Monday’s MLB Baseball Free Picks & Predictions [5/4/26]

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JAY COOPER’S FREE MLB PICKS
38-37 (+$1,283) Run

BOBBY BABOWSKI’S FREE MLB PICKS
26-17 (+$788) Run

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**All plays are Listed Pitchers and trends are courtesy of Don Best Sports and are through 5/3/26**


Philadelphia (Nola) at Miami (Junk) – 6:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Phillies are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 games on grass.
Hot: Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Marlins are 0-5 in Junk’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cold: Marlins are 0-4 in Junk’s last 4 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cold: Phillies are 0-4 in Nola’s last 4 starts.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0-1 in Nola’s last 6 starts with 7 or more days of rest.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Junk’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Nola’s last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 6-1-1 in Marlins last 8 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

Pick: Phillies -110


Cincinnati (Petty) at Chicago Cubs (Cabrera) – 7:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Cubs are 7-0 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Reds are 6-1 in their last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cold: Reds are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
Cold: Reds are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: Reds are 0-4 in their last 4 road games.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 6-0 in Reds last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Cabrera’s last 4 starts on grass.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Cabrera’s last 4 starts overall.

Pick: Cubs -1.5 -115


Milwaukee (Patrick) at St Louis (Leahy) – 7:45 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Brewers are 6-0 in Patrick’s last 6 starts.
Hot: Brewers are 6-0 in Patrick’s last 6 starts on grass.
Hot: Cardinals are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: Brewers are 2-11 in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Cardinals are 1-5 in their last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cold: Brewers are 2-8 in Patrick’s last 10 starts with 5 days of rest.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Leahy’s last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Patrick’s last 6 starts on grass.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Patrick’s last 6 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Patrick’s last 6 starts overall.

Pick: Brewers -110

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NY Mets (ACTION) at Colorado (Sugano) – 5:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Rockies are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Hot: Mets are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Rockies are 4-1 in Sugano’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cold: Mets are 0-8 in their last 8 vs. National League West.
Cold: Mets are 0-5 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cold: Mets are 1-6 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 6-0 in Rockies last 6 on grass.
Hot: Over is 6-0 in Rockies last 6 overall.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 road games.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games following a loss.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Pick: Rockies +134


San Diego (Vasquez) at San Francisco (ACTION) – 9:45 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Padres are 5-0 in Vasquez’s last 5 starts vs. National League West.
Hot: Padres are 4-0 in Vasquez’s last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Padres are 6-1 in Vasquez’s last 7 road starts.
Cold: Giants are 0-6 in their last 6 overall.
Cold: Padres are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: Padres are 1-4 in their last 5 games on grass.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 vs. National League West.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Giants last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Giants last 6 overall.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Padres last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Vasquez’s last 6 road starts.
Hot: Under is 12-3-1 in Giants last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Pick: Giants +130


Boston (Tolle) at Detroit (Skubal) – 6:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Tigers are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Hot: Tigers are 8-1 in Skubal’s last 9 starts vs. American League East.
Hot: Tigers are 6-1 in Skubal’s last 7 Monday starts.
Cold: Tigers are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Cold: Tigers are 0-5 in their last 5 Monday games.
Cold: Red Sox are 0-5 in Tolle’s last 5 starts.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 Monday games.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Skubal’s last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 on grass.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 overall.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Hot: Under is 17-4-3 in Skubal’s last 24 starts vs. American League East.

Pick: Tigers -1.5 +113

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Toronto (ACTION) at Tampa Bay (Martinez) – 6:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Rays are 7-0 in their last 7 games on fieldturf.
Hot: Rays are 7-0 in their last 7 home games.
Hot: Rays are 9-1 in their last 10 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cold: Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Cold: Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 Monday games.
Cold: Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 8-0 in Rays last 8 overall.
Hot: Under is 7-0 in Rays last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 7-0 in Rays last 7 games following a win.
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 home games.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

Pick: Rays -110


Baltimore (Baz) at NY Yankees (Schlittler) – 7:05 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Yankees are 11-0 in Schlittler’s last 11 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. American League East.
Hot: Yankees are 4-0 in Schlittler’s last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Cold: Orioles are 0-4 in their last 4 games on grass.
Cold: Orioles are 0-4 in their last 4 overall.
Cold: Orioles are 4-22 in their last 26 vs. a team with a winning record.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 7-0 in Orioles last 7 road games.
Hot: Under is 6-0-1 in Schlittler’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Over is 6-0 in Orioles last 6 vs. American League East.
Hot: Under is 5-0-1 in Schlittler’s last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in Schlittler’s last 5 home starts.

Pick: Yankees -1.5 -110


Cleveland (Bibee) at Kansas City (Wacha) – 7:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Guardians are 25-3 in Bibee’s last 28 starts vs. American League Central.
Hot: Guardians are 11-2 in their last 13 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Royals are 5-1 in their last 6 games following a win.
Cold: Guardians are 0-6 in Bibee’s last 6 starts.
Cold: Guardians are 0-6 in Bibee’s last 6 starts on grass.
Cold: Royals are 0-5 in Wacha’s last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 7-0 in Royals last 7 home games.
Hot: Over is 6-0 in Royals last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in Bibee’s last 5 starts vs. American League Central.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Royals last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Royals last 4 games following a win.

Pick: Guardians +100

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Chicago White Sox (Martin) at LA Angels (Soriano) – 9:38 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: White Sox are 7-0 in Martin’s last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Angels are 5-0 in Soriano’s last 5 Monday starts.
Hot: White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cold: Angels are 0-6 in their last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cold: Angels are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Cold: Angels are 1-6 in their last 7 Monday games.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0-1 in Angels last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 6-0-1 in Soriano’s last 7 home starts.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 on grass.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 overall.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Martin’s last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.

Pick: Angels -1.5 +140


LA Dodgers (Yamamoto) at Houston (Okert) – 8:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Dodgers are 8-1 in Yamamoto’s last 9 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Dodgers are 7-1 in their last 8 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. American League West.
Cold: Dodgers are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cold: Astros are 0-4 in their last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cold: Astros are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Astros last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Yamamoto’s last 5 interleague starts.
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in Yamamoto’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Yamamoto’s last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Pick: Astros +1.5 +105


Atlanta (Ritchie) at Mariners (Gilbert) – 9:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: Mariners are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Cold: Mariners are 1-6 in Gilbert’s last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.
Cold: Mariners are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 7-0 in Braves last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Over is 6-0-1 in Braves last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Over is 6-0-1 in Braves last 7 road games.
Hot: Over is 7-1-3 in Braves last 11 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Braves last 6 Monday games.
Hot: Over is 13-3-1 in Gilbert’s last 17 Monday starts.

Pick: Braves +140