Monday’s NHL Hockey Free Picks & Predictions [10/5/26]

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JAY COOPER’S BEST BETS
4-1 (+$398) Run

BOBBY BABOWSKI’S BEST BETS

Trends are through 10/3/26 and courtesy of Don Best Sports.


Philadelphia at Tampa Bay – 7:07 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Flyers are 4-0 in their last 4 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation.
Hot: Lightning are 4-1 in their last 5 Monday games.
Lightning are 66-25 in their last 91 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Cold: Lightning are 0-7 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Cold: Flyers are 0-7 in their last 7 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Cold: Flyers are 0-7 in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Flyers last 6 road games.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Flyers last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
Hot: Under is 2-0-3 in Flyers last 5 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 days situation.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Lightning last 4 home games.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Lightning last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Hot: Under is 10-1 in Lightning last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.

Head-to-Head
Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Tampa Bay.
Flyers are 5-17 in the last 22 meetings in Tampa Bay.

Pick: Lightning -1.5 +130


Ottawa at Boston – 7:37 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Bruins are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss of 3 or more goals.
Hot: Senators are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. Atlantic.
Bruins are 18-6 in their last 24 home games.
Cold: Bruins are 0-7 in their last 7 Monday games.
Cold: Senators are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Senators are 0-4 in their last 4 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0-1 in Senators last 6 overall.
Hot: Under is 5-0-1 in Senators last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Bruins last 4 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Bruins last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Senators last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Senators last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Home team is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
Hot: Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Boston.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Hot: Senators are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Senators are 4-11 in the last 15 meetings in Boston.

Pick: Senators -116


Winnipeg at Pittsburgh – 7:37 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Penguins are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Hot: Jets are 4-1 in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.
Penguins are 5-2 in their last 7 Monday games.
Cold: Jets are 0-5 in their last 5 overall.
Cold: Jets are 1-7 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Cold: Jets are 1-6 in their last 7 Monday games.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 7-0 in Penguins last 7 vs. Central.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Jets last 5 overall.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Penguins last 4 vs. Western Conference.
Hot: Over is 11-1-1 in Jets last 13 vs. Metropolitan.
Hot: Over is 6-1 in Jets last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.
Over is 10-3 in Penguins last 13 games playing on 1 days rest.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Pittsburgh.
Hot: Home team is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.
Cold: Jets are 5-22 in the last 27 meetings in Pittsburgh.
Jets are 21-54 in the last 75 meetings.

Pick: Jets +145


San Jose at Dallas – 8:07 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Stars are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game.
Hot: Sharks are 6-1 in their last 7 Monday games.
Stars are 20-7 in their last 27 Monday games.
Cold: Stars are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.
Cold: Stars are 0-5 in their last 5 overall.
Cold: Stars are 0-4 in their last 4 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Stars last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Sharks last 4 overall.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Stars last 4 Monday games.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Stars last 4 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 21-5 in Sharks last 26 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Sharks last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Home team is 20-8 in the last 28 meetings.
Cold: Sharks are 1-8 in the last 9 meetings.
Sharks are 7-19 in the last 26 meetings in Dallas.

Pick: Sharks +149