Indianapolis (5-6) at NY Jets (3-8)
When: Monday, December 5th 2016
Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
Time: 8:30 ET | TV: ESPN
The Indianapolis Colts look to keep pace in the AFC South when they visit the New York Jets for a Monday night showdown. The Colts can tie both Houston and Tennessee for the division lead with a victory tonight and they’ll have quarterback Andrew Luck back under center after missing last week’s game with a concussion. Backup Scott Tolzien (two interceptions) struggled in a 28-7 loss to Pittsburgh last week on Thanksgiving night. Luck’s most trusted weapon is T.Y. Hilton (NFL fifth-best 942 receiving yards), who is expected to play on Monday despite sustaining a back injury against the Steelers. Wide receiver Donte Moncrief hauled in a season high-tying six receptions last week and scored in his fourth straight game, although his yardage total (178) in that span doesn’t make him a deep threat. Veteran RB Frank Gore has struggled in each of the last two games with just 78 yards on 33 carries, but he needs just 30 yards rushing to move past Hall of Famer Tony Dorsett (12,739) for eighth on the NFL’s all-time list. Indianapolis is ranked 30th in total defense (395.0) and 28th in points allowed (27.4).
The Jets have lost three in a row and now sit comfortably in the bottom of the AFC East basement. Veteran Ryan Fitzpatrick threw for two touchdowns in a 22-17 loss to New England on Sunday and did the same in a 20-7 victory over Indianapolis in the last meeting in September of 2015. Brandon Marshall caught his first touchdown pass since Week 5 on Sunday and looks to continue to torment the Colts, against whom he has 37 catches for 420 yards and four TDs in the last three meetings. The veteran wide receiver is expected to be matched up against former Dolphins teammate Vontae Davis despite nursing knee and foot injuries that kept him out of practice this week. New York will look to take advantage of the Colts’ 23rd-ranked run defense (116.3 yards per game) with veteran Matt Forte, who has 508 yards from scrimmage and five touchdowns (four rushing, one receiving) in the past five games. The Jets have failed to force a turnover in the last three games and have only nine takeaways this season, but are stout against the run (85.9.
The Jets are playing for pride right now and with the Colts in the playoff hunt, it should give New York a little motivation at home on a Monday night. For all that Luck has accomplished, he has been terrible against the Jets. He is 0-2 with one touchdown and five interceptions while being sacked four times. I think the Jets win this contest tonight.
Pick: Jets +2