Monday’s MLB Baseball Free Picks & Predictions [8/3/26]

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**All plays are Listed Pitchers and trends are courtesy of Don Best Sports and are through 8/2/26**


Washington (ACTION) at Philadelphia (Nola) – 6:40 ET

Win/Loss
Nationals are 5-2 in their last 7 Monday games.
Nationals are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Phillies are 115-49 in their last 164 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Phillies are 0-6 in Nola’s last 6 starts.
Cold: Phillies are 0-6 in Nola’s last 6 starts on grass.
Cold: Nationals are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. National League East.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0-2 in Nola’s last 7 starts vs. National League East.
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 Monday games.
Hot: Under is 7-1 in Nationals last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 9-2 in Nationals last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Head-to-Head
Nationals are 20-53 in the last 73 meetings.

Pick: Nationals +126


Pittsburgh (Chandler) at Milwaukee (Sproat) – 7:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Brewers are 8-1 in their last 9 Monday games.
Hot: Brewers are 4-1 in Sproat’s last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
Brewers are 7-2 in their last 9 home games.
Cold: Pirates are 2-8 in Chandler’s last 10 road starts.
Cold: Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
Cold: Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 games on grass.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Sproat’s last 6 starts on grass.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Sproat’s last 6 starts overall.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 Monday games.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Sproat’s last 5 home starts.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 road games.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Pirates are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Pirates are 46-110 in the last 156 meetings in Milwaukee.

Pick: Pirates +125


LA Dodgers (ACTION) at Chicago Cubs (Boyd) – 8:05 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Cubs are 6-0 in Boyd’s last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League West.
Hot: Cubs are 7-1 in Boyd’s last 8 starts.
Hot: Cubs are 7-1 in Boyd’s last 8 starts on grass.
Hot: Cubs are 10-2 in Boyd’s last 12 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Cold: Dodgers are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Boyd’s last 4 Monday starts.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Boyd’s last 6 home starts.
Hot: Over is 8-2 in Boyd’s last 10 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 8-2 in Dodgers last 10 during game 1 of a series.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Over is 15-5-1 in the last 21 meetings in Chicago.
Dodgers are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings.

Pick: Dodgers -1.5 +132

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San Diego (King) at Arizona (Pfaadt) – 9:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Padres are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Diamondbacks are 6-0 in Pfaadt’s last 6 starts.
Hot: Diamondbacks are 6-0 in Pfaadt’s last 6 starts on grass.
Cold: Padres are 0-5 in King’s last 5 road starts.
Cold: Padres are 1-4 in their last 5 Monday games.
Cold: Padres are 1-4 in King’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 Monday games.
Hot: Over is 5-0-1 in Pfaadt’s last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 Monday games.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in King’s last 4 starts on grass.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in King’s last 4 starts overall.
Hot: Under is 1-0-3 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.

Head-to-Head
Padres are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.

Pick: Diamondbacks -107


Toronto (Bieber) at Houston (Javier) – 8:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
Hot: Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Cold: Astros are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Blue Jays are 1-8 in their last 9 vs. American League West.
Cold: Astros are 1-4 in Javier’s last 5 starts.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 7-0 in Javier’s last 7 Monday starts.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Astros last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 vs. American League East.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Bieber’s last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 overall.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Houston.
Under is 22-8-1 in the last 31 meetings.
Cold: Blue Jays are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Houston.
Blue Jays are 3-8 in the last 11 meetings.

Pick: Blue Jays +115


St Louis (McGreevy) at NY Yankees (Schlittler) – 7:05 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Yankees are 17-4 in Schlittler’s last 21 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Yankees are 4-1 in Schlittler’s last 5 interleague starts.
Cold: Cardinals are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Cold: Cardinals are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: Cardinals are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 interleague games.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 interleague road games.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 road games.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in New York.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Cardinals are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings in New York.

Pick: Cardinals +171

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San Francisco (Webb) at Texas (ACTION) – 8:05 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Giants are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Giants are 14-3 in Webb’s last 17 starts vs. American League West.
Hot: Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League West.
Cold: Giants are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Rangers are 0-4 in their last 4 overall.
Cold: Giants are 0-4 in Webb’s last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0-3 in Webb’s last 8 interleague starts.
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Webb’s last 5 starts on grass.
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Webb’s last 5 starts overall.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Webb’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Over is 2-0-2 in Webb’s last 4 starts vs. American League West.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
Giants are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
Under is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings in Texas.

Pick: Giants -107


Tampa Bay (Seymour) at Colorado (Lorenzen) – 8:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Rockies are 4-0 in Lorenzen’s last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games.
Hot: Rockies are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cold: Rays are 0-6 in their last 6 games on grass.
Cold: Rays are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague road games.
Cold: Rays are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0-1 in Rays last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Lorenzen’s last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Lorenzen’s last 6 home starts.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Rays are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Colorado.
Hot: Rays are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Over is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings in Colorado.

Pick: CLICK HERE