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**All plays are Listed Pitchers and trends are courtesy of Don Best Sports and are through 4/26/26**
St Louis (May) at Pittsburgh (Montgomery) – 6:40 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Pirates are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. National League Central.
Hot: Pirates are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Cold: Cardinals are 0-4 in their last 4 Monday games.
Cold: Cardinals are 1-8 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 Monday games.
Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 on grass.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 overall.
Over is 15-6 in Cardinals last 21 during game 1 of a series.
Over is 5-2 in Pirates last 7 vs. National League Central.
Pick: Pirates -120
Chicago Cubs (Boyd) at San Diego (Vasquez) – 9:40 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Padres are 8-0 in Vasquez’s last 8 starts during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Padres are 5-0 in Vasquez’s last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
Hot: Padres are 5-0 in Vasquez’s last 5 home starts.
Cold: Cubs are 1-6 in Boyd’s last 7 road starts.
Cold: Padres are 1-5 in their last 6 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Cubs are 2-7 in Boyd’s last 9 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over/Under
Hot: Over is 8-0-1 in Cubs last 9 road games.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 on grass.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 overall.
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Vasquez’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Vasquez’s last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Pick: Padres +105
Miami (Paddack) at LA Dodgers (Yamamoto) – 10:10 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Marlins are 15-2 in their last 17 vs. National League West.
Hot: Dodgers are 43-8 in their last 51 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Dodgers are 39-13 in their last 52 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Marlins are 0-4 in Paddack’s last 4 starts.
Cold: Marlins are 0-4 in Paddack’s last 4 starts on grass.
Cold: Marlins are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Over/Under
Hot: Over is 2-0-2 in Marlins last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 9-3 in Dodgers last 12 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 16-6-2 in Marlins last 24 on grass.
Over is 16-6-2 in Marlins last 24 overall.
Over is 18-7-2 in Marlins last 27 road games.
Pick: Marlins +1.5 +117
Tampa Bay (Matz) at Cleveland (Messick) – 6:10 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Rays are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. American League Central.
Hot: Guardians are 5-0 in Messick’s last 5 starts.
Hot: Guardians are 5-0 in Messick’s last 5 starts on grass.
Hot: Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Rays are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Cold: Rays are 5-23 in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over/Under
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Rays last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 overall.
Hot: Over is 8-2-1 in Rays last 11 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 4-1-1 in Rays last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 vs. American League East.
Pick: Rays +125
Boston (Suarez) at Toronto (Cease) – 7:07 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Blue Jays are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. American League East.
Cold: Blue Jays are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Cold: Red Sox are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. American League East.
Cold: Red Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.
Cold: Red Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 overall.
Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 on astroturf.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 home games.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Over is 6-1-1 in Blue Jays last 8 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Over is 6-1 in Red Sox last 7 road games.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Pick: Red Sox +125
Seattle (Castillo) at Minnesota (Prielipp) – 7:40 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Mariners are 8-0 in Castillo’s last 8 starts vs. American League Central.
Hot: Mariners are 8-1 in Castillo’s last 9 starts during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Twins are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Twins are 0-4 in their last 4 home games.
Cold: Twins are 0-4 in their last 4 overall.
Cold: Mariners are 0-4 in Castillo’s last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Over/Under
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 vs. American League West.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Hot: Over is 6-1 in Twins last 7 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Over is 6-1 in Castillo’s last 7 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Castillo’s last 7 Monday starts.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Castillo’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Pick: Twins +121
LA Angels (Kochanowicz) at Chicago White Sox (Kay) – 7:40 ET
Win/Loss
Cold: White Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Cold: White Sox are 1-7 in their last 8 home games.
Cold: Angels are 1-6 in their last 7 games on grass.
Cold: Angels are 1-6 in their last 7 overall.
Cold: Angels are 1-5 in their last 6 Monday games.
Cold: Angels are 2-9 in their last 11 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over/Under
Hot: Over is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 vs. American League West.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Angels last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Over is 8-2 in Angels last 10 road games.
Hot: Over is 4-1-1 in Angels last 6 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Angels last 5 vs. American League Central.
Over is 9-3 in White Sox last 12 on grass.
Pick: Angels -115
NY Yankees (Fried) at Texas (Leiter) – 8:05 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Rangers are 5-1 in their last 6 Monday games.
Rangers are 6-2 in their last 8 home games.
Yankees are 46-16 in their last 62 games on grass.
Cold: Rangers are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Yankees are 3-8 in their last 11 Monday games.
Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Rangers last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Rangers last 6 vs. American League East.
Under is 15-5-1 in Rangers last 21 home games.
Over is 6-2 in Yankees last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 22-8-2 in Yankees last 32 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 14-6-2 in Yankees last 22 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Pick: Rangers +162
