Texas (17-18) at Boston (18-18)
When: Tuesday, May 6th 2025
Where: Fenway Park,
Boston, MA
Time: 6:45 ET | TV: MLB.tv
Opening Odds: Boston -110/8.5
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Rangers vs Red Sox Recent Meetings
| Date | Home/Away | H Starter | A Starter | Line | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/30/25 | TEX 3 - BOS 2 | J. deGrom | R. Fitts | -148/7.5 | U |
| 3/29/25 | TEX 4 - BOS 3 | T. Mahle | W. Buehler | -113/9 | U |
| 3/28/25 | TEX 4 - BOS 1 | J. Leiter | T. Houck | 100/9 | U |
| 3/27/25 | TEX 2 - BOS 5 | N. Eovaldi | G. Crochet | 114/8 | U |
| 2024 Season | |||||
| 8/14/24 | BOS 7 - TEX 9 x | T. Houck | D. Dunning | -129/9.5 | O |
| 8/13/24 | BOS 9 - TEX 4 | K. Crawford | J. Urena | -136/10 | O |
| 8/12/24 | BOS 5 - TEX 4 x | B. Bello | T. Mahle | -122/9 | P |
| 8/4/24 | TEX 2 - BOS 7 | N. Eovaldi | N. Pivetta | -114/7.5 | O |
| 8/3/24 | TEX 7 - BOS 4 | C. Bradford | T. Houck | -113/8.5 | O |
| 8/2/24 | TEX 6 - BOS 11 | J. Urena | K. Crawford | -111/9 | O |
| 2023 Season | |||||
| 9/20/23 | TEX 15 - BOS 5 | J. Gray | B. Bello | -144/9 | O |
| 9/19/23 | TEX 6 - BOS 4 | N. Eovaldi | T. Houck | -144/9 | O |
| 9/18/23 | TEX 2 - BOS 4 | J. Montgomery | K. Crawford | -174/9 | U |
| 7/6/23 | BOS 10 - TEX 6 | K. Crawford | N. Eovaldi | 125/9.5 | O |
| 7/5/23 | BOS 4 - TEX 2 | B. Bello | J. Gray | 100/10 | U |
| 7/4/23 | BOS 2 - TEX 6 | B. Bernardino | D. Dunning | 104/10.5 | U |
| 2022 Season | |||||
| 9/4/22 | BOS 5 - TEX 2 | J. Winckowski | D. Dunning | -110/9.5 | U |
| 9/3/22 | BOS 5 - TEX 3 | B. Bello | D. Santana | -152/9.5 | U |
| 9/2/22 | BOS 9 - TEX 1 | N. Pivetta | D. Keuchel | -186/9.5 | O |
| 9/1/22 | BOS 9 - TEX 8 | R. Hill | G. Otto | -162/9 | O |
Nathan Eovaldi L10 Starts
| Date | vs | S/R | Res | Score | IP | H | R | ER | K | BB | HR | P | P/IP | GB:FB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/30/25 | ATH | S | ND | 1-7 | 6.0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 92 | 15.3 | 3.00 |
| 4/25/25 | @ SF | S | W | 2-0 | 6.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 99 | 16.5 | 1.00 |
| 4/19/25 | LAD | S | ND | 4-3 | 6.0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 15.0 | 1.75 |
| 4/13/25 | @ SEA | S | L | 1-3 | 5.0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 89 | 17.8 | 2.00 |
| 4/7/25 | @ CHC | S | L | 0-7 | 4.2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 87 | 18.6 | 2.33 |
| 4/1/25 | @ CIN | S | W | 1-0 | 9.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 99 | 11.0 | 14.00 |
| 3/27/25 | BOS | S | ND | 2-5 | 6.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 87 | 14.5 | 2.50 |
| 9/29/24 | @ LAA | S | W | 8-0 | 7.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 92 | 13.1 | 3.67 |
| 9/24/24 | @ ATH | S | ND | 4-5 | 7.0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 90 | 12.9 | 1.40 |
| 9/17/24 | TOR | S | ND | 13-8 | 4.2 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 93 | 19.9 | 1.67 |
Lucas Giolito L10 Starts
| Date | vs | S/R | Res | Score | IP | H | R | ER | K | BB | HR | P | P/IP | GB:FB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/30/25 | @ TOR | S | ND | 6-7 | 6.0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 90 | 15.0 | 1.00 |
| 10/1/23 | @ DET (CLE ) | S | L | 2-5 | 5.0 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 106 | 21.2 | 2.50 |
| 9/26/23 | CIN (CLE ) | S | ND | 7-11 | 3.1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 98 | 29.4 | 1.00 |
| 9/20/23 | @ KC (CLE ) | S | L | 2-6 | 5.1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 105 | 19.7 | 4.00 |
| 9/15/23 | TEX (CLE ) | S | W | 12-3 | 7.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 100 | 14.3 | .75 |
| 9/9/23 | @ LAA (CLE ) | S | L | 2-6 | 7.0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 92 | 13.1 | 3.50 |
| 9/4/23 | MIN (CLE ) | S | L | 6-20 | 3.0 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 76 | 25.3 | .50 |
| 8/28/23 | @ PHI (LAA ) | S | L | 4-6 | 5.2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 106 | 18.7 | 1.25 |
| 8/22/23 | CIN (LAA ) | S | L | 3-4 | 6.0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 100 | 16.7 | 2.00 |
| 8/15/23 | @ TEX (LAA ) | S | L | 3-7 | 6.0 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 110 | 18.3 | 2.50 |
Prediction
This looks like a low-scoring game to me. The Rangers have the fewest runs scored in the American League and they’ve scored over two runs just twice in their last 10 games. Boston has been scoring runs, but they’ll be going up against a red-hot pitcher in Eovaldi. He has a 2.11 ERA and 0.77 WHIP and six of his seven starts have gone under the total. Giolito is making just his second start since 2023 and was rusty last week. I expect him to be better tonight. These teams played a four-game series back on opening week and all four went under.
Pick: UNDER 9 -120
