Oregon vs LSU Spread, Trends, and Free Pick – September 3rd, 2011 ]]> include($base_url . “/includes/header.htm”); ?>
The point spread for Saturday Night’s ABC game between the Oregon Ducks and LSU Tigers opened up at -3 in favor of LSU at Bodog Sportsbook. A few suspensions, including QB Jordan Jefferson took this game off the board. Now that Jefferson won’t play, the Ducks are 4-point favorites as of Thursday afternoon. The total opened at 55 and has since inched down to 54.5. Right now, the betting public is split right down the middle on the spread and total. To help you better decide who to bet, take a look at these trends for tonight.
Ducks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
Ducks are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Tigers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games in September.
Tigers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Under is 5-1 in Ducks last 6 neutral site games.
Over is 21-7-2 in Ducks last 30 games in September.
Over is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 vs. Pac-12.
Under is 5-2 in Tigers last 7 games in September.
My Prediction: This is more than likely an elimination game for the Ducks. If they don’t win this game, they will have a hard time getting into the BCS Championship Game with one loss. Oregon is loaded on offense again led by QB Darron Thomas and RB LaMichael James. This will be the Ducks 2nd consecutive game against an SEC team. You’ll recall that they only scored 19 against Auburn in losing the BCS Championship last January. LSU will be guided by Senior Jarrett Lee taking over for the suspended Jefferson. The Tigers lost their leading rusher and receiver to graduation. This is a tough one to call. LSU has the defense similar to Auburn’s in order to slow down the Ducks, but I think LSU’s offense will have a little trouble. Look for a close game at halftime, then Chip Kelly will make some adjustments and the Ducks will win by 6 or more.
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