Orioles vs Blue Jays Preview, Odds, Trends, & Free Pick [9/13/17]

Baltimore (71-74) at Toronto (68-77)
When: Wednesday, September 13th 2017
Where: Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario
Time: 7:05 ET | TV: MASN2, Sportsnet
Opening Odds: Toronto -135/8.5

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The Baltimore Orioles are slowly fading out of the playoff picture and will look to right the ship on Wednesday night when they try and avoid a three-game sweep at the hands of the last-place Toronto Blue Jays. The Jays scored twice in the bottom of the ninth for a walk-off win on Tuesday and their fourth consecutive victory overall. Britton’s second blown save in eight appearances following his American League-record streak of 60 sent the Orioles to their sixth consecutive defeat and dropped them 4.5 games out of the second wild card with 17 to play. Kevin Gausman, who is 2-0 with a 1.57 ERA in five starts this season versus Toronto, will attempt to end the slide on Wednesday as he opposes Blue Jays ace Marcus Stroman. Rookie shortstop Richard Urena capped a three-hit game with a walk-off single to lift the Blue Jays and extend his hitting streak to five games. Blue Jays C Russell Martin, sidelined for a month with an oblique injury, is scheduled to return Wednesday. Tim Beckham hit his 21st homer Tuesday for the Orioles and ninth in 40 games since he was acquired from Tampa Bay.

Pitchers: Orioles – Kevin Gausman (10-10, 4.99 ERA) | Blue Jays – Marcus Stroman (11-7, 3.18)

Gausman’s up-and-down year continued in his latest outing against the New York Yankees, when he was hit for five runs on five hits over three innings to reach double-digit losses for the second straight season. He threw 13.2 scoreless innings in his previous two starts, blanking Toronto on five hits over six innings in a no-decision on September 1st. Kevin Pillar has owned Gausman, going 10-for-22 lifetime.

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Stroman will make his fifth attempt at his 12th victory after taking the loss on Friday against Detroit, allowing four runs on six hits over six innings. He was knocked out of the game in the second inning at Baltimore in his previous outing when he was hit by a line drive by Mark Trumbo. Adam Jones is 6-for-19 against Stroman, who beat the Orioles with 7.2 scoreless innings of five-hit ball on June 28th.

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The Orioles have been a very streaky team all season and right now, they’re cold. Even their star closer is blowing games. I like Stroman in this one tonight and for the Jays to hit Gausman pretty good.

Pick: Blue Jays -119

BETTING TRENDS:

  • Orioles are 18-37 in their last 55 road games.
  • Orioles are 11-29 in their last 40 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. American League East.
  • Orioles are 0-4 in their last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Orioles are 0-5 in their last 5 games following a loss.
  • Orioles are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Orioles are 0-6 in their last 6 overall.
  • Orioles are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Orioles are 0-7 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Orioles are 0-5 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Orioles are 0-4 in their last 4 games on astroturf.
  • Orioles are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Orioles are 5-1 in Gausman’s last 6 starts vs. American League East.
  • Orioles are 4-1 in Gausman’s last 5 road starts.
  • Orioles are 3-7 in Gausman’s last 10 starts during game 3 of a series.
  • Orioles are 1-5 in Gausman’s last 6 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
  • Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 games on astroturf.
  • Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
  • Blue Jays are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
  • Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Blue Jays are 11-4 in their last 15 Wednesday games.
  • Blue Jays are 9-4 in their last 13 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Blue Jays are 2-5 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.
  • Blue Jays are 4-0 in Stroman’s last 4 Wednesday starts.
  • Blue Jays are 4-1 in Stroman’s last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
  • Blue Jays are 4-1 in Stroman’s last 5 starts vs. American League East.
  • Blue Jays are 4-1 in Stroman’s last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Blue Jays are 9-4 in Stroman’s last 13 starts on astroturf.
  • Blue Jays are 11-5 in Stroman’s last 16 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 overall.
  • Under is 4-0-1 in Orioles last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Under is 6-0 in Orioles last 6 road games.
  • Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games following a loss.
  • Under is 7-1 in Orioles last 8 on astroturf.
  • Under is 17-3-2 in Orioles last 22 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Under is 13-3 in Orioles last 16 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Under is 4-1 in Orioles last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Under is 22-7-1 in Orioles last 30 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Under is 15-5-2 in Orioles last 22 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Over is 3-1-1 in Orioles last 5 during game 3 of a series.
  • Under is 20-7 in Orioles last 27 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Under is 14-5 in Orioles last 19 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Over is 4-0-1 in Gausman’s last 5 starts following an outing of less than 4 innings in his last appearance.
  • Under is 4-0 in Gausman’s last 4 starts on astroturf.
  • Under is 5-1 in Gausman’s last 6 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Under is 8-2 in Gausman’s last 10 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Under is 4-1 in Gausman’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Under is 4-1 in Gausman’s last 5 road starts.
  • Under is 4-1 in Gausman’s last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
  • Under is 7-2 in Gausman’s last 9 starts overall.
  • Under is 19-7 in Gausman’s last 26 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-2 in Gausman’s last 7 Wednesday starts.
  • Under is 35-14-2 in Gausman’s last 51 starts vs. American League East.
  • Under is 4-0-1 in Blue Jays last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 vs. American League East.
  • Under is 7-1 in Blue Jays last 8 games following a win.
  • Under is 12-3 in Blue Jays last 15 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Under is 4-1-1 in Blue Jays last 6 during game 3 of a series.
  • Under is 9-3 in Blue Jays last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
  • Under is 6-2 in Blue Jays last 8 Wednesday games.
  • Under is 6-2-1 in Blue Jays last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Under is 14-5 in Blue Jays last 19 home games.
  • Under is 8-3 in Blue Jays last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Under is 5-2 in Blue Jays last 7 overall.
  • Under is 5-2 in Blue Jays last 7 on astroturf.
  • Over is 4-0-2 in Stroman’s last 6 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Over is 3-0-1 in Stroman’s last 4 starts overall.
  • Over is 3-0-1 in Stroman’s last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
  • Over is 3-1-3 in Stroman’s last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.
  • Under is 6-2-1 in Stroman’s last 9 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Over is 9-3-1 in Stroman’s last 13 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Over is 8-3-3 in Stroman’s last 14 starts with 4 days of rest.
  • Under is 3-0-1 in Stroman’s last 4 starts vs. Orioles.
  • Orioles are 5-0 in Gausman’s last 5 starts vs. Blue Jays.
  • Under is 12-2 in the last 14 meetings in Toronto.
  • Under is 21-4-1 in the last 26 meetings.
  • Under is 5-1 in Gausman’s last 6 road starts vs. Blue Jays.
  • Under is 5-1 in Gausman’s last 6 starts vs. Blue Jays.
  • Orioles are 30-61 in the last 91 meetings in Toronto.

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