Red Sox vs Twins Preview & Free Pick | Prediction [6/19/19]

Boston (39-35) at Minnesota (48-23)
When: Wednesday, June 19th, 2019
Where: Target Field,
Minneapolis, MN
Time: 8:10 ET | TV: NESN,
FS North
Opening Odds: Minnesota -113/9.5


Clearly the game of the night on Tuesday took place at Target Field in Minneapolis, as the Minnesota Twins edged the Boston Red Sox in a 17-inning marathon thanks to the bat of Max Kepler. The win snapped a two-game skid for the Twins, who are still the only team in the majors without a three-game losing streak. The Twins was one of our top plays over on our MLB Free Picks page and we’re going right back to this matchup tonight. Max Kepler did not enter the game until the eighth inning but made a big impact nonetheless. He tied the contest in that inning then answered a Mookie Betts 13th inning home run with one of his own to keep the Twins alive until delivering a walk-off single in the 17th. Eddie Rosario recorded four hits, including one of his three doubles during the 17th to settle the longest game by innings in the history of Target Field. Rafael Devers collected three hits for his fifth multiple-hit performance in seven games for Boston, who fell into a tie with Texas for the second wild card spot – one-half game ahead of Cleveland. Boston’s bullpen has now blown 14 saves on the season after needing eight relievers to cover the final 11.1 innings. Red Sox DH J.D. Martinez had a brutal night, going 0-for-8 with five strikeouts.

Pitchers: Red Sox – Eduardo Rodriguez (7-4, 4.67 ERA) | Twins – Kyle Gibson (7-3, 3.70)

Eduardo Rodriguez matched his longest outing of the season and highest pitch count (114) last time out in Baltimore, and will need to do the same after Boston’s bullpen was taxed in last night’s marathon. He limited the Orioles to one run and six hits over seven innings to improve to 3-1 in his last four outings. He is 1-1 with a 3.91 ERA in four starts against Minnesota.


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Kyle Gibson has the same amount of victories as Rodriguez but with an ERA almost a run lower at 3.70. He took care of business last time out against the lowly Kansas City Royals by holding them to two hits over a season-high eight innings for his third win in four starts. The strong performance also improve his record at Target Field to 4-0 with a 2.45 ERA. Gibson held Boston to three runs and struck out 12 in two starts against them last season over 14 innings.

I’m going to ride this Twins team again, especially after last night’s dramatic win when it looked like they were going to lose twice. Rodriguez has been way too inconsistent this season and the Twins bats should get to him.

Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Wednesday. He is 80-52 +2018 units on the season after a 30-14 run!

Pick: Twins -122


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BETTING TRENDS:

Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.
Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 games on grass.
Red Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.
Red Sox are 58-15 in their last 73 during game 3 of a series.
Red Sox are 40-13 in their last 53 Wednesday games.
Red Sox are 20-8 in their last 28 road games.
Red Sox are 68-31 in their last 99 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Red Sox are 6-0 in Rodriguez’s last 6 starts vs. American League Central.
Red Sox are 7-0 in Rodriguez’s last 7 Wednesday starts.
Red Sox are 17-4 in Rodriguez’s last 21 starts during game 3 of a series.
Red Sox are 20-6 in Rodriguez’s last 26 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Red Sox are 16-5 in Rodriguez’s last 21 road starts.
Red Sox are 29-10 in Rodriguez’s last 39 starts with 4 days of rest.
Red Sox are 8-3 in Rodriguez’s last 11 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Red Sox are 41-16 in Rodriguez’s last 57 starts on grass.
Red Sox are 36-15 in Rodriguez’s last 51 starts.

Twins are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Twins are 21-5 in their last 26 during game 3 of a series.
Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League East.
Twins are 46-14 in their last 60 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Twins are 9-3 in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Twins are 7-3 in their last 10 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Twins are 39-17 in their last 56 overall.
Twins are 54-24 in their last 78 home games.
Twins are 15-7 in their last 22 games following a win.
Twins are 48-23 in their last 71 games on grass.
Twins are 6-0 in Gibson’s last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
Twins are 4-0 in Gibson’s last 4 home starts.
Twins are 5-1 in Gibson’s last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Twins are 4-1 in Gibson’s last 5 starts vs. American League East.
Twins are 12-4 in Gibson’s last 16 starts.
Twins are 10-4 in Gibson’s last 14 starts on grass.
Twins are 1-4 in Gibson’s last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Under is 7-1 in Red Sox last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Under is 6-2-1 in Red Sox last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 19-7 in Red Sox last 26 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 15-6 in Red Sox last 21 Wednesday games.
Over is 10-4 in Red Sox last 14 vs. American League Central.
Over is 6-0 in Rodriguez’s last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Over is 9-1 in Rodriguez’s last 10 road starts.
Over is 5-1 in Rodriguez’s last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 13-3 in Rodriguez’s last 16 starts overall.
Over is 4-1 in Rodriguez’s last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
Over is 11-3 in Rodriguez’s last 14 starts on grass.
Over is 7-2 in Rodriguez’s last 9 starts with 4 days of rest.
Over is 6-2 in Rodriguez’s last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Under is 5-0 in Twins last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 Wednesday games.
Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 9-1-1 in Twins last 11 during game 3 of a series.
Under is 4-1-1 in Twins last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 4-1-2 in Twins last 7 games following a win.
Under is 3-1-1 in Twins last 5 overall.
Under is 3-1-1 in Twins last 5 on grass.
Under is 3-1-1 in Twins last 5 home games.
Over is 3-1-1 in Twins last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 4-0 in Gibson’s last 4 home starts.
Over is 4-1 in Gibson’s last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
Over is 7-2-1 in Gibson’s last 10 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Over is 3-1-1 in Gibson’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 10-4 in Gibson’s last 14 Wednesday starts.
Over is 11-5 in Gibson’s last 16 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Red Sox are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

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