Dolphins vs Jets Spread, Trends and Free Pick – October 17th, 2011 ]]> include($base_url . “/includes/header.htm”); ?>
The point spread for Monday Night’s AFC East contest between the Miami Dolphins and New York Jets opened up at -7 on Tuesday afternoon in favor of the Jets at Bodog Sportsbook. As of Sunday night, the line has not moved off 7. The total opened up at 43 and has moved down to 42.5. Right now, 63% of the betting public is on New York and 66% are on the over. To help you better decide who to bet, take a look at these trends for tonight.
Dolphins are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games on fieldturf.
Dolphins are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games in October.
Jets are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games in October.
Jets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Monday games.
Under is 4-1 in Dolphins last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 8-2 in Dolphins last 10 road games.
Over is 4-1 in Jets last 5 games on fieldturf.
Over is 22-7 in Jets last 29 games overall.
Dolphins are 6-18-2 ATS in their last 26 meetings.
Road team is 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
My Prediction: The Jets finally return home after losing 3 straight on the road and not looking real good in the process. They have been outgained in those three loses by an average of 365-281 yards. Matt Moore will get the start at QB for Miami, replacing the injured Chad Henne. In 23 career games, Moore has thrown 18 interceptions. The Dolphins were only averaging 17 points a game with Henne. I don’t think they’ll improve that much with Moore. The Jets desperately need this win. While I don’t like the Jets offense, I think their defense will cause enough chaos and turnovers to give Mark Sanchez good field position and an easy win tonight.