Friday’s MLB Baseball Free Picks & Predictions [8/21/26]

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JAY COOPER’S FREE MLB PICKS
10-3 (+$876) Run!

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5-2 (+$306) Run!

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**All plays are Listed Pitchers and trends are courtesy of Don Best Sports and are through 8/19/26**


Atlanta (Sale) at Milwaukee (Misiorowski) – 4:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Brewers are 8-1 in Misiorowski’s last 9 starts with 5 days of rest.
Hot: Brewers are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. National League East.
Hot: Brewers are 6-1 in Misiorowski’s last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.
Cold: Braves are 0-5 in Sale’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Braves are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Cold: Braves are 1-5 in their last 6 games on grass.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 7-1 in Sale’s last 8 Friday starts.
Hot: Over is 6-1 in Sale’s last 7 starts with 6 days of rest.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Misiorowski’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Braves last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Braves last 6 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Sale’s last 6 road starts.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Braves are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee.
Over is 13-4-1 in the last 18 meetings.

Pick: Brewers -1.5 +170


St Louis (ACTION) at Philadelphia (Luzardo) – 6:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Phillies are 6-0 in their last 6 games on grass.
Hot: Phillies are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
Hot: Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 Friday games.
Cold: Phillies are 1-5 in Luzardo’s last 6 Friday starts.
Cold: Phillies are 1-4 in Luzardo’s last 5 starts vs. National League Central.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 Friday games.
Hot: Over is 7-1 in Phillies last 8 home games.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Luzardo’s last 6 Friday starts.
Hot: Over is 8-2 in Luzardo’s last 10 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Hot: Over is 4-1-1 in Luzardo’s last 6 starts vs. National League Central.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 on grass.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings in Philadelphia.
Cardinals are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
Cardinals are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings in Philadelphia.

Pick: Phillies -1.5 +100


Washington (Lord) at Miami (Gusto) – 7:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
Marlins are 9-3 in their last 12 vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Marlins are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. National League East.
Cold: Nationals are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Cold: Nationals are 1-7 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Marlins last 6 Friday games.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 games following an off day.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 Friday games.
Hot: Under is 8-1 in Nationals last 9 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Under is 7-1 in Nationals last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 during game 1 of a series.

Head-to-Head
Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Miami.
Cold: Nationals are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings.
Cold: Nationals are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Miami.

Pick: Nationals +129

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Cincinnati (Lodolo) at Arizona (Rodriguez) – 9:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 Friday games.
Hot: Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.
Cold: Reds are 0-4 in Lodolo’s last 4 starts vs. National League West.
Cold: Reds are 0-4 in Lodolo’s last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
Cold: Reds are 1-5 in Lodolo’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 Friday games.
Hot: Under is 10-1-1 in Lodolo’s last 12 starts vs. National League West.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Reds last 7 Friday games.
Hot: Under is 4-1-1 in Reds last 6 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Under is 4-1-1 in Lodolo’s last 6 starts on grass.
Hot: Under is 4-1-1 in Lodolo’s last 6 starts overall.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Reds are 3-8 in the last 11 meetings in Arizona.

Pick: Reds +131


Pittsburgh (Chandler) at LA Dodgers (Yamamoto) – 10:10 ET

Win/Loss
Pirates are 14-4 in their last 18 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Dodgers are 50-20 in their last 70 vs. a team with a losing record.
Pirates are 5-2 in their last 7 games on grass.
Cold: Pirates are 1-8 in their last 9 Friday games.
Cold: Dodgers are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. National League Central.
Cold: Pirates are 1-5 in their last 6 road games.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 6-1 in Dodgers last 7 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 Friday games.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 Friday games.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 11-3 in Dodgers last 14 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 7-2 in Pirates last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Pirates are 14-40 in the last 54 meetings in Los Angeles.

Pick: Dodgers -1.5 -105


Tampa Bay (Peralta) at Baltimore (Rogers) – 7:15 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Rays are 9-0 in their last 9 games on grass.
Hot: Rays are 12-1 in their last 13 road games.
Rays are 17-5 in their last 22 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Orioles are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Cold: Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 games on grass.
Orioles are 2-5 in their last 7 home games.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0-1 in Orioles last 7 home games.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 overall.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 vs. American League East.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Orioles last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Hot: Over is 12-3 in Orioles last 15 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Cold: Rays are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Baltimore.
Cold: Rays are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings.

Pick: Rays +114

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Toronto (ACTION) at NY Yankees (Schlittler) – 7:05 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games on grass.
Yankees are 7-2 in their last 9 during game 1 of a series.
Cold: Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Yankees are 3-8 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Yankees are 4-10 in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 road games.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Over is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in New York.

Pick: Yankees -1.5 +100


LA Angels (Detmers) at Texas (Gore) – 8:15 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
Rangers are 5-2 in their last 7 home games.
Rangers are 12-5 in their last 17 during game 1 of a series.
Cold: Rangers are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. American League West.
Cold: Rangers are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Angels are 6-18 in their last 24 vs. a team with a losing record.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Angels last 6 vs. American League West.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 on grass.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 overall.
Hot: Under is 8-1 in Angels last 9 road games.
Hot: Under is 7-1 in Angels last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Texas.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Angels are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
Cold: Angels are 2-9 in the last 11 meetings in Texas.

Pick: Rangers -1.5 +155


Athletics (Ginn) at Houston (Wesneski) – 8:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 Friday games.
Hot: Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Astros are 7-2 in their last 9 during game 1 of a series.
Cold: A’s are 1-6 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
A’s are 11-40 in their last 51 games on grass.
A’s are 11-40 in their last 51 overall.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0-1 in A’s last 6 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 Friday games.
Hot: Over is 8-1 in A’s last 9 Friday games.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in A’s last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in A’s last 5 vs. American League West.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in A’s last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Houston.
A’s are 10-4 in the last 14 meetings.
Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
A’s are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Houston.

Pick: Astros -1.5 +115

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Detroit (Melton) at Kansas City (Cameron) – 8:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
Hot: Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Cold: Tigers are 1-5 in their last 6 games on grass.
Cold: Tigers are 1-5 in their last 6 overall.
Cold: Tigers are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Over is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Over is 4-1-1 in Royals last 6 home games.
Hot: Under is 4-1-1 in Tigers last 6 road games.
Hot: Under is 4-1-1 in Tigers last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 14-5-2 in Royals last 21 vs. a team with a losing record.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Kansas City.
Under is 18-7-2 in the last 27 meetings.

Pick: Tigers -111


San Francisco (Webb) at Boston (Gray) – 7:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 games following an off day.
Hot: Red Sox are 11-1 in their last 12 Friday games.
Hot: Red Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League West.
Cold: Red Sox are 1-6 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Cold: Giants are 2-10 in their last 12 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Giants are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0-1 in Red Sox last 6 interleague home games.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 Friday games.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 on grass.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 overall.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 interleague games.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 vs. National League West.

Head-to-Head
Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.
Giants are 3-8 in the last 11 meetings in Boston.

Pick: Giants +161


NY Mets (Manaea) at Chicago White Sox (Burke) – 7:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Mets are 7-0 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Mets are 10-1 in their last 11 vs. American League Central.
Hot: Mets are 5-1 in their last 6 games on grass.
Cold: White Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: White Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Mets are 2-5 in their last 7 Friday games.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 on grass.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 overall.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 interleague road games.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 vs. American League Central.
Hot: Over is 7-1-1 in Mets last 9 road games.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Mets last 7 games following an off day.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Chicago.
Hot: Mets are 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Chicago.
Hot: Mets are 10-2 in the last 12 meetings.
Under is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings.

Pick: White Sox -1.5 +150

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Cleveland (Cantillo) at Colorado (Gordon) – 8:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Rockies are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Guardians are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague road games.
Hot: Rockies are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Rockies are 0-6 in their last 6 home games.
Cold: Guardians are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Guardians are 1-4 in their last 5 road games.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Rockies last 6 Friday games.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 games following an off day.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 on grass.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Guardians are 4-10 in the last 14 meetings in Colorado.

Pick: Guardians -1.5 +100


Minnesota (Prielipp) at San Diego (Undecided) – 9:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Padres are 7-0 in their last 7 games following a loss.
Hot: Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Padres are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Twins are 1-5 in their last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Twins are 2-6 in their last 8 road games.
Padres are 4-10 in their last 14 during game 1 of a series.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 6-0 in Padres last 6 games following an off day.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 overall.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 on grass.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 games following a loss.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in San Diego.

Pick: Check back later…


Chicago Cubs (Boyd) at Seattle (Hancock) – 10:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Cubs are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Mariners are 6-2 in their last 8 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Cold: Mariners are 0-7 in their last 7 Friday games.
Cold: Mariners are 0-6 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.
Cold: Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 home games.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0-1 in Mariners last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 Friday games.
Hot: Over is 9-2-1 in Mariners last 12 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Over is 4-1-1 in Mariners last 6 Friday games.
Hot: Over is 4-1-1 in Cubs last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Cubs are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Seattle.
Cubs are 13-5 in the last 18 meetings.

Pick: Cubs -105

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Jay has been watching and following sports since he could walk and turned to betting in his late teens. His favorite sport is MLB and has been producing winners on UltimateCapper for almost 25 years. Follow Jay's free sports picks and enjoy the winners.