Kansas vs Kentucky Trends, and Free Pick [4/2/12]

Kansas (32-6) vs Kentucky (37-2)
When: Monday, April 2nd, 2012
Where: Superdome, New Orleans, LA
Time: 9:23 ET

Open an Account at Sportsbook Now! Sign up at Sportsbook to receive a very generous $250 BONUS to wager on all the Web’s best NCAA basketball odds and props!

The point spread for Monday’s National Championship Game between the Kansas Jayhawks and Kentucky Wildcats opened up at -6.5 in favor of the Wildcats at Sportsbook on Sunday evening and the total was set at 140. The line went up to -7 an our later, then went back down to -6.5. As of Sunday night, the line has been bet down to 6 and the total is down to 137. So far, 70% of the betting public is on Kentucky and 68% are on the under. Here are the latest trends for this game:

Jayhawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 Monday games.

Jayhawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.

Wildcats are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big 12.

Wildcats are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a ATS loss.

Under is 12-3 in Jayhawks last 15 neutral site games.

Under is 17-5 in Jayhawks last 22 non-conference games.

Over is 4-1 in Wildcats last 5 NCAA Tournament games.

Under is 17-8-3 in Wildcats last 28 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

My Prediction: Kentucky has been waiting for this game all year and coach John Calipari has been looking for his first National Championship. Jayhawks’ Guard Tyshawn Taylor really needs to step up his scoring or Kansas will have no shot at winning this game. Taylor is shooting only 38% in the tournament and an amazing 0-20 from 3-point land. Kansas also has to hold onto the ball more. They turned it over 17 times against the Buckeyes. I’m sure Kentucky’s defense will create more turnovers than that. The Jayhawks have survived some close calls this tournament, but I believe their luck has run out and the Wildcats will give Calipari his first Title in easy fashion.

Kentucky -6

More NCAA Free Picks