Nuggets vs 76ers Preview and Free Pick | Prediction [3/26/18]

Denver (40-33) at Philadelphia (42-30)
When: Monday, March 26th 2018
Where: Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA
Time: 7:05 ET | TV: NBA TV
Opening Odds: Philadelphia -5/220

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The Denver Nuggets have been one of the best home teams in the league this season, but the road has been a different story. The Nuggets are on the outside looking in as they continue their brutal seven-game road trip with a visit to Philadelphia on Monday to take on the surging 76ers. Denver, who are 2-2 on the trip thus far, enter play 1.5 games behind the Utah Jazz for the No. 8 spot in the West. They dropped the first two games of the road trip before winning at Chicago and Washington to improve to 13-23 away from the Pepsi Center. It won’t get any easier as the final three opponents on the trip – Philadelphia, Toronto and Oklahoma City – are all in the top four of their respective conferences. The Nuggets are hoping to stay close to Utah during the trip before finishing up the regular season with four of six at home. The 76ers are on the verge of clinching their first playoff berth since 2011-12 and are sitting in the No. 4 spot in the East after cruising past the Minnesota Timberwolves 120-108 on Saturday. Philadelphia is just 1.5 games behind the Cleveland Cavaliers for the No. 3 spot and will face five straight opponents with losing records after their contest with the Nuggets. The Sixers took the first meeting in Denver 107-102 on December 30th.

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Will Barton carried the Nuggets past the Wizards on Friday by scoring 14 of his 23 points in the fourth quarter, including four free throws in the final 26 seconds to clinch it. Barton has taken on a heavier role of late with fellow shooting guard Gary Harris (knee) out and is averaging 20.3 points over the last three games. Center Nikola Jokic scored 25 points on Friday and is averaging 26.6 over his last three, while Jamal Murray is averaging 20.8 points over the last eight games to lift his season mark to 16.6.

The road team has won 5 of the last 6 matchup outright.

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Philadelphia point guard Ben Simmons is wrapping up a terrific first season in the league and trying to lock up the Rookie of the Year Award. He recorded 15 points, 13 assists and 12 rebounds on Saturday for his 10th triple-double. Joel Embiid is also making his presence felt down the stretch and had 19 points, six boards, and three blocks in just 24 minutes on Saturday. Shooting guard Marco Belinelli is averaging 17 points on 60 percent shooting in the last four games.

https://youtu.be/xYwhvue1nN8

Denver may have won their last two on the road, but the trip gets really tough now and the Sixers are rolling into the playoffs. Philly is playing with a lot of confidence and swagger right now and I don’t see Denver keeping it close. The Nuggets will also miss Harris’ shooting in this game.

Pick: 76ers -5.5

  • Nuggets are 7-3-2 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Nuggets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Nuggets are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Atlantic.
  • Nuggets are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • 76ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.
  • 76ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
  • 76ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • 76ers are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • 76ers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
  • 76ers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 home games.
  • 76ers are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • 76ers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 vs. NBA Northwest.
  • 76ers are 50-21-1 ATS in their last 72 vs. Western Conference.
  • 76ers are 56-26-2 ATS in their last 84 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • 76ers are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Over is 5-0 in Nuggets last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Over is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 Monday games.
  • Over is 8-2 in Nuggets last 10 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Over is 12-3 in Nuggets last 15 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 11-3 in Nuggets last 14 vs. NBA Atlantic.
  • Over is 7-2 in Nuggets last 9 games following a ATS win.
  • Over is 9-3 in Nuggets last 12 games following a straight up win.
  • Over is 15-5 in Nuggets last 20 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 14-5 in Nuggets last 19 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 19-7 in Nuggets last 26 overall.
  • Under is 8-3 in Nuggets last 11 games playing on 2 days rest.
  • Over is 5-2 in Nuggets last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Over is 5-1 in 76ers last 6 overall.
  • Over is 5-1 in 76ers last 6 vs. NBA Northwest.
  • Over is 4-1 in 76ers last 5 games following a straight up win.
  • Over is 4-1 in 76ers last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-1 in 76ers last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 8-3 in 76ers last 11 Monday games.
  • Over is 5-2 in 76ers last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Under is 7-3 in 76ers last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Nuggets are 8-3-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings in Philadelphia.
  • Road team is 19-6-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings.
  • Nuggets are 1-6-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
  • Underdog is 6-1-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

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