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**All plays are Listed Pitchers and trends are courtesy of Don Best Sports and are through 8/16/26**
St Louis (Mathews) at Cincinnati (ACTION) – 1:40 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Hot: Reds are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Hot: Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Cold: Reds are 1-5 in their last 6 Monday games.
Cold: Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 Monday games.
Cardinals are 2-7 in their last 9 during game 1 of a series.
Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 10-2 in Cardinals last 12 vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 9-2-1 in Reds last 12 games as a home underdog.
Hot: Over is 4-1-1 in Reds last 6 games following a loss.
Hot: Under is 4-1-1 in Reds last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Cincinnati.
Pick: Cardinals -111
St Louis (Pallante) at Cincinnati (Lowder) – 6:40 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
Hot: Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games on grass.
Hot: Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: Reds are 1-5 in their last 6 Monday games.
Cold: Reds are 2-9 in Lowder’s last 11 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Cold: Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 Monday games.
Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Lowder’s last 4 starts on grass.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Lowder’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Lowder’s last 4 starts overall.
Hot: Under is 10-2 in Cardinals last 12 vs. a team with a losing record.
Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Cincinnati.
Pick: Cardinals -120
Miami (Junk) at Philadelphia (Sanchez) – 6:40 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Phillies are 5-0 in Sanchez’s last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Hot: Phillies are 4-0 in Sanchez’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Marlins are 6-1 in Junk’s last 7 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cold: Marlins are 0-7 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Marlins are 0-7 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Cold: Phillies are 1-5 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over/Under
Hot: Over is 8-0-3 in Sanchez’s last 11 starts during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Over is 6-0-1 in Junk’s last 7 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 6-0 in Phillies last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 4-0-2 in Sanchez’s last 6 Monday starts.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 home games.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Head-to-Head
Hot: Marlins are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Hot: Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Philadelphia.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Cold: Marlins are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia.
Pick: Marlins +1.5 +104
San Diego (Buehler) at NY Mets (McClean) – 7:10 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Hot: Padres are 6-0 in Buehler’s last 6 starts.
Cold: Mets are 1-5 in McLean’s last 6 starts vs. National League West.
Cold: Padres are 1-4 in their last 5 Monday games.
Mets are 6-14 in their last 20 vs. National League West.
Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in McLean’s last 5 starts vs. National League West.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 Monday games.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in McLean’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 8-1 in Mets last 9 home games.
Head-to-Head
Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in New York.
Cold: Padres are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings in New York.
Pick: Mets -116
LA Dodgers (Snell) at Colorado (Sugano) – 8:40 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Rockies are 8-0 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Hot: Dodgers are 5-0 in Snell’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Rockies are 4-0 in Sugano’s last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cold: Rockies are 0-5 in their last 5 Monday games.
Cold: Rockies are 1-7 in their last 8 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Cold: Dodgers are 1-6 in their last 7 road games.
Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Sugano’s last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 Monday games.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Sugano’s last 4 starts on grass.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Sugano’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Sugano’s last 4 starts vs. National League West.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Sugano’s last 4 starts overall.
Head-to-Head
Dodgers are 39-12 in the last 51 meetings.
Dodgers are 11-4 in the last 15 meetings in Colorado.
Pick: Rockies +1.5 +143
Baltimore (Young) at Tampa Bay (McClanahan) – 6:05 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Orioles are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Hot: Orioles are 5-0 in Young’s last 5 starts vs. American League East.
Hot: Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Rays are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. American League East.
Cold: Rays are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Rays are 0-4 in their last 4 games after losing the first 3 games of a series.
Over/Under
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 Monday games.
Hot: Over is 6-1-1 in Rays last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 6-1-1 in McClanahan’s last 8 starts during game 4 of a series.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Rays last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 6-1 in Rays last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in McClanahan’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Head-to-Head
Hot: Orioles are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.
Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Pick: Orioles +142
Athletics (Barnett) at Kansas City (Wacha) – 7:40 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Royals are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Hot: Royals are 5-1 in Wacha’s last 6 Monday starts.
Royals are 10-3 in their last 13 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cold: A’s are 1-10 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: A’s are 1-8 in their last 9 games following a win.
Cold: Royals are 1-6 in Wacha’s last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
Over/Under
Hot: Under is 7-0 in Wacha’s last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Under is 7-0 in Wacha’s last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
Hot: Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Wacha’s last 5 Monday starts.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Wacha’s last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in A’s last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.
Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Kansas City.
Pick: A’s +170
Detroit (Valdez) at Pittsburgh (Mlodzinksi) – 7:05 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Pirates are 7-0 in their last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Pirates are 8-1 in their last 9 vs. American League Central.
Hot: Pirates are 6-1 in Mlodzinski’s last 7 home starts.
Cold: Tigers are 0-5 in Valdez’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cold: Tigers are 0-4 in Valdez’s last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cold: Tigers are 1-7 in Valdez’s last 8 starts with 4 days of rest.
Over/Under
Hot: Over is 8-0-1 in Valdez’s last 9 starts with 4 days of rest.
Hot: Over is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Valdez’s last 5 starts on grass.
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Valdez’s last 5 starts overall.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Head-to-Head
Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
Cold: Tigers are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings.
Cold: Tigers are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Pittsburgh.
Pick: Tigers -116
Arizona (Bratt) at Boston (Gamboa) – 7:10 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Hot: Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cold: Red Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Cold: Diamondbacks are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. American League East.
Cold: Diamondbacks are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Over/Under
Hot: Under is 7-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 9 Monday games.
Hot: Over is 6-1 in Red Sox last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 interleague road games.
Head-to-Head
Hot: Diamondbacks are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
Diamondbacks are 4-10 in the last 14 meetings in Boston.
Pick: Red Sox -1.5 +140
Atlanta (Perez) at Minnesota (Ober) – 7:40 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Twins are 5-0 in Ober’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Twins are 5-1 in Ober’s last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Hot: Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cold: Twins are 0-6 in their last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Twins are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague games.
Cold: Twins are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over/Under
Hot: Over is 7-0 in Ober’s last 7 Monday starts.
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Twins last 5 games following a loss.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Ober’s last 4 home starts.
Hot: Over is 6-1 in Twins last 7 vs. National League East.
Head-to-Head
Hot: Braves are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Minnesota.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Minnesota.
Braves are 20-7 in the last 27 meetings.
Pick: Braves -125
Chicago White Sox (Castillo) at Chicago Cubs (Imanaga) – 8:05 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Cubs are 4-0 in Imanaga’s last 4 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cold: Cubs are 1-6 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: White Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cold: White Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0 in White Sox last 5 Monday games.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 8-1 in Imanaga’s last 9 starts vs. American League Central.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Imanaga’s last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Over is 5-1-1 in Cubs last 7 vs. American League Central.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.
Hot: Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Cold: White Sox are 0-6 in the last 6 meetings in Chicago.
White Sox are 3-11 in the last 14 meetings.
Pick: White Sox +146
