Friday’s MLB Baseball Free Picks & Predictions [8/14/26]

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**All plays are Listed Pitchers and trends are courtesy of Don Best Sports and are through 8/13/26**


St Louis (Liberatore) at Chicago Cubs (Holmes) – 2:20 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Cubs are 7-0 in their last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
Cold: Cubs are 0-4 in their last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Cold: Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
Cold: Cardinals are 1-4 in Liberatore’s last 5 starts on grass.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 on grass.
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 overall.
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in Cardinals last 5 Friday games.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 games following an off day.
Hot: Under is 8-1 in Cardinals last 9 road games.

Head-to-Head
Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Chicago.
Cold: Cardinals are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.
Cardinals are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings in Chicago.

Pick: Cubs -1.5 +116


Miami (Alcantara) at Cincinnati (Burns) – 6:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
Hot: Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Hot: Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: Reds are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. National League East.
Cold: Reds are 0-4 in their last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Cold: Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 games on grass.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 7-0 in Marlins last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Marlins last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Marlins last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 Friday games.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Burns’ last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Burns’ last 4 home starts.

Head-to-Head
Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Cincinnati.

Pick: Reds -109


Washington (Alvarez) at NY Mets (Stock) – 7:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Nationals are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Mets are 0-5 in their last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Cold: Mets are 0-4 in Stock’s last 4 starts.
Cold: Mets are 0-4 in Stock’s last 4 starts on grass.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Mets last 6 home games.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Mets last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Stock’s last 4 starts on grass.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Stock’s last 4 starts overall.
Hot: Over is 7-1-1 in Mets last 9 on grass.
Hot: Over is 7-1-1 in Mets last 9 overall.

Head-to-Head
Nationals are 14-37 in the last 51 meetings in New York.

Pick: Nationals +104

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Arizona (Pfaadt) at Atlanta (Undecided) – 7:15 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Diamondbacks are 4-0 in Pfaadt’s last 4 road starts.
Cold: Diamondbacks are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. National League East.
Diamondbacks are 4-13 in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Diamondbacks are 2-5 in their last 7 games following an off day.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 Friday games.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Pfaadt’s last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Hot: Over is 6-1 in Pfaadt’s last 7 Friday starts.
Hot: Under is 5-1-1 in Braves last 7 games following an off day.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Braves last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Head-to-Head
Diamondbacks are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Atlanta.
Over is 12-5-1 in the last 18 meetings.

Pick: Check back later…


Milwaukee (Gasser) at LA Dodgers (Yamamoto) – 10:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Dodgers are 4-0 in Yamamoto’s last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
Hot: Brewers are 4-0 in Gasser’s last 4 starts.
Hot: Brewers are 4-0 in Gasser’s last 4 starts on grass.
Cold: Brewers are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. National League West.
Cold: Brewers are 0-4 in their last 4 road games.
Cold: Brewers are 2-8 in their last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 7-1 in Yamamoto’s last 8 Friday starts.
Hot: Under is 10-2-1 in Brewers last 13 on grass.
Hot: Under is 10-2-1 in Brewers last 13 overall.
Hot: Under is 5-1-1 in Dodgers last 7 during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 vs. National League Central.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Cold: Brewers are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings.
Brewers are 5-15 in the last 20 meetings in Los Angeles.

Pick: Dodgers -1.5 +116


Colorado (Freeland) at San Francisco (Roupp) – 10:15 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 games following an off day.
Giants are 6-2 in their last 8 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cold: Giants are 0-7 in their last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cold: Giants are 0-5 in Roupp’s last 5 starts vs. National League West.
Cold: Giants are 0-5 in Roupp’s last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0-3 in Roupp’s last 8 starts on grass.
Hot: Over is 5-0-3 in Roupp’s last 8 starts overall.
Hot: Over is 7-0 in Rockies last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 5-0-2 in Roupp’s last 7 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Rockies last 5 Friday games.
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Roupp’s last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in San Francisco.
Hot: Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Rockies are 11-41 in the last 52 meetings in San Francisco.
Rockies are 14-43 in the last 57 meetings.

Pick: Giants -124

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Chicago White Sox (Newcomb) at Detroit (Jobe) – 6:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Tigers are 6-1 in their last 7 Friday games.
Hot: Tigers are 8-2 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.
Cold: Tigers are 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Cold: White Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.
Cold: Tigers are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0-1 in Tigers last 6 home games.
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 Friday games.
Over is 10-3-2 in Tigers last 15 on grass.

Head-to-Head
Cold: White Sox are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Detroit.

Pick: White Sox +134


NY Yankees (Cole) at Toronto (Bieber) – 7:07 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Blue Jays are 6-1 in their last 7 games on astroturf.
Hot: Blue Jays are 6-1 in their last 7 home games.
Cold: Yankees are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Yankees are 3-10 in their last 13 games on astroturf.
Yankees are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. American League East.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 overall.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 during game 1 of a series.
Over is 18-6-2 in Yankees last 26 on astroturf.
Under is 15-5-1 in Yankees last 21 Friday games.
Under is 6-2 in Blue Jays last 8 on astroturf.

Head-to-Head
Over is 15-5-1 in the last 21 meetings in Toronto.
Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
Yankees are 3-9 in the last 12 meetings in Toronto.

Pick: Blue Jays +132


Baltimore (Undecided) at Tampa Bay (Matz) – 7:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Hot: Rays are 18-4 in their last 22 overall.
Cold: Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. American League East.
Cold: Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Orioles are 7-19 in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Rays last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Hot: Under is 7-1 in Rays last 8 home games.
Hot: Over is 7-1 in Orioles last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Hot: Under is 8-2 in Orioles last 10 games following an off day.
Hot: Under is 4-1-1 in Orioles last 6 games following a loss.

Head-to-Head
Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Tampa Bay.
Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Pick: Check back later…

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Seattle (Kirby) at Houston (Lambert) – 8:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. American League West.
Hot: Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Astros are 4-1 in Lambert’s last 5 starts vs. American League West.
Cold: Mariners are 0-6 in their last 6 games on grass.
Cold: Mariners are 0-6 in their last 6 Friday games.
Cold: Mariners are 0-6 in their last 6 overall.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 vs. American League West.
Hot: Under is 6-1-1 in Lambert’s last 8 home starts.
Hot: Over is 6-1-1 in Mariners last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 6-1-1 in Mariners last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 6-1 in Astros last 7 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Under is 5-1-1 in Lambert’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Mariners are 10-1 in the last 11 meetings.
Hot: Mariners are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Houston.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

Pick: Mariners +115


Kansas City (Lugo) at LA Angels (Rodriguez) – 9:38 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Royals are 12-3 in Lugo’s last 15 starts vs. American League West.
Cold: Royals are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Cold: Royals are 0-4 in their last 4 games on grass.
Cold: Royals are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Cold: Royals are 0-4 in their last 4 overall.
Cold: Angels are 1-8 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Hot: Under is 2-0-2 in Lugo’s last 4 starts on grass.
Hot: Under is 2-0-2 in Lugo’s last 4 starts overall.
Hot: Under is 11-1 in Angels last 12 vs. American League Central.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Hot: Royals are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Royals are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles.

Pick: Angels -105


Texas (Rocker) at Athletics (Undecided) – 9:40 ET

Win/Loss
Rangers are 11-4 in their last 15 during game 1 of a series.
Rangers are 5-2 in their last 7 Friday games.
Rangers are 5-2 in Rocker’s last 7 starts following an outing of less than 4 innings in his last appearance.
Cold: A’s are 0-7 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: A’s are 0-6 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cold: A’s are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 7-0 in Rocker’s last 7 starts on grass.
Hot: Over is 6-0 in A’s last 6 home games.
Hot: Over is 6-0 in Rocker’s last 6 starts overall.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in A’s last 5 games following a loss.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Rocker’s last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in A’s last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Athletics.
Rangers are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Athletics.

Pick: Check back later…

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Boston (Bennett) at Pittsburgh (Chandler) – 6:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games.
Hot: Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague road games.
Hot: Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: Pirates are 0-7 in their last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cold: Pirates are 0-5 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cold: Pirates are 0-4 in their last 4 games following a win.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in Chandler’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Bennett’s last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Bennett’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Chandler’s last 6 interleague starts.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Red Sox are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Pittsburgh.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Pick: Pirates +121


San Diego (King) at Cleveland (Williams) – 7:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
Hot: Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.
Hot: Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Cold: Padres are 0-6 in King’s last 6 road starts.
Cold: Padres are 0-6 in King’s last 6 Friday starts.
Cold: Guardians are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Williams’ last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Williams’ last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Padres last 5 games following an off day.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Williams’ last 4 starts vs. National League West.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in King’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Padres last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Padres are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Cleveland.

Pick: Padres +115