Heat vs Mavs Spread, Trends, and Free Pick – Game 4 – June 7th, 2011 ]]> include($base_url . “/includes/header.htm”); ?>
The point spread for Tuesday’s Game 4 of the 2011 NBA Finals between the Miami Heat and Dallas Mavericks opened up the same as it did for Game 3, -2.5 in favor of the Mavericks at Bdg.eu and the total was set at 186. The spread has moved up to -3 as of Monday afternoon and the total has inched up to 186.5. So far, the betting public is split right down the middle on this one and 59% are on the over. To help you better decide who to bet, take a look at these trends for tonight.
Heat are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5.
Mavericks are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite.
Mavericks are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games.
Under is 5-1 in Heat last 6 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5.
Under is 5-1 in Heat last 6 games as a road underdog.
Under is 3-0-1 in Mavericks last 4 NBA Championship games.
Over is 12-4 in Mavericks last 16 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Heat are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Dallas.
Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Dallas.
My Prediction: The Heat got a much needed win in Game 3 the other night. Now the pressure is on the Mavericks. Dirk Nowitzki has been playing great under pressure. I expect a big game from him tonight, but I believe he won’t get enough help to stop Lebron, Wade, and Bosh. The Heat win this game and all but put away the series.