pre
W 36-21 vs San Diego – Pre
W 38-20 vs Houston – Pre
49ers Last 4 Games
L 31-6 @ Seattle
W 17-14 vs San Diego – Pre
W 28-24 @ Oakland – Pre
W 15-10 vs Minnesota – Pre

Recent Meetings
9/28/08 – San Francisco 17, New Orleans 31
10/28/07 – New Orleans 31, San Francisco 10
12/3/06 – San Francisco 10, New Orleans 34

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Hopes were high in San Francisco for this year as the 49ers won 3 of their last 4 games last year and then came out and went 4-0 in the preseason. They then laid an egg in Week 1 at Seattle. The Seahawks demolished the Niners 31-6. Frank Gore was held to 38 yards rushing mainly because they had to play from behind most of the game. Alex Smith failed to reach the endzone and threw 2 interceptions completing only 57% of his passes. It seems like forever since the Saints have played. They opened the season 11 days ago with a hard fought 14-9 win at home against the Vikings. Drew Brees was very solid, completing 75% of his passes for 237 yards.

I like taking underdogs on Monday Night despite how much better the favorite might be. Here are some nice trends to consider for this one:

Saints are 3-9 ATS (Against the Spread) in their last 12 vs the NFC.
Saints are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after a straight up win.
Saints are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 against teams with a losing record.

49ers are 8-2-2 ATS in their last 12 against teams with a winning record.
49ers are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 Monday Night games.
49ers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 after a straight up loss.

Pick: 49ers +5

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