Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles Free Pick [6/25/18]

Seattle (47-31) at Baltimore (23-53)
When: Monday, June 25th 2018
Where: Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Time: 7:05 ET | TV: ROOT NW, MASN
Opening Odds: Seattle -124/9.5 


Everyone can read a Major League Baseball schedule and even though the Seattle Mariners grabbed first place in the American League West over the Houston Astros, we knew a tough road trip was approaching. Seattle enters the final four games of their 10-game road trip out East and have only one win to show for it. They were swept in three games by the New York Yankees and dropped two of three in Boston including Sunday’s 5-0 setback to fall 4.5 games behind the Astros. Next up will be the last-place Baltimore Orioles, who actually showed signs of life this weekend. Baltimore plated 20 runs in taking two of three at NL East-leading Atlanta, have just one win in their last 12 home games. Orioles slugger Mark Trumbo has hit safely in each of his last eight games including five homers in that span, while Seattle’s DH Nelson Cruz is making a strong bid for an All-Star selection. The veteran slugger has come alive by bashing nine home runs in his last 16 games and is on a 10-for-16 run at the plate. The Mariners hope to get SS Jean Segura back soon after sitting out the past four games with a forearm infection. Seattle will send Felix Hernandez to the mound in the opener against fellow righty Andrew Cashner.

Pitchers: Mariners – Felix Hernandez (6-6, 5.14 ERA) | Orioles – Andrew Cashner (2-8, 4.72)

Hernandez may never be the Cy Young and All-Star-caliber pitcher he used to be, but he does shows signs of brilliance at times. He’s allowed one earned run in each of his last two outings while striking out 12 in as many innings against Boston and New York. Hernandez has allowed just two home runs in his last seven starts after surrendering 10 in his first nine. He’s had a few rough outings mixed in including allowing five earned runs in four of his last nine starts.


Cashner was cruising against the Washington Nationals last Wednesday, but rain forced him to leave the game early after scattering three hits over four scoreless innings. Cashner was coming off a short layoff after dealing with a back injury. He made five starts against Seattle as a member of the Texas Rangers last season and went 2-2 with a 4.23 ERA.

Felix has been dominant against the tough teams, but seems to play down to the sub-.500 ones. He’s also been terrible on the road this season with an ERA of 6.98. The Orioles bats came alive during their six-game road trip, scoring over five runs a game. This is my Underdog of the Day, which you can hear all about by clicking on the video below.

Pick: Orioles +125

https://youtu.be/NeXC-3MVzH8


BETTING TRENDS:

  • Mariners are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 Monday games.
  • Mariners are 6-2 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
  • Mariners are 20-8 in their last 28 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Mariners are 7-3 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series.
  • Mariners are 1-5 in their last 6 road games.
  • Mariners are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. American League East.
  • Mariners are 1-6 in their last 7 overall.
  • Mariners are 1-6 in their last 7 games on grass.
  • Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Mariners are 5-1 in Hernandez’s last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
  • Mariners are 5-1 in Hernandez’s last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
  • Mariners are 21-6 in Hernandez’s last 27 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Mariners are 19-7 in Hernandez’s last 26 Monday starts.
  • Mariners are 35-16 in Hernandez’s last 51 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Mariners are 1-4 in Hernandez’s last 5 starts on grass.
  • Mariners are 1-5 in Hernandez’s last 6 starts.
  • Orioles are 18-42 in their last 60 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Orioles are 25-60 in their last 85 games on grass.
  • Orioles are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Orioles are 27-71 in their last 98 overall.
  • Orioles are 17-51 in their last 68 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
  • Orioles are 5-22 in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Orioles are 1-8 in their last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Orioles are 1-8 in their last 9 Monday games.
  • Orioles are 1-11 in their last 12 home games.
  • Orioles are 0-9 in their last 9 vs. American League West.
  • Orioles are 3-7 in Cashner’s last 10 starts on grass.
  • Orioles are 3-9 in Cashner’s last 12 starts.
  • Orioles are 1-4 in Cashner’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
  • Orioles are 1-4 in Cashner’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Orioles are 1-6 in Cashner’s last 7 home starts.
  • Orioles are 0-4 in Cashner’s last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 7-1 in Mariners last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Under is 6-2-1 in Mariners last 9 Monday games.
  • Under is 11-4-1 in Mariners last 16 during game 1 of a series.
  • Over is 21-8-1 in Mariners last 30 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
  • Under is 6-1 in Hernandez’s last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.
  • Under is 5-1-1 in Hernandez’s last 7 Monday starts.
  • Over is 4-1 in Hernandez’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Over is 4-1 in Hernandez’s last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
  • Under is 7-2 in Hernandez’s last 9 starts with 4 days of rest.
  • Over is 7-3 in Hernandez’s last 10 starts overall.
  • Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 Monday games.
  • Under is 10-2 in Orioles last 12 during game 1 of a series.
  • Under is 8-2 in Orioles last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Under is 6-2 in Orioles last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Under is 9-3 in Orioles last 12 home games.
  • Under is 8-3 in Orioles last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Under is 13-6-1 in Orioles last 20 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Under is 15-7 in Orioles last 22 overall.
  • Under is 5-0 in Cashner’s last 5 starts on grass.
  • Under is 7-0 in Cashner’s last 7 starts overall.
  • Under is 5-1 in Cashner’s last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
  • Under is 5-1 in Cashner’s last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
  • Under is 5-1 in Cashner’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 5-2 in Cashner’s last 7 home starts.
  • Under is 8-2 in Hernandez’s last 10 starts vs. Orioles.
  • Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
  • Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Baltimore.
  • Mariners are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Baltimore.
  • Mariners are 0-5 in Hernandez’s last 5 starts vs. Orioles.

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