Friday’s MLB Baseball Free Picks & Predictions [7/24/26]

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**All plays are Listed Pitchers and trends are courtesy of Don Best Sports and are through 7/23/26**


Colorado (Sugano) at Milwaukee (Drohan) – 4:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Brewers are 4-0 in Drohan’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League West.
Hot: Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
Cold: Rockies are 8-43 in their last 51 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Rockies are 14-51 in their last 65 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Rockies are 22-67 in their last 89 games vs. a left-handed starter.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 road games.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Over is 5-2 in Brewers last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Over is 5-2 in Rockies last 7 during game 1 of a series.
Under is 7-3 in Brewers last 10 home games.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Milwaukee.
Under is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings.
Cold: Rockies are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings.

Pick: CLICK HERE


Chicago Cubs (Boyd) at Pittsburgh (Jones) – 6:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League Central.
Hot: Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Cubs are 10-3 in their last 13 road games.
Cold: Pirates are 0-5 in their last 5 Friday games.
Cold: Cubs are 0-4 in their last 4 Friday games.
Cold: Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 10-2 in Pirates last 12 vs. National League Central.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 13-3-1 in Pirates last 17 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Over is 12-3 in Pirates last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 Friday games.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 on grass.

Head-to-Head
Cubs are 21-6 in the last 27 meetings in Pittsburgh.
Over is 10-3-1 in the last 14 meetings in Pittsburgh.
Under is 9-3-1 in the last 13 meetings.

Pick: Cubs +109


Arizona (Rodriguez) at Washington (Palmquist) – 6:45 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
Hot: Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Diamondbacks are 7-2 in their last 9 games on grass.
Cold: Nationals are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Nationals are 0-6 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Diamondbacks are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. National League East.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 home games.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
Hot: Under is 9-2 in Diamondbacks last 11 vs. National League East.
Hot: Under is 8-2 in Nationals last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 14-4 in Diamondbacks last 18 road games.

Head-to-Head
Under is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings in Washington.
Diamondbacks are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Washington.
Diamondbacks are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings.

Pick: Nationals +109

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LA Dodgers (Sasaki) at NY Mets (Manaea) – 7:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Dodgers are 9-1 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Dodgers are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Mets are 7-2 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Cold: Mets are 0-4 in their last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Cold: Mets are 1-7 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series.
Cold: Mets are 1-5 in their last 6 games following an off day.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 6-1-2 in Mets last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Mets last 7 on grass.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Mets last 7 overall.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Mets last 7 vs. National League West.
Hot: Over is 6-1 in Dodgers last 7 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Over is 5-1-1 in Mets last 7 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.

Head-to-Head
Dodgers are 22-7 in the last 29 meetings in New York.
Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in New York.

Pick: Dodgers -1.5 +105


San Diego (Marquez) at Miami (ACTION) – 7:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Marlins are 10-1 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Marlins are 25-6 in their last 31 vs. National League West.
Hot: Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games following an off day.
Cold: Marlins are 0-8 in their last 8 games on grass.
Cold: Marlins are 0-8 in their last 8 overall.
Cold: Padres are 0-6 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 Friday games.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 home games.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 6-2 in Marlins last 8 on grass.
Under is 6-2 in Marlins last 8 overall.

Pick: Padres +115


Cincinnati (Lowder) at St Louis (May) – 8:15 ET

Win/Loss
Cardinals are 8-3 in their last 11 Friday games.
Cardinals are 17-7 in their last 24 during game 1 of a series.
Cold: Reds are 0-6 in Lowder’s last 6 road starts.
Cold: Reds are 0-6 in Lowder’s last 6 starts vs. National League Central.
Cold: Reds are 0-5 in Lowder’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Cardinals are 0-4 in their last 4 games on grass.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in Cardinals last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Under is 9-1 in Cardinals last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 6-1-1 in Cardinals last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Hot: Under is 6-1-1 in Cardinals last 8 on grass.
Hot: Under is 6-1-1 in Cardinals last 8 overall.

Head-to-Head
Cold: Reds are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in St. Louis.
Cold: Reds are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.

Pick: Reds +145

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Kansas City (Way) at Detroit (Skubal) – 6:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 Friday games.
Hot: Tigers are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Cold: Royals are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Royals are 0-5 in their last 5 road games.
Cold: Royals are 1-6 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 7-0 in Royals last 7 during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 home games.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 Friday games.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 vs. American League Central.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Royals last 5 Friday games.

Head-to-Head
Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.
Royals are 7-19 in the last 26 meetings in Detroit.
Royals are 6-16 in the last 22 meetings.

Pick: Royals +1.5 +105


Cleveland (Cantillo) at Tampa Bay (McClanahan) – 7:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Guardians are 6-0 in Cantillo’s last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.
Hot: Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
Cold: Guardians are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. American League East.
Cold: Guardians are 2-9 in their last 11 games on fieldturf.
Cold: Rays are 1-4 in their last 5 games following a loss.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Cantillo’s last 5 starts vs. American League East.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 road games.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Rays last 4 home games.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 Friday games.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Tampa Bay.

Pick: Guardians +122


Toronto (Yesavage) at Boston (Sandoval) – 7:15 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Red Sox are 8-0 in their last 8 Friday games.
Hot: Red Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games following an off day.
Cold: Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cold: Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cold: Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 road games.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 on grass.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Blue Jays are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Boston.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
Blue Jays are 23-9 in the last 32 meetings in Boston.

Pick: Blue Jays +111

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Houston (Arrighetti) at Chicago White Sox (Martin) – 7:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: White Sox are 8-0 in their last 8 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: White Sox are 4-0 in Martin’s last 4 starts vs. American League West.
Hot: Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Cold: Astros are 0-6 in Arrighetti’s last 6 starts.
Cold: Astros are 0-6 in Arrighetti’s last 6 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cold: Astros are 0-6 in Arrighetti’s last 6 starts on grass.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 7-0-2 in Arrighetti’s last 9 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 7-0 in Martin’s last 7 home starts.
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Astros last 5 vs. American League Central.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Martin’s last 4 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Arrighetti’s last 4 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Pick: White Sox -1.5 +145


Seattle (Miller) at Texas (Gore) – 8:05 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Mariners are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Rangers are 5-1 in their last 6 games following a loss.
Hot: Rangers are 5-1 in Gore’s last 6 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cold: Rangers are 1-7 in Gore’s last 8 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cold: Mariners are 1-7 in their last 8 road games.
Cold: Mariners are 1-7 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 7-0 in Rangers last 7 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Over is 4-0-3 in Miller’s last 7 Friday starts.
Hot: Over is 6-0 in Rangers last 6 vs. American League West.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Rangers last 5 Friday games.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Gore’s last 5 starts on grass.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Texas.
Mariners are 21-9 in the last 30 meetings.
Cold: Mariners are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Texas.

Pick: Mariners -115


Athletics (Lopez) at Minnesota (Matthews) – 8:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: A’s are 6-0 in Lopez’s last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: A’s are 9-1 in Lopez’s last 10 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Twins are 5-1 in Matthews’ last 6 Friday starts.
Cold: A’s are 0-7 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: A’s are 0-7 in their last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cold: A’s are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. American League Central.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Twins last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Twins last 5 games following a win.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in A’s last 5 Friday games.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in A’s last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 home games.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

Head-to-Head
Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.
A’s are 7-19 in the last 26 meetings.

Pick: A’s +125

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NY Yankees (Warren) at Philadelphia (Luzardo) – 6:45 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Phillies are 7-0 in Luzardo’s last 7 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Phillies are 5-0 in Luzardo’s last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
Hot: Phillies are 4-0 in Luzardo’s last 4 interleague starts.
Cold: Yankees are 1-7 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cold: Yankees are 1-6 in Warren’s last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Phillies are 1-5 in their last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 8-0-1 in Yankees last 9 interleague road games.
Hot: Over is 7-0 in Warren’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Phillies last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Luzardo’s last 5 starts vs. American League East.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Luzardo’s last 5 Friday starts.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Hot: Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings in Philadelphia.
Yankees are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.

Pick: Yankees +120


Atlanta (Holmes) at Baltimore (Rogers) – 7:05 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 Friday games.
Hot: Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
Cold: Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Cold: Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague home games.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Braves last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 Friday games.
Hot: Under is 12-2 in Orioles last 14 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 6-1 in Braves last 7 overall.
Hot: Over is 6-1 in Braves last 7 interleague games.
Hot: Over is 6-1 in Braves last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 7-0-1 in the last 8 meetings in Baltimore.
Hot: Under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings.
Cold: Braves are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings.

Pick: Orioles -113


LA Angels (Rodriguez) at San Francisco (Webb) – 10:15 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Giants are 13-3 in Webb’s last 16 starts vs. American League West.
Giants are 45-18 in their last 63 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Giants are 12-5 in their last 17 vs. American League West.
Cold: Giants are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague games.
Cold: Giants are 0-5 in their last 5 overall.
Cold: Giants are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 9-0 in Angels last 9 overall.
Hot: Under is 9-0 in Angels last 9 on grass.
Hot: Under is 7-0 in Angels last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 4-0-3 in Webb’s last 7 interleague starts.
Hot: Over is 6-0 in Webb’s last 6 Friday starts.
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Angels last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.

Head-to-Head
Angels are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
Angels are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings in San Francisco.

Pick: Giants -1.5 +130