Mavericks vs Timberwolves NBA Free Pick [Game 5]

Dallas (3-1) at Minnesota (1-3)
When: Thursday, May 30th 2024
Where: Target Center,
Minneapolis, MN

Time: 8:30 ET | TV: TNT
Opening Odds: Minnesota -4/209.5

The Dallas Mavericks remain one win away from reaching the NBA Finals for the first time since the 2010-11 season, when Dirk Nowitzki led them to its first and only NBA Championship. The Minnesota Timberwolves forced Thursday’s Game 5 after avoiding the sweep on Tuesday with a 105-100 road victory and will look to keep the momentum going at home, where they dropped the first two games of this best-of-seven series.

Minnesota is a 4.5-point favorite with a total pegged at 209.5. The odds are still stacked against Minnesota, as no team has won a best-of-seven series after losing the first three games. The Timberwolves are sitting at a robust +1400 to win the NBA Championship, while Dallas is +215 and Boston, who’s sitting at home, is -220. Dallas is still a strong -650 favorite to win this series, with Minnesota at +400.


Luka Doncic recorded yet another triple-double in Game 4 with 28 points, 15 rebounds and 10 assists but shot 7-of-21 from the field. Kyrie Irving finished with 16 points on 6-for-18 shooting. As a team, the Mavericks shot just 42.0 percent and were 14-of-40 from beyond the arc. The Mavericks hope to get back Dereck Lively II for Game 5. He did not play in Game 4 after Karl-Anthony Towns’ knee hit the back of Lively’s head in Game 3. Maxi Kleber, in his first game since May 3 because of a right shoulder injury, contributed two points and one rebound off the bench.


Speaking of Towns, he finally showed up offensively, scoring 25 points on 9-of-13 shooting. Anthony Edwards led the team with 29 points, 10 rebounds and nine assists. Towns struggled in the first three games of the series, shooting 15-of-54 (27.8 percent) from the field and 3-of-22 (13.6 percent) from beyond the 3-point line. Minnesota shot 52.7 percent from the field and all five starters recorded double-figures in points.

Minnesota is alive and kicking and now have some momentum coming back home. If Towns can duplicate what he did in Game 4, the T’wolves can actually make this a series. I still think Dallas wins the series, but I’ll take Minnesota in Game 5.

Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free NBA Picks page for today.

Pick: Timberwolves -4.5