Heat vs Blazers Preview, Odds, Trends, & Free Pick – [3/12/18]

Miami (36-31) at Portland (40-26)
When: Monday, March 12th 2018
Where: Moda Center, Portland, OR
Time: 10:35 ET | TV: ESPN
Opening Odds: OFF

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The red-hot Portland Trail Blazers are flying under the radar and are positioning themselves well for the upcoming playoffs by climbing up the standings in the Western Conference. Portland will put its nine-game winning streak on the line Monday night when they host the Miami Heat at the Moda Center in Portland, Oregon. Portland is currently in third place in the West, two games clear of a trio of teams vying for the No. 4 spot, but just 3.5 ahead of the No. 9 slot. It just goes to show you how tough the West is. Portland is four games better than Miami, but the Heat are 5.5 games clear of the nine-spot in the East. The Heat are currently holding down the No. 7 spot, with the third-place Cleveland Cavaliers only 2.5 games in front of them. Miami comes in hot with two straight wins over teams above it in the standings, including a 129-102 thumping of the Washington Wizards on Saturday. Portland has won the last four in the series, including a 102-95 victory at Miami in December.

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Miami’s win over Washington on Saturday came at a cost as guard Dwyane Wade went down with a strained hamstring and does not expect to play on Monday. “I won’t be in the lineup against Portland, I can probably guarantee that,” Wade told reporters. Wade is averaging 15.7 points in six games this month and the team is 7-5 in 12 games since he was acquired from the Cleveland Cavaliers. Center Hassan Whiteside (hip), who averages 11.8 rebounds a game, sat out Saturday and is questionable for Monday. Miami had eight players score in double-figures on Saturday as they set a season-high mark of 129 points in the victory. The Heat will hit Sacramento and the L.A. Lakers to wrap-up the road trip.

The team that has won outright, has also covered the spread in seven straight games.

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The dynamic guard duo of Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum combined for 58 points on Friday as Portland knocked off the defending champion Golden State Warriors 125-108. It was the second-most points the Blazers have scored in a game this season, but its the defense that has allowed opponents to score under Portland’s season average (103.2) in six of the last eight games. Veteran power forward Ed Davis has been a pleasant surprise off the bench, recording 10 or more rebounds in five of his last six games to bring his season average up to 7.6. Portland will continue their five-game homestand with a visit from the Cleveland Cavaliers on Thursday.


With Wade out and Whiteside not expected to play, Miami is going to have some trouble against this surging Portland team. Look for Lillard and McCollum to have big games once again and for the Blazers to shut down the Heat offense.

Pick: Blazers -8

  • Heat are 6-0-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
  • Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Heat are 8-1-2 ATS in their last 11 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Heat are 6-1-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win.
  • Heat are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Heat are 25-7-1 ATS in their last 33 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Heat are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Heat are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Heat are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Heat are 18-7-3 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
  • Heat are 36-15-1 ATS in their last 52 road games.
  • Heat are 33-15-3 ATS in their last 51 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Heat are 0-4-2 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
  • Trail Blazers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Trail Blazers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
  • Trail Blazers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Trail Blazers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Trail Blazers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Trail Blazers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.
  • Trail Blazers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Trail Blazers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Trail Blazers are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 Monday games.
  • Trail Blazers are 13-2-1 ATS in their last 16 home games.
  • Trail Blazers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Southeast.
  • Trail Blazers are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games overall.
  • Trail Blazers are 34-14-4 ATS in their last 52 games following a straight up win.
  • Trail Blazers are 11-5-3 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
  • Over is 5-0 in Heat last 5 road games.
  • Over is 5-0 in Heat last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Over is 4-0 in Heat last 4 games following a straight up win.
  • Over is 5-0 in Heat last 5 vs. Western Conference.
  • Over is 8-1 in Heat last 9 games following a ATS win.
  • Under is 5-1 in Heat last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Under is 4-1 in Heat last 5 vs. NBA Northwest.
  • Over is 6-2 in Heat last 8 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 11-4 in Heat last 15 overall.
  • Under is 19-7 in Heat last 26 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
  • Over is 8-3 in Heat last 11 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 8-3 in Heat last 11 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 17-7 in Heat last 24 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Over is 7-3 in Heat last 10 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 6-1 in Trail Blazers last 7 games following a ATS win.
  • Under is 4-1 in Trail Blazers last 5 overall.
  • Under is 8-2 in Trail Blazers last 10 Monday games.
  • Under is 4-1 in Trail Blazers last 5 games following a straight up win.
  • Under is 8-2 in Trail Blazers last 10 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-1 in Trail Blazers last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 10-3 in Trail Blazers last 13 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Under is 19-7 in Trail Blazers last 26 vs. NBA Southeast.
  • Under is 8-3 in Trail Blazers last 11 games playing on 2 days rest.
  • Under is 5-2 in Trail Blazers last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 20-8 in Trail Blazers last 28 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Portland.
  • Home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
  • Heat are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Portland.
  • Heat are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

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