Friday’s MLB Baseball Free Picks & Predictions [7/17/26]

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**All plays are Listed Pitchers and trends are courtesy of Don Best Sports and are through 7/16/26**


Miami (Alcantara) at Milwaukee (Henderson) – 7:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 games following an off day.
Hot: Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cold: Brewers are 0-4 in their last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cold: Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 games on grass.
Cold: Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 overall.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 vs. National League Central.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 13-3 in Marlins last 16 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 4-1-1 in Brewers last 6 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 home games.

Pick: Brewers -1.5 +140


Cincinnati (Singer) at Colorado (Hughes) – 8:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Rockies are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Reds are 8-2 in Singer’s last 10 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Hot: Rockies are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
Cold: Reds are 0-6 in Singer’s last 6 road starts.
Cold: Reds are 0-5 in Singer’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
Cold: Reds are 0-5 in Singer’s last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 7-0-1 in Singer’s last 8 road starts.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Rockies last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Rockies last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 9-1 in Reds last 10 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 on grass.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Reds are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Colorado.
Reds are 19-7 in the last 26 meetings.
Over is 12-5-1 in the last 18 meetings in Colorado.

Pick: Rockies -112


St Louis (ACTION) at Arizona (Kelly) – 9:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Diamondbacks are 6-0 in their last 6 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Hot: Cardinals are 6-0 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
Hot: Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Hot: Cardinals are 5-1 in their last 6 games following an off day.
Cold: Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 games following an off day.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 11-1 in Cardinals last 12 vs. National League West.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Under is 9-2-1 in Diamondbacks last 12 vs. National League Central.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 on grass.

Head-to-Head
Cold: Cardinals are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings in Arizona.
Cold: Cardinals are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings.

Pick: Cardinals -114

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Tampa Bay (Jax) at Boston (Bennett) – 1:35 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Red Sox are 9-0 in their last 9 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Red Sox are 9-0 in their last 9 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cold: Rays are 0-6 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Cold: Rays are 1-4 in Jax’s last 5 road starts.
Cold: Rays are 1-4 in Jax’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Red Sox last 4 home games.
Hot: Under is 10-2 in Red Sox last 12 games as a home underdog.
Hot: Over is 5-1-1 in Red Sox last 7 games as a favorite.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Rays last 6 games following an off day.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Rays are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Under is 18-7-1 in the last 26 meetings in Boston.
Rays are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings in Boston.

Pick: Rays +111


Tampa Bay (Undecided) at Boston (Undecided) – 7:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 Friday games.
Hot: Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League East.
Hot: Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 Friday games.
Hot: Red Sox are 10-1 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Rays are 8-1 in their last 9 second games of a double-header.
Red Sox are 7-19 in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Red Sox last 4 home games.
Hot: Under is 6-1-1 in Red Sox last 8 during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Over is 6-1 in Red Sox last 7 second games of a double-header.
Hot: Under is 12-3-2 in Rays last 17 during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 on grass.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 overall.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Rays are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Under is 18-7-1 in the last 26 meetings in Boston.
Rays are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings in Boston.

Pick: Check back later…


Chicago White Sox (Kay) at Toronto (Miles) – 7:15 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games following an off day.
Hot: White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Blue Jays are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cold: Blue Jays are 1-7 in their last 8 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cold: Blue Jays are 1-6 in their last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cold: White Sox are 1-5 in Kay’s last 6 road starts.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games following an off day.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Kay’s last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 overall.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 games following a loss.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.

Head-to-Head
Hot: White Sox are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Under is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings in Toronto.
Under is 14-6-1 in the last 21 meetings.
White Sox are 3-9 in the last 12 meetings in Toronto.

Pick: White Sox +118

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Baltimore (Kremer) at Houston (Lambert) – 8:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
Hot: Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Cold: Astros are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Astros are 5-17 in their last 22 games following an off day.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 games following an off day.
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Astros last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Astros last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Astros last 4 on grass.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Astros last 4 overall.
Hot: Under is 9-1 in Orioles last 10 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Head-to-Head
Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.
Orioles are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings in Houston.

Pick: Orioles -105


Detroit (Melton) at LA Angels (Detmers) – 9:38 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Tigers are 6-0 in their last 6 games following an off day.
Hot: Tigers are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
Hot: Tigers are 4-0 in Melton’s last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cold: Angels are 0-6 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Cold: Angels are 1-8 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: Angels are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 vs. American League Central.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Melton’s last 4 starts on grass.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Melton’s last 4 starts overall.
Hot: Over is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 on grass.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.

Pick: CLICK HERE


LA Dodgers (Sasaki) at NY Yankees (Cole) – 7:05 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League West.
Hot: Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Hot: Dodgers are 15-3 in their last 18 games following a loss.
Cold: Yankees are 1-7 in their last 8 home games.
Cold: Yankees are 1-5 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Yankees are 3-7 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 interleague games.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 Friday games.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in New York.
Dodgers are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
Dodgers are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in New York.

Pick: Dodgers -111

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Pittsburgh (Jones) at Cleveland (Williams) – 7:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Pirates are 8-0 in Jones’ last 8 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Pirates are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. American League Central.
Hot: Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cold: Pirates are 0-5 in their last 5 Friday games.
Cold: Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Guardians are 2-6 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Guardians last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Guardians last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 games following a win.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 overall.

Head-to-Head
Cold: Pirates are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings.
Pirates are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings in Cleveland.

Pick: Guardians -125


Texas (Quantrill) at Atlanta (Sale) – 7:15 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Rangers are 7-0 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Rangers are 6-0 in their last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Rangers are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cold: Braves are 0-4 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cold: Braves are 1-4 in Sale’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Rangers are 1-4 in their last 5 games following a win.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Sale’s last 6 Friday starts.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Rangers last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Rangers last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 3-0-2 in Sale’s last 5 home starts.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 Friday games.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 Friday games.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Rangers are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Hot: Over is 12-2-2 in the last 16 meetings.
Hot: Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings in Atlanta.

Pick: Braves -1.5 -103


Minnesota (Ober) at Chicago Cubs (Rea) – 8:05 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Hot: Cubs are 9-2 in their last 11 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Twins are 9-2 in their last 11 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cold: Cubs are 0-4 in Rea’s last 4 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cold: Cubs are 1-4 in Rea’s last 5 interleague starts.
Cold: Cubs are 1-4 in Rea’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0-2 in Rea’s last 7 interleague starts.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Rea’s last 5 home starts.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 interleague home games.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 overall.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.
Twins are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Chicago.

Pick: Twins +121

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San Diego (King) at Kansas City (Lugo) – 8:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Royals are 4-0 in Lugo’s last 4 interleague starts.
Padres are 12-4 in King’s last 16 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Royals are 6-2 in their last 8 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: Royals are 0-9 in Lugo’s last 9 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Cold: Royals are 0-7 in Lugo’s last 7 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cold: Royals are 0-5 in their last 5 overall.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0 in King’s last 6 interleague starts.
Hot: Under is 6-0 in King’s last 6 Friday starts.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in King’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Lugo’s last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in King’s last 4 starts vs. American League Central.

Head-to-Head
Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Kansas City.

Pick: Padres -110


Washington (Cavalli) at Athletics (Jump) – 9:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
Hot: Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
Cold: A’s are 0-6 in their last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cold: A’s are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: A’s are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0 in A’s last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 overall.
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 interleague games.
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 on grass.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in A’s last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Head-to-Head
Over is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings in Athletics.
Nationals are 3-9 in the last 12 meetings in Athletics.

Pick: A’s -105


San Francisco (Roupp) at Seattle (Miller) – 10:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Mariners are 6-1 in their last 7 home games.
Hot: Mariners are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Mariners are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague home games.
Cold: Giants are 0-7 in Roupp’s last 7 road starts.
Cold: Giants are 0-6 in Roupp’s last 6 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cold: Mariners are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague games.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Roupp’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Mariners last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 interleague games.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Giants last 4 interleague road games.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Roupp’s last 4 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings in Seattle.
Hot: Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Hot: Giants are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Pick: Giants +139