Heat vs Mavs Spread, Trends, and Free Pick Game 4 – June 7th, 2011

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Heat vs Mavs Spread, Trends, and Free Pick – Game 4 – June 7th, 2011 ]]> include($base_url . “/includes/header.htm”); ?>

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Heat Miami Heat (2-1) at Dallas Mavericks (1-2)
When: Tuesday, June 7th, 2011
Where: American Airlines Center, Dallas, Texas
Time: 9:05 ET
TV: ABC
Mavs

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The point spread for Tuesday’s Game 4 of the 2011 NBA Finals between the Miami Heat and Dallas Mavericks opened up the same as it did for Game 3, -2.5 in favor of the Mavericks at Bdg.eu and the total was set at 186. The spread has moved up to -3 as of Monday afternoon and the total has inched up to 186.5. So far, the betting public is split right down the middle on this one and 59% are on the over. To help you better decide who to bet, take a look at these trends for tonight.

Heat are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.

Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5.

Mavericks are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite.

Mavericks are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games.

Under is 5-1 in Heat last 6 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5.

Under is 5-1 in Heat last 6 games as a road underdog.

Under is 3-0-1 in Mavericks last 4 NBA Championship games.

Over is 12-4 in Mavericks last 16 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Heat are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Dallas.

Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Dallas.

My Prediction: The Heat got a much needed win in Game 3 the other night. Now the pressure is on the Mavericks. Dirk Nowitzki has been playing great under pressure. I expect a big game from him tonight, but I believe he won’t get enough help to stop Lebron, Wade, and Bosh. The Heat win this game and all but put away the series.

Heat +3

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