Dodgers vs Pirates Preview & Free Pick | Prediction [6/5/18]

LA Dodgers (29-30) at Pittsburgh (30-29)
When: Tuesday, June 5th 2018
Where: PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
Time: 7:05 ET | TV: SportsNet LA, AT&T SportsNet Pittsburgh
Opening Odds: Los Angeles -110/8.5 


The Los Angeles Dodgers and Pittsburgh Pirates have almost identical records, but the trend each team is on couldn’t be different right now. They will begin a three-game series at PNC Park on Tuesday night with a pair of right-handed pitchers who have combined to allow 10 earned runs in 62.1 innings this season – Ross Stripling and Joe Musgrove. The Dodgers swept three games at Colorado to begin their six-game road trip and are 13-4 over a 17-game stretch that has them only two games out of first place in the National League West. They scored 33 runs against the Rockies – blasting three home runs in each game – while extending their road winning streak to seven. The Pirates are trending in the other direction with 12 setbacks in their last 16 games after a 5-0 shutout loss to the St. Louis Cardinals on Sunday in which Pittsburgh did not get its first hit until the ninth inning off Michael Wacha. The Pirates are now just a game above .500 and are 6.5 games back of Milwaukee in the NL Central. Pirates OF Austin Meadows had one of his team’s two hits Sunday and is batting .392 through his first 15 games in the majors. The Dodgers won six of seven meetings last year, including three of four at PNC Park.

Pitchers: Dodgers – Ross Stripling (3-1, 1.68 ERA) | Pirates – Joe Musgrove (2-0, 0.64)

Stripling has been a pleasant surprise for the injury-plagued Dodger staff, going 3-1 with a 2.18 ERA in six starts overall and 3-0 with a 0.92 mark over his last three. He pitched a season-high seven innings and struck out nine in an 8-2 victory over the Philadelphia Phillies on Wednesday. Stripling is 0-1 with a 4.91 ERA in three career matchups (one start) against the Pirates and will be making his first start at PNC.

The Dodgers went 6-1 against Pittsburgh in 2017 and will be meeting for the first time this season.


Musgrove will be making his third start of the season and the first two went very well. He had a scoreless outing in his season debut May 25th against the Cardinals before limiting the Chicago Cubs to a run in seven innings during a 2-1 win Wednesday. He worked around seven hits and four walks in that outing while bumping his pitch count to 100 and will be facing the Dodgers for the first time.

The Dodgers went on a ridiculous run over 50+ games last season en route to a World Series appearance and are playing similar ball right now. I don’t see this run lasting that long, but I do see them extending their seven-game road winning streak to eight with a win in Pittsburgh Tuesday.

Pick: Dodgers -122


BETTING TRENDS:

  • Dodgers are 7-0 in their last 7 road games.
  • Dodgers are 8-0 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
  • Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
  • Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 games on grass.
  • Dodgers are 83-33 in their last 116 games following a win.
  • Dodgers are 70-28 in their last 98 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Dodgers are 70-29 in their last 99 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Dodgers are 39-19 in their last 58 Tuesday games.
  • Dodgers are 3-7 in their last 10 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Dodgers are 2-5 in their last 7 games following an off day.
  • Dodgers are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. National League Central.
  • Dodgers are 6-0 in Stripling’s last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
  • Dodgers are 5-1 in Stripling’s last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Dodgers are 4-1 in Stripling’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Dodgers are 2-5 in Stripling’s last 7 road starts.
  • Dodgers are 1-4 in Stripling’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Dodgers are 1-4 in Stripling’s last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Pirates are 7-3 in their last 10 games following an off day.
  • Pirates are 16-7 in their last 23 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Pirates are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Pirates are 2-7 in their last 9 overall.
  • Pirates are 2-7 in their last 9 games on grass.
  • Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. National League West.
  • Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 home games.
  • Pirates are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Pirates are 0-4 in their last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Over is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 road games.
  • Over is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Under is 11-2-1 in Dodgers last 14 vs. National League Central.
  • Over is 5-1-1 in Dodgers last 7 overall.
  • Over is 5-1-1 in Dodgers last 7 on grass.
  • Over is 5-1-2 in Dodgers last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Over is 5-1-1 in Dodgers last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 4-1-1 in Dodgers last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 8-2-2 in Dodgers last 12 Tuesday games.
  • Over is 4-1-1 in Dodgers last 6 games following a win.
  • Over is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 6-2-1 in Dodgers last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Over is 5-2-2 in Dodgers last 9 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-2 in Dodgers last 7 during game 1 of a series.
  • Under is 6-0-1 in Stripling’s last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
  • Under is 3-0-1 in Stripling’s last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-1-1 in Stripling’s last 7 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-1 in Stripling’s last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-1-1 in Stripling’s last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-1-1 in Stripling’s last 6 road starts.
  • Under is 16-4-2 in Stripling’s last 22 starts overall.
  • Under is 15-4-2 in Stripling’s last 21 starts on grass.
  • Under is 6-2 in Stripling’s last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 3-0-1 in Pirates last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 overall.
  • Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 on grass.
  • Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 games following a loss.
  • Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Over is 9-3 in Pirates last 12 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Over is 6-2 in Pirates last 8 vs. National League West.
  • Under is 11-4-4 in Pirates last 19 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
  • Over is 5-2 in Pirates last 7 games following an off day.
  • Over is 12-5-4 in Pirates last 21 during game 1 of a series.
  • Under is 41-20-3 in Pirates last 64 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Dodgers are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
  • Dodgers are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Pittsburgh.
  • Over is 38-17 in the last 55 meetings in Pittsburgh.

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