Nationals vs Mets Preview & Free Pick | Prediction [8/10/19]

Washington (61-54) at NY Mets (60-56)
When: Saturday, August 10th, 2019
Where: Citi Field,
New York, NY
Time: 7:10 ET | TV: MASN, WPIX
Opening Odds: New York -125/7.5


The surging New York Mets can do no wrong right now and look to build on their momentum of Friday night’s ninth-inning comeback when they host the Washington Nationals again on Saturday. Michael Conforto laced an RBI single to right field to cap a four-run ninth inning comeback over the Nationals, as the Mets moved closer to a National League wild-card playoff berth with a stunning 7-6 win. It was New York’s seventh straight victory to move them into the second NL wild-card spot pending Friday’s late action. The Mets, who began the day tied with the St. Louis Cardinals and Philadelphia Phillies, a half-game back of the Milwaukee Brewers, were eight games out of the second wild card 15 days ago. The Nationals, meanwhile, still are atop the NL wild-card standings despite having their three-game winning streak snapped. Anthony Rendon had an RBI triple in the fourth and a go-ahead two-run homer in the seventh for the Nationals. Juan Soto hit a two-run homer in the fourth and Trea Turner scored on a wild pitch for what appeared to be an insurance run in the ninth. Pete Alonso homered for the fourth straight game – one shy of the team record – when he launched a two-run shot into the left field seats for his 38th of the season. Saturday’s contest will feature a terrific pitching matchup with Washington’s Patrick Corbin opposing New York’s Noah Syndergaard.

Pitchers: Nationals – Patrick Corbin (9-5, 3.43 ERA) | Mets – Noah Syndergaard (8-5, 3.96)

Washington is 7-2 in Corbin’s last nine starts but the latest one was his worst of the bunch. Corbin allowed five runs and seven hits over 5.1 innings at Arizona on Sunday after surrendering three runs or less in his previous eight outings. The lefty is 2-2 in four starts against the Mets this season with both losses coming in New York, where he’s allowed a total of seven runs and 12 hits – five homers – in 11 innings.


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Syndergaard has rebounded from a rough outing at home against San Diego with two gems – and Mets wins – working 14.1 innings and allowing one earned run and eight hits while striking out 14. He recorded his fifth straight quality start after scattering one run and three hits across seven innings to earn a win at Pittsburgh on Sunday. Syndergaard is 1-1 with a 3.60 ERA and 19 strikeouts over 20 innings in three starts against Washington this season.

It’s hard to go against the Mets right now, especially with Syndergaard on the mound. Corbin has been solid all season, but has been roughed up in his two trips to Citi Field. I say the Mets keep the train rolling tonight behind Syndergaard.

Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Saturday. He is 106-74 +2028 units on the season after a 7-1 run!

Pick: Mets -105

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BETTING TRENDS:

Nationals are 14-4 in their last 18 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Nationals are 12-4 in their last 16 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Nationals are 10-4 in their last 14 games following a loss.
Nationals are 15-6 in their last 21 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Nationals are 29-14 in their last 43 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Nationals are 3-7 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Nationals are 2-5 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series.
Nationals are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Nationals are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. National League East.
Nationals are 6-1 in Corbin’s last 7 starts vs. National League East.
Nationals are 5-1 in Corbin’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Nationals are 7-2 in Corbin’s last 9 starts.
Nationals are 7-2 in Corbin’s last 9 starts on grass.
Nationals are 6-2 in Corbin’s last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.
Nationals are 5-2 in Corbin’s last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Nationals are 5-2 in Corbin’s last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Nationals are 7-3 in Corbin’s last 10 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Nationals are 7-3 in Corbin’s last 10 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Nationals are 2-6 in Corbin’s last 8 road starts.

Mets are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. National League East.
Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Mets are 9-0 in their last 9 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Mets are 9-0 in their last 9 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 Saturday games.
Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Mets are 12-1 in their last 13 games following a win.
Mets are 10-1 in their last 11 home games.
Mets are 9-2 in their last 11 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Mets are 20-6 in their last 26 overall.
Mets are 20-6 in their last 26 games on grass.
Mets are 4-0 in Syndergaard’s last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Mets are 4-0 in Syndergaard’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Mets are 6-0 in Syndergaard’s last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Mets are 5-1 in Syndergaard’s last 6 starts vs. National League East.
Mets are 5-1 in Syndergaard’s last 6 Saturday starts.
Mets are 5-1 in Syndergaard’s last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Mets are 4-1 in Syndergaard’s last 5 home starts.
Mets are 7-2 in Syndergaard’s last 9 starts.
Mets are 7-2 in Syndergaard’s last 9 starts on grass.
Mets are 6-2 in Syndergaard’s last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.

Under is 8-2 in Nationals last 10 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 8-2-1 in Nationals last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-1-1 in Nationals last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Under is 11-3 in Nationals last 14 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 11-3 in Nationals last 14 vs. National League East.
Under is 17-5 in Nationals last 22 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 13-4 in Nationals last 17 road games.
Under is 7-3 in Nationals last 10 during game 2 of a series.
Under is 23-10 in Nationals last 33 overall.
Under is 23-10 in Nationals last 33 on grass.
Under is 18-8 in Nationals last 26 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 15-7-1 in Nationals last 23 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-0 in Corbin’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-0 in Corbin’s last 4 starts vs. National League East.
Under is 6-1 in Corbin’s last 7 starts on grass.
Under is 6-1 in Corbin’s last 7 starts overall.
Under is 5-1 in Corbin’s last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Corbin’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Corbin’s last 7 road starts.

Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-1-2 in Mets last 8 overall.
Over is 5-1-2 in Mets last 8 on grass.
Over is 5-1 in Mets last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-1-2 in Mets last 7 games following a win.
Over is 3-1-2 in Mets last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 3-1-2 in Mets last 6 home games.
Over is 15-5-4 in Mets last 24 vs. National League East.
Under is 5-2-2 in Mets last 9 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Syndergaard’s last 4 home starts.
Over is 10-1 in Syndergaard’s last 11 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 8-1 in Syndergaard’s last 9 starts with 5 days of rest.
Over is 7-1 in Syndergaard’s last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.
Over is 7-1 in Syndergaard’s last 8 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-1 in Syndergaard’s last 6 Saturday starts.
Over is 10-2 in Syndergaard’s last 12 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 8-2 in Syndergaard’s last 10 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 13-6-1 in Syndergaard’s last 20 starts on grass.
Over is 13-6-1 in Syndergaard’s last 20 starts overall.

Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in New York.
Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Under is 7-0 in Syndergaard’s last 7 home starts vs. Nationals.
Under is 4-1-1 in Syndergaard’s last 6 starts vs. Nationals.
Mets are 1-4 in Syndergaard’s last 5 home starts vs. Nationals.
Nationals are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings in New York.
Nationals are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings.

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