Mets vs Phillies Preview & Free Pick | Prediction [6/24/19]

NY Mets (37-41) at Philadelphia (39-38)
When: Monday, June 24th, 2019
Where: Citizens Bank Park,
Philadelphia, PA
Time: 7:05 ET | TV: SNY,
NBCS Philadelphia
Opening Odds: Philadelphia -130/9


It’s never a good thing when you get swept in a three-game series, but when you’re swept at home to the Miami Marlins, it’s just downright sad. The Philadelphia Phillies, who had a 3.5-game lead in the National League East on May 29th, dropped their seventh straight and 16th of 22 overall to fall 6.5 games back of the Atlanta Braves. The Phillies have just 15 runs and 45 hits during their season-long skid, while surrendering 43 runs on 70 hits including 16 by the Marlins in Sunday’s 6-4 setback. Jay Bruce, who came into the weekend batting .348 since being acquired at the end of May, went 0-for-12 over the weekend to drop that average to .276. Bryce Harper homered on Saturday and has three RBI and three runs scored during his four-game hitting streak. The Phillies will look to turn things around when they open a four-game series with the New York Mets on Monday. New York is 3-4 on their 11-game road trip after Sunday’s 5-3 at the Chicago Cubs after taking the middle two games of their four-game set at Wrigley Field. Rookie sensation Pete Alonso homered again – his 27th of the season to break Darryl Strawberry’s franchise rookie record, but is just 3-for-18 with seven strikeouts and no homers in six matchups with Philadelphia this season. Mets outfielder Jeff McNeil, who did not start on Sunday, has five consecutive multi-hit performances and is 10-for-22 with a homer against the Phillies this season.

Pitchers: Mets – Steven Matz (5-5, 4.28 ERA) | Phillies – Zach Eflin (6-7, 2.83)

Steven Matz has allowed three runs or more in each of his last four starts including five in as many innings last Wednesday in a 7-2 loss at Atlanta. Matz has a 6.21 ERA on the road but that was mainly because of the beating he took at Citizens Bank Park back on April 16th when he allowed eight runs without making an out. He faced the Phillies again six days later and allowed just one run over six innings to pick up the victory.

The Mets and Phillies have split their first six meetings of the season.


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Zach Eflin has been the Phillies best starter but the team is just 1-5 in his last six starts and have scored just 3.29 runs a game for him on the season. Eflin suffered the loss last time out against Washington despite allowing two earned runs for a second straight outing. The righty was on the losing end of a 9-0 decision on April 23rd against the Mets when he surrendered four runs (three earned) on four hits in four innings of work and owns a career 5.40 ERA against them.

Nobody should be putting their hard-earned money on the Phillies until they get their offense going. They are hitting close to .200 over their last 10 games and to make matters worse, their bullpen ERA is 8.36 in that span. The Mets have a couple of hot hitters in McNeil and Alonso and they should help the Mets get passed the Phillies in the series opener.

Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Monday. He is 81-56 +1603 units on the season after a 31-18 run!

Pick: Mets +120


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BETTING TRENDS:

Mets are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. National League East.
Mets are 6-15 in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Mets are 5-13 in their last 18 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Mets are 8-22 in their last 30 road games.
Mets are 3-10 in their last 13 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 Monday games.
Mets are 0-6 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.
Mets are 12-3 in Matz’s last 15 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Mets are 7-3 in Matz’s last 10 starts vs. National League East.
Mets are 9-4 in Matz’s last 13 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Mets are 6-21 in Matz’s last 27 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Mets are 1-5 in Matz’s last 6 road starts.

Phillies are 19-7 in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Phillies are 28-11 in their last 39 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Phillies are 23-49 in their last 72 Monday games.
Phillies are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Phillies are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Phillies are 1-5 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Phillies are 0-7 in their last 7 vs. National League East.
Phillies are 0-6 in their last 6 games following a loss.
Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Phillies are 0-5 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Phillies are 0-7 in their last 7 overall.
Phillies are 0-7 in their last 7 games on grass.
Phillies are 0-7 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 home games.

Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 6-0-2 in Mets last 8 games following a loss.
Over is 3-0-1 in Mets last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 5-1 in Mets last 6 vs. National League East.
Over is 5-1-2 in Mets last 8 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 9-3-1 in Mets last 13 overall.
Over is 9-3-1 in Mets last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 6-2-1 in Mets last 9 road games.
Over is 9-3-1 in Mets last 13 on grass.
Over is 3-1-1 in Mets last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Over is 9-3-1 in Mets last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 8-3-1 in Mets last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 18-7-4 in Mets last 29 during game 1 of a series.
Under is 4-1 in Matz’s last 5 Monday starts.
Under is 4-1 in Matz’s last 5 road starts.
Over is 10-4-1 in Matz’s last 15 starts with 4 days of rest.
Under is 5-2 in Matz’s last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 20-8-1 in Matz’s last 29 starts following a team loss in their previous game.

Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 Monday games.
Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 23-8 in Phillies last 31 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 7-3 in Phillies last 10 home games.
Under is 19-9 in Phillies last 28 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.
Mets are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia.
Mets are 1-4 in Matz’s last 5 starts vs. Phillies.
Mets are 1-4 in Matz’s last 5 road starts vs. Phillies.

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