Rockies vs Diamondbacks Preview & Free Pick | Prediction [7/5/19]

Colorado (44-42) at Arizona (43-45)
When: Friday, July 5th, 2019
Where: Chase Field,
Phoenix, Arizona
Time: 9:10 ET | TV: FS Arizona,
AT&T SportsNet Rocky Mt.
Opening Odds: Arizona -195/9


Every team in the National League, except the Miami Marlins, are very much alive for a postseason berth as we approach the mid-way point of the season this weekend. Two of those teams will meet once again, as the Colorado Rockies visit the Arizona Diamondbacks in a key showdown between NL West rivals starting Friday night at Chase Field. The Rockies dropped the final three games on their 2-4 homestand while the pitching staff allowed nine runs or more in four of those six games. The road has been a lot kinder for Colorado, recording a 3.90 ERA as compared to 6.41 at Coors Field. One of those staff members that has a wide home/road split is Friday starter Antonio Senzatela, who is 2-0 with a 1.89 ERA in his last three road starts – including a victory over Arizona. He will face an Arizona team that has also lost three in a row including two heart-breakers at Dodger Stadium in which they led entering the bottom of the ninth. All-Star second baseman Ketel Marte went 3-for-5 on Wednesday in Arizona’s 5-4 setback to the Dodgers and is now batting .312 on the season. The Rockies have won eight of 10 meetings this season, including a three-game sweep by a combined 20-9 in Phoenix last month.

Pitchers: Rockies – Antonio Senzatela (7-5, 4.83 ERA) | Diamondbacks – Zack Greinke (9-3, 2.90)

Senzatela actually earned the win over the Dodgers at home last time out after allowing five runs (two earned), seven hits and five walks in five innings of a 13-9 victory – his seventh win. He’s allowed two earned runs or less in six of his last seven starts but is having control issues with 21 free passes in his last 40 innings of work. Senzatela is 2-4 with a 4.93 ERA in 10 games (six starts) versus the Diamondbacks.

Colorado has won eight in a row against Arizona this season.


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Zack Greinke bounced back nicely after a couple of rough outings to shutout the San Francisco Giants over seven innings to pick up his ninth victory of the season. He allowed nine runs across 13 innings over his previous two starts – both at home – including five in a 6-4 loss to Colorado on June 19th. Greinke is 12-7 with a 3.81 ERA in 33 career games (32 starts) against the Rockies.

Greinke has allowed four runs or more in each of his last three home starts and that includes a game against the Rockies. Senzatela has been brilliant on the road this season and has allowed just four runs total across his last three starts against Arizona. Colorado is 8-2 in the season series and are definitely worth a shot here as a big dog.

Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Friday. He is 87-61 +1628 units on the season!

Pick: Rockies +170


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BETTING TRENDS:

Rockies are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Rockies are 9-4 in their last 13 during game 1 of a series.
Rockies are 6-14 in their last 20 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Rockies are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Rockies are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Rockies are 5-1 in Senzatela’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Rockies are 4-1 in Senzatela’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
Rockies are 4-1 in Senzatela’s last 5 starts vs. National League West.
Rockies are 5-2 in Senzatela’s last 7 starts.
Rockies are 5-2 in Senzatela’s last 7 starts on grass.
Rockies are 5-2 in Senzatela’s last 7 Friday starts.
Rockies are 2-5 in Senzatela’s last 7 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Diamondbacks are 8-2 in their last 10 games following an off day.
Diamondbacks are 4-9 in their last 13 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Diamondbacks are 3-7 in their last 10 games following a loss.
Diamondbacks are 2-6 in their last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Diamondbacks are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Diamondbacks are 3-10 in their last 13 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. National League West.
Diamondbacks are 2-8 in their last 10 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 overall.
Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 Friday games.
Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 games on grass.
Diamondbacks are 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Diamondbacks are 7-1 in Greinke’s last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Diamondbacks are 5-1 in Greinke’s last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Diamondbacks are 5-1 in Greinke’s last 6 starts.
Diamondbacks are 4-1 in Greinke’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
Diamondbacks are 4-1 in Greinke’s last 5 starts on grass.
Diamondbacks are 23-9 in Greinke’s last 32 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Diamondbacks are 36-17 in Greinke’s last 53 home starts.
Diamondbacks are 3-7 in Greinke’s last 10 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Diamondbacks are 1-4 in Greinke’s last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.

Over is 4-0-1 in Rockies last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 4-1-1 in Rockies last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 games following an off day.
Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 vs. National League West.
Under is 15-5-3 in Rockies last 23 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 5-2 in Rockies last 7 overall.
Over is 5-2 in Rockies last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 5-2 in Rockies last 7 on grass.
Over is 5-2 in Rockies last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 7-3 in Rockies last 10 Friday games.
Under is 7-1 in Senzatela’s last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 5-1-1 in Senzatela’s last 7 starts on grass.
Under is 5-1 in Senzatela’s last 6 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 5-1-1 in Senzatela’s last 7 starts overall.
Under is 11-3-1 in Senzatela’s last 15 road starts.
Under is 10-3-1 in Senzatela’s last 14 starts vs. National League West.
Under is 9-3 in Senzatela’s last 12 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Over is 5-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 Friday games.
Over is 5-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 5-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 3-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 overall.
Over is 3-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 on grass.
Over is 6-2 in Diamondbacks last 8 home games.
Over is 6-2-1 in Diamondbacks last 9 games following a loss.
Over is 3-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 vs. National League West.
Under is 3-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 3-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 50-19-2 in Diamondbacks last 71 games following an off day.
Over is 5-2 in Diamondbacks last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 4-0 in Greinke’s last 4 home starts.
Over is 7-1 in Greinke’s last 8 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-1 in Greinke’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 8-2 in Greinke’s last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 8-3 in Greinke’s last 11 starts vs. National League West.
Under is 5-2 in Greinke’s last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
Over is 9-4 in Greinke’s last 13 starts during game 1 of a series.

Rockies are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Arizona.
Under is 5-0 in Senzatela’s last 5 starts vs. Diamondbacks.
Rockies are 18-4 in the last 22 meetings.
Diamondbacks are 3-7 in Greinke’s last 10 home starts vs. Rockies.
Diamondbacks are 0-4 in Greinke’s last 4 starts vs. Rockies.

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