Carolina (3-3) at Washington (3-3)
When: Wednesday, April 24th, 2019
Where: Capital One Arena,
Time: 7:35 ET | TV: NBC Sports
Opening Odds: Washington -140/5.5
The New York Islanders have been sitting at home for about a week, resting their tired and aching bodies, watching the Carolina Hurricanes and Washington Capitals battle in what has been a physical, but terrific series. It all comes down to a Game 7 on Wednesday night in the Nation’s Capital, and they way this series is going, the home team has the advantage. Both teams have held serve on home ice in all six games thus far, but the Hurricanes have the ultimate Game 7 magician on their side. Captain Justin Williams has been involved in eight Game 7s in his career and his teams have won seven of those, with the exception when he was with the Capitals. He not only has a great track record in series finales, but he’s scored seven times and set up seven other goals in those eight contests as well. Carolina forced a Game 7 with a 5-2 win over Washington in Game 6 after the Capitals thought they had tied the game at 3-3, but Alex Ovechkin’s goal was reversed by replay. The Russian star was clearly frustrated after that, going after any player he could hit, then a slashing penalty – along with mocking the refs – ultimately got him a 10-minute misconduct late in the game. Carolina is the 10th NHL club in the Expansion Era to force a Game 7 in the opening round against the defending Stanley Cup champion.
Rookie Warren Foegele is coming of age quickly this postseason, recording eight points (six goals, two assists) in his last eight games after netting a goal on Monday, but he has just one point in the three games in D.C. Jordan Staal recorded two points for the second time this series after scoring and assisting in the Game 6 triumph. Veteran defenseman Dougie Hamilton is tied for the team lead in points (six) after his second two-point performance of the series on Monday. Goalie Petr Mrazek owns a .950 save percentage and 2.68 GAA in the first six games.
Despite a goal being disallowed and getting tossed late in the contest, Ovechkin still scored a goal for the third straight game and has four goals and three assists in Game 7s. Center Nicklas Backstrom is tied with Ovechkin for the team lead of eight points, and all of those have come in the three home games after being held off the scoresheet in the games in Carolina. Goalie Braden Holtby owns a 3-4 mark in Game 7s despite posting a 1.81 goals-against average and .934 save percentage.
This has been a fun series to watch and I expect Game 7 to be just as entertaining. I’d like to see this Carolina team advance, but the Capitals not only have the experience on their side, but the home team has yet to lose a game in this series. I’ll lay the big price here and take Washington.
Pick: Capitals -155
Hurricanes are 6-1 in their last 7 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.
Hurricanes are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game.
Hurricanes are 6-2 in their last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.
Hurricanes are 8-3 in their last 11 Conference Quarterfinals games.
Hurricanes are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.
Hurricanes are 5-2 in their last 7 overall.
Hurricanes are 13-6 in their last 19 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Hurricanes are 3-7 in their last 10 Wednesday games.
Hurricanes are 22-59 in their last 81 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Hurricanes are 14-38 in their last 52 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Hurricanes are 2-6 in their last 8 road games.
Hurricanes are 0-6 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Hurricanes are 0-6 in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
Hurricanes are 0-6 in their last 6 playoff games as an underdog.
Capitals are 6-0 in their last 6 playoff games as a favorite.
Capitals are 8-2 in their last 10 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game.
Capitals are 16-5 in their last 21 games as a favorite.
Capitals are 13-5 in their last 18 vs. Metropolitan.
Capitals are 10-4 in their last 14 Wednesday games.
Capitals are 5-2 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game.
Capitals are 7-3 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
Capitals are 7-3 in their last 10 Conference Quarterfinals games.
Capitals are 129-57 in their last 186 games as a home favorite.
Capitals are 17-8 in their last 25 overall.
Capitals are 134-63 in their last 197 home games.
Capitals are 103-49 in their last 152 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Capitals are 151-73 in their last 224 games playing on 1 days rest.
Capitals are 33-16 in their last 49 vs. Eastern Conference.
Capitals are 35-17 in their last 52 games following a loss of 3 or more goals.
Hurricanes are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings in Washington.
Hurricanes are 5-12 in the last 17 meetings.
Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings in Washington.
Home team is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.
Favorite is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.