Rockies @ Dodgers Preview and Pick

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Opening Line: Dodgers -135

Now that Interleague play is over, its time to focus on the division races as the 2009 season winds down to the All-Star break. As the Dodgers await the return of Manny Ramirez, the National League West is tightening up a bit. The red-hot Colorado Rockies come to town trailing by only 7.5 games. A month ago, the Rockies seemed destined for a very long year. They were in dead last, 10 games under .500 and 14.5 games behind the Dodgers. Since then, the Rocks have won an amazing 20 of 23 games. Everything is clicking for them right now. Pitching, hitting, and defense. They have a great chance this week to cut into the Dodgers lead. More importantly, they’re only a half game behind the Giants for the Wild Card.

The Dodgers, meanwhile, lost 2 out of 3 over the weekend to Seattle and dropped back-to-back home games for the first time this year. They have lost 4 of 5 overall, but still own the best record in Baseball at 48-28. They also have the N.L.’s best home record at 26-12. Ramirez is due back on Friday and it looks like it couldn’t come a better time.

The Dodgers try to get back on track tonight with Randy Wolf on the hill. Wolf is 3-3 this year with a 3.64 ERA. He faced Colorado early this year and struck out 9 in a 4-3 Dodgers win on April 17th. The Rockies go with Ubaldo Jimenez. He’s only 6-7 on the year, but has a respectable 3.83 ERA. This will be his 4th crack at the Dodgers this year. He didn’t fare well in the previous three as he holds a 10.02 ERA against LA this year.

The Rockies have 23 road wins this year, the 2nd most in the Majors. This should be a pretty good series considering how well the Dodgers play at home. I’m going to give the edge tonight to the Dodgers. Colorado has only hit .213 this year vs. lefties on the road. The Dodgers have also won 8 of the 9 meeting this year and 11 of 13 going back to last year.
 
Pick: Dodgers -125

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Here are some other trends to consider in this game:

Rockies are 7-16 in Jimenezs last 23 starts as an underdog.
Rockies are 7-19 in Jimenezs last 26 starts as a road underdog.
Rockies are 7-21 in Jimenezs last 28 road starts.
Rockies are 3-11 in Jimenezs last 14 starts with 5 days of rest.
Rockies are 1-4 in Jimenezs last 5 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Rockies are 1-4 in Jimenezs last 5 starts vs. National League West.
Rockies are 1-4 in Jimenezs last 5 road starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Rockies are 1-4 in Jimenezs last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Rockies are 1-5 in Jimenezs last 6 Monday starts.
Rockies are 1-6 in Jimenezs last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Dodgers are 12-4 in their last 16 games following a loss.
Dodgers are 50-17 in their last 67 games as a home favorite.
Dodgers are 22-8 in their last 30 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Dodgers are 5-2 in their last 7 Monday games.
Dodgers are 15-6 in their last 21 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Dodgers are 42-17 in their last 59 vs. National League West.
Dodgers are 30-13 in their last 43 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Dodgers are 46-20 in their last 66 home games.
Dodgers are 48-21 in their last 69 games as a favorite.
Dodgers are 17-8 in their last 25 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Dodgers are 37-18 in their last 55 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150.
Dodgers are 35-17 in their last 52 games as a favorite of -110 to -150.
Dodgers are 8-0 in Wolfs last 8 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Dodgers are 5-0 in Wolfs last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Dodgers are 5-0 in Wolfs last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Dodgers are 7-1 in Wolfs last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Dodgers are 6-1 in Wolfs last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.
Dodgers are 10-2 in Wolfs last 12 starts as a home favorite.
Dodgers are 5-1 in Wolfs last 6 starts as a favorite.
Dodgers are 5-1 in Wolfs last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
Dodgers are 9-2 in Wolfs last 11 home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Dodgers are 4-1 in Wolfs last 5 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Dodgers are 8-2 in Wolfs last 10 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150.
Dodgers are 4-1 in Wolfs last 5 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150.
Dodgers are 4-1 in Wolfs last 5 starts vs. National League West.
Dodgers are 12-3 in Wolfs last 15 home starts.
Dodgers are 7-2 in Wolfs last 9 starts.
Dodgers are 7-2 in Wolfs last 9 starts on grass.
Dodgers are 5-2 in Wolfs last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.

 

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