Friday’s MLB Baseball Free Picks & Predictions [7/31/26]

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**All plays are Listed Pitchers and trends are courtesy of Don Best Sports and are through 7/30/26**


Pittsburgh (Skenes) at Cincinnati (Greene) – 6:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Reds are 6-0 in Greene’s last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Pirates are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: Pirates are 0-6 in their last 6 Friday games.
Cold: Pirates are 0-6 in Skenes’ last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Pirates are 0-5 in Skenes’ last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Reds last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Hot: Over is 6-0 in Skenes’ last 6 starts on grass.
Hot: Over is 6-0 in Skenes’ last 6 starts overall.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 Friday games.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Skenes’ last 4 starts vs. National League Central.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.
Under is 7-2-2 in the last 11 meetings in Cincinnati.
Pirates are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.

Pick: Reds +113


Miami (Junk) at NY Mets (Peralta) – 7:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League East.
Hot: Marlins are 8-2 in Junk’s last 10 starts with 4 days of rest.
Hot: Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Cold: Marlins are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Marlins are 0-6 in their last 6 road games.
Cold: Mets are 0-4 in their last 4 Friday games.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Peralta’s last 4 starts vs. National League East.
Hot: Under is 8-1 in Marlins last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Hot: Over is 5-1-1 in Junk’s last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Mets last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

Pick: Marlins +116


Washington (Griffin) at Atlanta (Elder) – 7:15 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Nationals are 7-0 in Griffin’s last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Hot: Nationals are 6-0 in Griffin’s last 6 starts vs. National League East.
Hot: Nationals are 6-0 in Griffin’s last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
Cold: Braves are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
Cold: Braves are 0-4 in Elder’s last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
Cold: Nationals are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. National League East.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Elder’s last 4 starts vs. National League East.
Hot: Over is 9-1 in Braves last 10 home games.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.
Under is 19-7-1 in the last 27 meetings in Atlanta.
Nationals are 4-10 in the last 14 meetings.

Pick: Braves -121

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San Francisco (Undecided) at San Diego (Undecided) – 9:45 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.
Hot: Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
Hot: Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Giants are 0-5 in their last 5 road games.
Cold: Giants are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
Giants are 2-7 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Hot: Under is 4-1-1 in Giants last 6 vs. National League West.
Under is 7-2 in Padres last 9 vs. National League West.
Under is 3-1-4 in Giants last 8 road games.

Head-to-Head
Over is 19-7-1 in the last 27 meetings in San Diego.
Giants are 6-16 in the last 22 meetings.

Pick: Check back later…


Chicago White Sox (Fedde) at Tampa Bay (Martinez) – 7:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Rays are 18-6 in their last 24 vs. American League Central.
White Sox are 19-56 in their last 75 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
White Sox are 34-83 in their last 117 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 home games.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 9-2 in White Sox last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Hot: Under is 8-2 in White Sox last 10 on fieldturf.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Rays last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Rays last 5 vs. American League Central.

Head-to-Head
Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

Pick: CLICK HERE


Texas (Eovaldi) at Houston (Brown) – 8:15 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Astros are 8-1 in their last 9 games on grass.
Hot: Astros are 8-1 in their last 9 overall.
Cold: Astros are 0-5 in Brown’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
Cold: Astros are 0-4 in Brown’s last 4 starts vs. American League West.
Cold: Astros are 1-4 in their last 5 Friday games.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 8-1 in Brown’s last 9 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 8-1 in Rangers last 9 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Under is 7-1 in Astros last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Hot: Over is 12-2-2 in Rangers last 16 Friday games.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Astros last 7 home games.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Astros last 6 during game 1 of a series.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Over is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings in Houston.

Pick: Rangers +109

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Detroit (Mize) at Athletics (Springs) – 9:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Tigers are 7-0 in their last 7 games following an off day.
Hot: Tigers are 5-0 in their last 5 Friday games.
Hot: Tigers are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. American League West.
Cold: Tigers are 0-6 in Mizes last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: A’s are 0-5 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Cold: A’s are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0 in A’s last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 vs. American League West.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in A’s last 4 home games.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games following an off day.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Mize’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Tigers are 15-40 in the last 55 meetings.
Tigers are 8-20 in the last 28 meetings in Athletics.

Pick: A’s +140


Minnesota (Matthews) at Seattle (Miller) – 10:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Mariners are 6-1 in their last 7 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Hot: Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
Cold: Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 Friday games.
Cold: Twins are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Cold: Mariners are 1-5 in Miller’s last 6 starts.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0-1 in Mariners last 6 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 Friday games.
Hot: Over is 9-1-2 in Miller’s last 12 starts during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Over is 7-1-3 in Miller’s last 11 Friday starts.
Hot: Under is 7-1 in Twins last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.

Pick: Mariners -1.5 +115


NY Yankees (Warren) at Chicago Cubs (Imanaga) – 2:20 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cold: Cubs are 0-5 in Imanaga’s last 5 Friday starts.
Cold: Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 Friday games.
Cold: Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Yankees last 6 Friday games.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Imanaga’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Imanaga’s last 5 interleague starts.
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in Imanaga’s last 5 starts vs. American League East.
Hot: Under is 10-1-1 in Yankees last 12 interleague road games.
Hot: Under is 9-1-1 in Cubs last 11 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Yankees are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Chicago.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Chicago.
Yankees are 18-7 in the last 25 meetings.

Pick: Yankees +139

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Philadelphia (ACTION) at Baltimore (Young) – 7:05 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Orioles are 6-0 in Young’s last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Orioles are 6-0 in Young’s last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Orioles are 4-0 in Young’s last 4 Friday starts.
Cold: Phillies are 0-6 in their last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cold: Orioles are 0-4 in their last 4 games following a win.
Cold: Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Young’s last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 games following an off day.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Young’s last 4 home starts.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Young’s last 4 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 8-1 in Phillies last 9 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 2-0-2 in the last 4 meetings in Baltimore.

Pick: Orioles -126


St Louis (Leahy) at Toronto (Cease) – 7:07 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Blue Jays are 5-1 in their last 6 games following an off day.
Hot: Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: Cardinals are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Cold: Cardinals are 2-12 in their last 14 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: Cardinals are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 7-0 in Leahy’s last 7 starts overall.
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 6-1-2 in Leahy’s last 9 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Cease’s last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Toronto.
Cold: Cardinals are 0-6 in the last 6 meetings.
Cold: Cardinals are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Toronto.

Pick: Cardinals +150


Arizona (Bratt) at Cleveland (Bibee) – 7:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Hot: Guardians are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Cold: Diamondbacks are 0-8 in their last 8 interleague road games.
Cold: Diamondbacks are 0-7 in their last 7 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: Guardians are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 vs. National League West.
Hot: Under is 6-1-1 in Bibee’s last 8 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 overall.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Cleveland.
Hot: Diamondbacks are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Hot: Diamondbacks are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Cleveland.

Pick: Diamondbacks +120

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Kansas City (Wacha) at Colorado (Sugano) – 8:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Rockies are 4-0 in Sugano’s last 4 home starts.
Hot: Rockies are 6-1 in Sugano’s last 7 starts.
Hot: Rockies are 6-1 in Sugano’s last 7 starts on grass.
Cold: Royals are 2-10 in their last 12 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: Royals are 2-8 in their last 10 Friday games.
Cold: Rockies are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0-1 in Royals last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 5-0-1 in Royals last 6 road games.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Sugano’s last 4 interleague starts.
Hot: Under is 8-1-2 in Royals last 11 on grass.
Hot: Under is 8-1-2 in Royals last 11 overall.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Sugano’s last 7 home starts.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Royals are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Colorado.

Pick: Rockies -105


Milwaukee (Drohan) at LA Angels (Johnson) – 9:38 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss.
Hot: Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Hot: Brewers are 4-1 in Drohan’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Angels are 0-5 in Johnson’s last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
Cold: Angels are 0-4 in their last 4 home games.
Cold: Angels are 0-4 in Johnson’s last 4 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Drohan’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Brewers are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Los Angeles.
Brewers are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles.

Pick: Brewers -1.5 -105


Boston (Suarez) at LA Dodgers (Undecided) – 10:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Red Sox are 9-0 in their last 9 Friday games.
Hot: Red Sox are 11-1 in their last 12 road games.
Hot: Red Sox are 10-1 in their last 11 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Red Sox are 24-5 in their last 29 games on grass.
Cold: Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. National League West.
Red Sox are 8-19 in their last 27 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 road games.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 on grass.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 overall.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 7-1 in Red Sox last 8 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 during game 1 of a series.

Head-to-Head
Red Sox are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings in Los Angeles.
Red Sox are 3-8 in the last 11 meetings.

Pick: Check back later…