Commanders vs Eagles Preview & Free Pick [November 14th 2022]

Washington (4-5) at Philadelphia (8-0)
When: Monday, November 14th 2022
Where: Lincoln Financial Field,
Philadelphia, PA

Time: 8:15 ET | TV: ESPN
Opening Odds: Philadelphia -10.5/45

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The Philadelphia Eagles will look to continue their dominance of the Washington Commanders when the teams meet to conclude Week 10 on Monday Night Football. The Eagles not only swept the Commanders in 2021, they have already taken the first meeting in 2022. Quarterback Jalen Hurts has guided Philadelphia to 11 consecutive regular season wins, with eight coming to start this season. The Eagles beat the Commanders 24-8 on the road in Week 3 this season, with Hurts passing for 340 yards and three touchdowns, while the defense sacked Carson Wentz nine times. Philly is coming off a mini-bye after defeating the Houston Texans 29-17 last Thursday night and this will be their fourth prime time game of the year with at least one more scheduled.

They will take on a Washington team that saw their three-game winning streak snapped in a tough 20-17 setback to the Minnesota Vikings in Week 9. Quarterback Taylor Heinicke has given the team life since taking over under center. Washington has held a lead at some point in each of the past six games, but are just 3-3 in that span. That included a 17-7 early fourth quarter lead against Minnesota last week, but Heinicke threw a key interception in that final quarter. Linebacker Cole Holcomb (foot) and running back J.D. McKissic (neck) did not practice Thursday for Washington, while wideout Jahan Dotson (hamstring), center Tyler Larsen (back) and linebacker David Mayo (hamstring) were limited. The Eagles are 7-3-1 against the spread in the past 11 meetings.

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Heinicke threw for just 149 yards in last week’s loss to the Vikings with two TDs and a pick. He has five touchdowns and three interceptions on the season. There was an unsportsmanlike conduct penalty by John Ridgeway on the final drive that allowed Minnesota to keep the ball and run 100 more seconds off the clock before the game-winning field goal. The Commanders were able to cover the 3.5-point spread for backers and are now 4-4-1 against the spread this season. Washington’s defense has been doing a better job of late and rank 14th overall (330.7 yards per game allowed) and 11th against the run (113.2). The Under is 4-0 in the Commanders’ last four games against NFC East division teams.

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The Eagles remain the NFL’s lone unbeaten following the win in Houston in Week 9. That is the best start in franchise history, but the team knows they haven’t won anything yet. All 28 teams that started 8-0 in the Super Bowl era have made the playoffs. Fifteen of those teams went on to win their conference and eight won the Super Bowl. Hurts completed 21-of-27 for 243 yards and two scores against Houston and Philly also rushed for 143 yards. The Eagles have scored a touchdown in 70 percent of their red zone visits, good for fourth in the league. On the season, Hurts has 2,042 passing yards and 12 passing touchdowns with only two interceptions. The Eagles are second overall with 28.1 points per game and fourth with 16.9 points allowed per contest. The only players on Philadelphia’s injury report Thursday were cornerbacks Josh Jobe and Avonte Maddox, who both missed practice. Fellow cornerback Josiah Scott (ankle) was limited.

This is way too many points for a division game. Washington might not be winning games, but they are in just about every one. We’ve seen a ton of big underdogs not only cover games this season, but win. Philly will win this game, but asking them to cover a big spread is hard. I’ll take the points.

Week 10 NFL Staff Selections

Pick: Commanders +11


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