Friday’s MLB Baseball Free Picks & Predictions [9/11/26]

Open an Account at Bovada Sportsbook for a $750 Welcome Bonus (US CUSTOMERS ONLY).

JAY COOPER’S FREE MLB PICKS

BOBBY BABOWSKI’S FREE MLB PICKS
11-8 (+$310) Run

$750 MLB BETTING BONUS

**All plays are Listed Pitchers and trends are courtesy of Don Best Sports and are through 9/10/26**


Pittsburgh (ACTION) at Chicago Cubs (Imanaga) – 2:20 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 road games.
Hot: Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
Hot: Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Cold: Cubs are 0-4 in their last 4 games on grass.
Cold: Cubs are 0-4 in their last 4 overall.
Cold: Cubs are 1-8 in Imanaga’s last 9 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 6-0 in Imanaga’s last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Imanaga’s last 5 starts with 6 days of rest.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Imanaga’s last 4 Friday starts.
Hot: Over is 7-1 in Cubs last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 7-1 in Pirates last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Under is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings in Chicago.

Pick: Pirates +158


LA Dodgers (ACTION) at Miami (Gusto) – 7:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Dodgers are 7-0 in their last 7 games on grass.
Hot: Dodgers are 7-0 in their last 7 overall.
Hot: Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 games following a win.
Cold: Marlins are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Cold: Dodgers are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Cold: Marlins are 1-6 in their last 7 games on grass.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Gusto’s last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 on grass.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 overall.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 home games.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Dodgers are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Miami.
Over is 14-4 in the last 18 meetings.
Over is 16-5-1 in the last 22 meetings in Miami.
Dodgers are 21-8 in the last 29 meetings.

Pick: Marlins +175


Philadelphia (Nola) at Atlanta (Sale) – 7:15 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Braves are 12-1 in Sale’s last 13 starts vs. National League East.
Hot: Phillies are 10-1 in their last 11 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Phillies are 6-1 in their last 7 road games.
Cold: Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cold: Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Braves are 2-5 in Sale’s last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 3-0-2 in Sale’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Sale’s last 4 starts on grass.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Sale’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Sale’s last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Sale’s last 4 starts overall.
Hot: Under is 9-1-2 in Sale’s last 12 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 9-2-2 in the last 13 meetings.
Under is 10-3-1 in the last 14 meetings in Atlanta.
Phillies are 3-8 in the last 11 meetings.

Pick: Braves -1.5 +125

$750 MLB BETTING BONUS

Cincinnati (Abbott) at Milwaukee (May) – 7:45 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Brewers are 8-1 in Harrison’s last 9 home starts.
Hot: Reds are 7-1 in Abbott’s last 8 Friday starts.
Hot: Brewers are 8-2 in Harrison’s last 10 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cold: Brewers are 0-4 in Harrison’s last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Cold: Reds are 1-6 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
Cold: Reds are 2-8 in their last 10 road games vs. a left-handed starter.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Reds last 5 games following an off day.
Hot: Over is 7-1 in Reds last 8 vs. National League Central.
Hot: Over is 6-1 in Reds last 7 road games.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Harrison’s last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Over is 4-1-2 in Brewers last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Hot: Over is 4-1-2 in Brewers last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee.
Cold: Reds are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee.
Reds are 16-39 in the last 55 meetings.

Pick: Reds +161


San Diego (Ray) at San Francisco (Molina) – 10:15 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
Hot: Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cold: Giants are 0-4 in their last 4 Friday games.
Cold: Padres are 1-6 in their last 7 road games.
Cold: Padres are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Ray’s last 4 starts on grass.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Ray’s last 4 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Padres last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 7-1-1 in Padres last 9 games following an off day.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Padres are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in San Francisco.
Under is 17-5 in the last 22 meetings in San Francisco.
Padres are 19-7 in the last 26 meetings.

Pick: Padres -1.5 +120


Baltimore (Bassitt) at Toronto (Scherzer) – 7:07 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games following an off day.
Hot: Orioles are 4-0 in Bassitt’s last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cold: Orioles are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. American League East.
Cold: Orioles are 0-4 in Bassitt’s last 4 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cold: Orioles are 1-6 in their last 7 games on astroturf.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 8-0 in Bassitt’s last 8 road starts.
Hot: Over is 6-0 in Bassitt’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 on astroturf.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Bassitt’s last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Bassitt’s last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Head-to-Head
Over is 25-10-2 in the last 37 meetings in Toronto.
Cold: Orioles are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings in Toronto.
Orioles are 3-8 in the last 11 meetings.

Pick: Blue Jays -121

$750 MLB BETTING BONUS

Houston (Ullola) at Tampa Bay (Rasmussen) – 7:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Astros are 7-0 in their last 7 Friday games.
Hot: Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Rays are 10-1 in their last 11 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Rays are 2-5 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Astros are 5-12 in their last 17 games following a win.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0-1 in Astros last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Rays last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 Friday games.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 6-1 in Rays last 7 vs. American League West.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Rays last 6 on fieldturf.

Head-to-Head
Under is 35-10-3 in the last 48 meetings in Tampa Bay.
Astros are 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in Tampa Bay.
Under is 40-16-3 in the last 59 meetings.

Pick: Rays -1.5 +130


Kansas City (Lugo) at Boston (Gray) – 7:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Red Sox are 8-0 in their last 8 vs. American League Central.
Hot: Red Sox are 7-0 in Gray’s last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Red Sox are 5-0 in Gray’s last 5 Friday starts.
Cold: Royals are 1-6 in Lugo’s last 7 starts vs. American League East.
Cold: Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games following a loss.
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 on grass.
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 overall.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Gray’s last 4 Friday starts.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.

Head-to-Head
Over is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings.
Under is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings in Boston.

Pick: Royals +180


Cleveland (Messick) at Minnesota (Bradley) – 8:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Twins are 5-0 in Bradley’s last 5 starts vs. American League Central.
Hot: Twins are 7-1 in Bradley’s last 8 home starts.
Hot: Guardians are 7-1 in their last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: Twins are 0-5 in their last 5 games following an off day.
Cold: Guardians are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Twins are 2-7 in their last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Bradley’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Bradley’s last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 10-1 in Messick’s last 11 road starts.
Hot: Under is 7-1 in Bradley’s last 8 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Messick’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Messick’s last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Head-to-Head
Under is 15-5-1 in the last 21 meetings in Minnesota.

Pick: Guardians -118

$750 MLB BETTING BONUS

Seattle (Kirby) at Athletics (Springs) – 9:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: A’s are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
A’s are 5-2 in Springs’ last 7 starts vs. American League West.
Cold: Mariners are 0-6 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: A’s are 0-4 in Springs’ last 4 home starts.
Cold: Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Cold: Mariners are 1-9 in their last 10 Friday games.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 7-0 in Springs’ last 7 home starts.
Hot: Over is 6-0 in Springs’ last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Springs’ last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 10-1 in Springs’ last 11 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Over is 7-1 in A’s last 8 vs. American League West.
Hot: Over is 9-2-1 in A’s last 12 during game 1 of a series.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Athletics.
Mariners are 27-10 in the last 37 meetings in Athletics.
Mariners are 56-24 in the last 80 meetings.

Pick: A’s +147


Colorado (Adams) at Detroit (Valdez) – 6:40 ET

Win/Loss
Tigers are 10-3 in their last 13 games following an off day.
Tigers are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Tigers are 7-3 in Valdez’s last 10 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cold: Tigers are 0-8 in their last 8 games following a win.
Cold: Tigers are 0-6 in their last 6 Friday games.
Cold: Tigers are 0-6 in their last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 vs. National League West.
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Rockies last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 interleague home games.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 interleague games.
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Valdez’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
Cold: Rockies are 1-7 in the last 8 meetings.
Rockies are 3-8 in the last 11 meetings in Detroit.

Pick: Tigers -1.5 +120


LA Angels (Kikuchi) at Washington (Cavalli) – 6:45 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Nationals are 7-0 in Cavalli’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Nationals are 5-0 in Cavalli’s last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Hot: Nationals are 5-0 in Cavalli’s last 5 home starts.
Cold: Nationals are 0-8 in their last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cold: Nationals are 0-6 in their last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cold: Angels are 0-6 in Kikuchi’s last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0-1 in Nationals last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 interleague games.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 vs. American League West.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Washington.

Pick: Angels +131

$750 MLB BETTING BONUS

NY Mets (McLean) at NY Yankees (Rodon) – 7:05 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
Hot: Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Hot: Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
Mets are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. American League East.
Mets are 3-7 in their last 10 Friday games.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 7-0-1 in Mets last 8 games following a win.
Hot: Under is 5-0-2 in McLean’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Mets last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Hot: Over is 7-1 in Mets last 8 overall.
Hot: Over is 5-1-2 in Mets last 8 on grass.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in New York.

Pick: Mets +120


Chicago White Sox (Kay) at St Louis (Liberatore) – 8:15 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 Friday games.
Hot: White Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cold: Cardinals are 0-8 in Liberatore’s last 8 starts on grass.
Cold: Cardinals are 0-6 in Liberatore’s last 6 starts.
Cold: White Sox are 0-6 in their last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 7-0-1 in Cardinals last 8 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in White Sox last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Liberatore’s last 4 home starts.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Liberatore’s last 4 starts overall.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in St. Louis.
Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings.
White Sox are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings.

Pick: Cardinals +103


Texas (ACTION) at Arizona (ACTION) – 9:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 Friday games.
Hot: Rangers are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague games.
Cold: Rangers are 2-8 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Cold: Rangers are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 overall.
Hot: Under is 6-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 on grass.
Hot: Under is 5-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 interleague games.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Rangers last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Over is 6-1-1 in Rangers last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

Head-to-Head
Cold: Rangers are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Arizona.

Pick: Rangers +111

Previous articleToday’s Free Horse Picks – Friday, September 11th 2026
Jay has been watching and following sports since he could walk and turned to betting in his late teens. His favorite sport is MLB and has been producing winners on UltimateCapper for almost 25 years. Follow Jay's free sports picks and enjoy the winners.