Cubs vs Diamondbacks Preview & Free Pick | Prediction [9/17/18]

Chicago Cubs (87-62) at Arizona (78-72)
When: Monday, September 17th 2018
Where: Chase Field,
Phoenix, Arizona

Time: 9:40 ET | TV: WGN, FS Arizona
Opening Odds: Arizona -128/7.5


The Arizona Diamondbacks made a huge push in August to propel themselves into playoff positioning, but the month of September has been a completely different story. Arizona begins the final two-week stretch run with the first of three against the NL Central-leading Chicago Cubs on Monday night. The D’Backs dropped a 5-4 decision to the Houston Astros on Sunday and are now just 4-11 this month and four games behind the Los Angeles Dodgers for the second wild card spot. The Cubs had their three-game winning streak snapped with a 2-1 loss to Cincinnati on Sunday but maintained their 2.5-game lead over Milwaukee in the Central standings with 13 games remaining. Chicago has totaled only 15 runs in its last seven games but are 4-3 over that stretch thanks to strong pitching that includes Monday starter Kyle Hendricks. Cubs’ slugger Kyle Schwarber (back) will not make the trip to Arizona with the team set to face two left-handed starters, but should be ready to go when the team plays cross-town rival the White Sox this coming weekend.

Pitchers: Cubs – Kyle Hendricks (11-11, 3.71 ERA) | Diamondbacks – Patrick Corbin (11-5, 3.05)

Hendricks has been one of the solid starters that is getting little run support lately. He has allowed three earned runs or less in five consecutive outings, posting a 1.80 ERA over that span, but is just 2-2. Hendricks gave up two runs over five innings in a 5-1 setback against the Brewers in his last time out. He is 1-1 with a 3.24 ERA in three career starts against the Diamondbacks.


Patrick Corbin seeks his 12th victory and has been on a bit of a roll himself lately, posting quality starts in seven of his eight outings since the beginning of August, posting a 2.49 ERA during that stretch. Corbin allowed three runs on 10 hits over 6.1 innings in a no-decision at Colorado on Wednesday. He is 5-1 with a 3.68 ERA in seven career games (six starts) against the Cubs.

Arizona is really struggling right now and don’t play well at home, hitting only .242 as a team and .233 versus right-handed pitchers. Hendricks should be able to go toe-to-toe with Corbin in this one and the Cubs pull out a late-inning victory.

Pick: Cubs +120


BETTING TRENDS:

  • Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
  • Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Cubs are 8-2 in their last 10 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Cubs are 7-3 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Cubs are 73-34 in their last 107 games following a loss.
  • Cubs are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Cubs are 2-5 in their last 7 Monday games.
  • Cubs are 4-0 in Hendricks’ last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
  • Cubs are 4-1 in Hendricks’ last 5 road starts.
  • Cubs are 4-1 in Hendricks’ last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
  • Cubs are 4-1 in Hendricks’ last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Cubs are 4-1 in Hendricks’ last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Cubs are 4-1 in Hendricks’ last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Cubs are 7-2 in Hendricks’ last 9 starts.
  • Cubs are 7-2 in Hendricks’ last 9 starts on grass.
  • Cubs are 10-4 in Hendricks’ last 14 starts during game 1 of a series.
  • Cubs are 1-5 in Hendricks’ last 6 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Diamondbacks are 10-4 in their last 14 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
  • Diamondbacks are 12-5 in their last 17 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Diamondbacks are 2-5 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Diamondbacks are 2-5 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
  • Diamondbacks are 5-15 in their last 20 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
  • Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 overall.
  • Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 games on grass.
  • Diamondbacks are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Diamondbacks are 0-4 in their last 4 Monday games.
  • Diamondbacks are 4-0 in Corbin’s last 4 home starts.
  • Diamondbacks are 6-0 in Corbin’s last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Diamondbacks are 7-1 in Corbin’s last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
  • Diamondbacks are 5-2 in Corbin’s last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.
  • Diamondbacks are 7-3 in Corbin’s last 10 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Diamondbacks are 7-3 in Corbin’s last 10 starts.
  • Diamondbacks are 7-3 in Corbin’s last 10 starts on grass.
  • Diamondbacks are 8-20 in Corbin’s last 28 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Diamondbacks are 2-9 in Corbin’s last 11 starts with 4 days of rest.
  • Under is 7-0 in Cubs last 7 overall.
  • Under is 7-0 in Cubs last 7 on grass.
  • Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 road games.
  • Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Under is 20-7 in Cubs last 27 during game 1 of a series.
  • Under is 8-3 in Cubs last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
  • Under is 18-7-2 in Cubs last 27 Monday games.
  • Under is 18-6 in Hendricks’ last 24 starts with 4 days of rest.
  • Under is 22-8 in Hendricks’ last 30 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
  • Under is 11-4-1 in Hendricks’ last 16 starts vs. National League West.
  • Under is 37-14-1 in Hendricks’ last 52 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 18-7-1 in Hendricks’ last 26 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Under is 23-9 in Hendricks’ last 32 starts during game 1 of a series.
  • Under is 37-17 in Hendricks’ last 54 starts on grass.
  • Under is 37-17 in Hendricks’ last 54 starts overall.
  • Under is 35-17-1 in Hendricks’ last 53 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Over is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Over is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games.
  • Under is 8-0 in Diamondbacks last 8 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 Monday games.
  • Over is 7-2 in Diamondbacks last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Over is 8-3 in Diamondbacks last 11 overall.
  • Over is 8-3 in Diamondbacks last 11 on grass.
  • Over is 8-3 in Diamondbacks last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 5-2 in Diamondbacks last 7 games following a loss.
  • Over is 5-2 in Diamondbacks last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 7-3 in Diamondbacks last 10 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-1 in Corbin’s last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
  • Under is 4-1-1 in Corbin’s last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
  • Under is 4-1 in Corbin’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
  • Over is 4-1-1 in Corbin’s last 6 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-1 in Corbin’s last 5 home starts.
  • Under is 4-1 in Corbin’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Under is 6-2 in Corbin’s last 8 Monday starts.
  • Under is 6-2 in Corbin’s last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 15-5 in Corbin’s last 20 starts vs. National League Central.
  • Over is 5-2 in Corbin’s last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 5-2-1 in Corbin’s last 8 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Diamondbacks are 5-1 in Corbin’s last 6 starts vs. Cubs.
  • Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.
  • Cubs are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Arizona.

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