NY Giants (2-2) at Green Bay (2-1)
When: Sunday, October 9th 2016
Where: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
Time: 8:30 ET | TV: NBC
The New York Giants will look to bounce back from a Monday night loss in Minnesota when they visit another NFC North opponent in the Green Bay Packers on Sunday Night Football. New York was dominated by the Vikings defense on Monday and suffered their second straight loss after starting the season 2-0. Odell Beckham, Jr. once again made himself the focus of a nationally televised game by losing his cool as he was held to just three catches for 23 yards. QB Eli Manning should have better success this week against a banged-up Packers secondary and two other threats besides Beckham in Victor Cruz and Sterling Shepard. Manning could be without lead back Rashad Jennings again, who was limited in practice Thursday due to a thumb injury. The Giants also have issues in their secondary with cornerbacks Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie and rookie Eli Apple limited by injuries. Manning is two TD passes shy of becoming the eighth QB in history to reach 300 and needs one win for the 100th of his career. The Giants have dominated the series in recent seasons with three straight double-digit victories, including a 37-20 playoff win at Lambeau Field in January 2012.
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The Packers bring the 29th ranked offense into Sunday’s contest, but QB Aaron Rodgers had his best game of the season last week in a win over Detroit. Rodgers completed over 60% of his passes and threw four scoring strikes although he has yet to pass for more than 218 yards in a game this season. Green Bay has also lost to Minnesota, though the defense kept it close in a 17-14 Week 2 loss. Jordy Nelson, who missed the 2015 season due to a torn ACL, had six catches for 101 yards and two touchdowns in Week 3 to push his season totals to 17 receptions and four TDs. Fellow wideout Randall Cobb is coming off a one-catch performance and stretched his touchdown drought to nine games. Running back Eddie Lacy went over 100 yards for the first time, but will have a tougher time against the Giants 9th ranked run defense. Green Bay’s defense ranks 29th in the league against the pass at 307.3 yards per game, but are tops in the league against the run (42.7). Rodgers owns the highest passer rating at home in league history with a mark of 110.2.
Both secondaries are banged-up and are below-average to begin with. I see a lot of passing and scoring in this one tonight. The line is a little high for me, but I will take Green Bay small. My formal prediction in this game will be the over. Rodgers is going to light it up tonight and Green Bay should score over 30 by themselves.
Pick: Over 48
