Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Preview, Odds, Trends, & Free Pick [7/27/17]

Arizona (58-43) at St Louis (50-51)
When: Thursday, July 27th 2017
Where: Busch Stadium, St Louis, MO
Time: 7:15 ET | TV: FSN Arizona, FSN Midwest
Opening Odds: St Louis -115/9

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The Arizona Diamondbacks begin a tough ten-game road trip with the first of four against the St. Louis Cardinals on Thursday night at Busch Stadium. Arizona, who is just 22-25 away from Chase Field (36-18), took two of three from the Atlanta Braves to begin the week, scoring ten runs in each of their two victories. Acquired from Detroit last week, J.D. Martinez recorded his third multi-homer game of the season and increased his series total to seven RBIs following Wednesday’s 10-3 victory over Atlanta. Paul Goldschmidt also had a productive series against Atlanta, going 5-for-9 with three doubles, two RBIs and four runs scored after a 2-for-17 effort with 11 strikeouts in his previous five games. Jake Lamb is currently not producing over his last four games with an 0-for-11 skid and five strikeouts. The Cardinals have rebounded from a poor stretch at Busch Stadium to win five in a row at home including a three-game sweep of Colorado to start the week. Paul DeJong smashed his fourth homer in five games in Wednesday’s 10-5 victory over the Rockies, improving to 9-for-26 with nine RBIs and five runs scored during his six-game hitting streak. Outfielder Randal Grichuk is also swinging a hot sick with four homers, seven RBIs and six runs scored during his six-game hitting streak.

Pitchers: Diamondbacks – Zack Godley (3-4, 3.32 ERA) | Cardinals – Luke Weaver (0-0, 0.00)

Zack Godley has been solid all season, but is winless in his last four starts after a no-decision against the Washington Nationals on Friday in which he allowed four runs in 5.2 innings. Godley struck out a career-high 10 batters in that games and has 48 in his last six outings. He had lost his previous three straight decisions, beginning with a setback versus St. Louis despite allowing three runs on two hits in seven innings of a 4-3 defeat. Godley has a 2.54 ERA in night games as compared to 4.55 during the afternoon.

Luke Weaver will receive his first start of the season in place of injured veteran Adam Wainwright (back), who was placed on the 10-day disabled list on Tuesday. Weaver worked three scoreless innings over two relief appearances with the Cardinals earlier this month and was scratched from his scheduled Tuesday start with Triple-A Memphis to get ready for this start. He made eight starts with St. Louis last season and owns a 1.91 ERA over 66 total innings this season.

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Weaver was not very good as a starter with St. Louis last season, allowing seven home runs in just 36 innings while having a very high ERA in nine outings (5.70). Look for Lamb to break out of his mini-slump and get on base for Goldschmidt to do his damage. Godley will be good enough for Arizona to earn a rare victory at Busch Stadium.

Pick: Diamondbacks -105

W/L TRENDS

Arizona
  • Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
  • Diamondbacks are 6-2 in their last 8 Thursday games.
  • Diamondbacks are 9-4 in their last 13 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Diamondbacks are 3-7 in their last 10 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Diamondbacks are 2-7 in their last 9 road games.
  • Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Diamondbacks are 1-5 in their last 6 games following a win.
  • Diamondbacks are 1-5 in their last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Diamondbacks are 6-2 in Godley’s last 8 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Diamondbacks are 5-2 in Godley’s last 7 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
St. Louis
  • Cardinals are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Cardinals are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League West.
  • Cardinals are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Cardinals are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
  • Cardinals are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Cardinals are 8-3 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Cardinals are 5-2 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
  • Cardinals are 5-2 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Cardinals are 6-13 in their last 19 Thursday games.
  • Cardinals are 7-21 in their last 28 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
  • Cardinals are 1-4 in Weaver’s last 5 starts.
  • Cardinals are 1-4 in Weaver’s last 5 starts on grass.

OU TRENDS

Arizona
  • Over is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Over is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 Thursday games.
  • Under is 6-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 8 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Under is 6-2 in Diamondbacks last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 9-3 in Diamondbacks last 12 games following a win.
  • Over is 3-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 during game 1 of a series.
  • Under is 13-5-2 in Diamondbacks last 20 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 5-2 in Diamondbacks last 7 overall.
  • Over is 5-2 in Diamondbacks last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Over is 5-2 in Diamondbacks last 7 on grass.
  • Over is 5-2 in Diamondbacks last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Over is 4-0 in Godley’s last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.
  • Under is 4-1 in Godley’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Under is 5-2 in Godley’s last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-2 in Godley’s last 7 starts on grass.
  • Under is 5-2 in Godley’s last 7 road starts.
  • Under is 5-2 in Godley’s last 7 starts overall.
  • Under is 5-2 in Godley’s last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
St. Louis
  • Under is 9-1-1 in Cardinals last 11 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 5-1-2 in Cardinals last 8 during game 1 of a series.
  • Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 6-2 in Cardinals last 8 games following a win.
  • Over is 6-2-1 in Cardinals last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 5-2 in Cardinals last 7 Thursday games.
  • Under is 5-2 in Cardinals last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 9-4-2 in Cardinals last 15 overall.
  • Under is 9-4-2 in Cardinals last 15 on grass.
  • Over is 9-4-2 in Cardinals last 15 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 11-5-1 in Cardinals last 17 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Under is 5-2 in Weaver’s last 7 starts on grass.
  • Under is 5-2 in Weaver’s last 7 starts overall.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in St. Louis.
  • Diamondbacks are 20-41 in the last 61 meetings.
  • Diamondbacks are 16-35 in the last 51 meetings in St. Louis.

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