Lightning vs Penguins Betting Odds, Trends, & Free Pick [3/3/17]

Tampa Bay (29-25-8) at Pittsburgh (38-16-8)
When: Friday, March 3rd 2017
Where: PPG PAINTS Arena, Pittsburgh, PA
Time: 7:05 ET | TV: NHL Network

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The Tampa Bay Lightning are trying to make a playoff push despite trading away three veterans recently and they will visit the Pittsburgh Penguins on Friday night. Tampa traded away veteran forwards Valtteri Filppula and Brian Boyle along with goaltender Ben Bishop, but that has cleared up a lot of cap space for general manager Steve Yzerman to work with and build this team back into a winner. Nikita Kucherov recorded a career-high nine shots February 19th against Colorado, but failed to register a point, then scored six goals and six assists in the four games since, including a hat trick Monday against Ottawa. Kucherov is picking up the offensive slack while defenseman Victor Hedman has 11 points in the last seven games and center Tyler Johnson has seven in the past four. Backup goalie Peter Budaj, acquired from Los Angeles in the Bishop deal, could get his first start either Friday, or Saturday at Buffalo. The Lightning, who are three points out of the final wild-card spot in the Eastern Conference entering Thursday, have converted 7-of-15 opportunities on the power play in the last six games.


The injury-plagued Penguins have gone just 2-3-1 in their last six contests and could again be without three regulars – including Kris Letang (upper-body), Trevor Daley (knee) and Olli Maatta (hand). Pittsburgh acquired veteran defenseman Mark Streit from the Lightning after they had picked him up in a separate deal with Philadelphia on Wednesday and he could make his debut. The Penguins scored 10 goals in a pair of victories over Tampa Bay earlier this season. Streit has 428 points in 765 NHL games and could be a big help with Daley and Maatta out longer than Letang (day-to-day). Leading scorer and captain Sidney Crosby (67 points) went pointless in two straight games for only the second time this season while Evgeni Malkin (62) has four goals and four assists in his last eight games. Phil Kessel is third on the team with 56 points, but has none in the last three games and one in the past six. Pittsburgh is tied with Columbus for the third-seed in the East entering play on Thursday.

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With the key injuries Pittsburgh has going on right now, I can’t lay this much money against a Tampa Bay team who is getting hot. Tampa has won four of five overall and their power play is on fire.

Pick: Lightning +155


Tampa Bay
  • Lightning are 6-1 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.
  • Lightning are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
  • Lightning are 3-7 in their last 10 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Lightning are 24-62 in their last 86 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Lightning are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. Metropolitan.
  • Lightning are 5-16 in their last 21 road games.
  • Lightning are 4-13 in their last 17 games following a win.
  • Lightning are 0-5 in their last 5 Friday games.
  • Penguins are 13-3 in their last 16 games following a loss of 3 or more goals.
  • Penguins are 50-15 in their last 65 home games.
  • Penguins are 59-22 in their last 81 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
  • Penguins are 40-15 in their last 55 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Penguins are 51-21 in their last 72 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Penguins are 38-16 in their last 54 vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Penguins are 44-19 in their last 63 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.
  • Penguins are 1-4 in their last 5 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation.


Tampa Bay
  • Over is 3-0-1 in Lightning last 4 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-0 in Lightning last 4 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Under is 4-1 in Lightning last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Under is 3-1-1 in Lightning last 5 road games.
  • Under is 6-2-1 in Lightning last 9 games following a win.
  • Over is 42-17-10 in Penguins last 69 home games.
  • Over is 33-14-6 in Penguins last 53 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Over is 38-17-6 in Penguins last 61 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Over is 31-15-6 in Penguins last 52 vs. Atlantic.


  • Over is 23-5-3 in the last 31 meetings.
  • Over is 12-3-1 in the last 16 meetings in Pittsburgh.
  • Lightning are 3-10 in the last 13 meetings in Pittsburgh.
  • Lightning are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings.

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