College Football Preview and Picks – Week 7 ]]> include($base_url . “/includes/header.htm”); ?>
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By UltimateCapper.com Contributing Writer, Mike Ivcic
Four more unbeatens bit the dust last week, opening the door even wider for one-loss teams like Virginia Tech, Oregon, Southern Cal, and Ohio State to possibly re-enter the national championship discussion. As it stands now, four of the six BCS conferences (Big Ten, Big East, SEC, and Big 12) can produce an undefeated team, and the lone chance in the Big Ten is Iowa, who still has to visit Columbus. In all likelihood, that will be a loss, but without assuming that, there are five possible scenarios that remain for this season.
1. Three or more undefeated BCS teams – The worst possible situation, where either the Big Ten or Big East joins the SEC and Big 12 winners as finishing 12-0 or 13-0. I find it difficult to see anything other than a Big 12-SEC championship game, meaning one or both of the other conferences will be livid (see: Auburn, 2003).
2. Three or more undefeated teams, only two BCS – This one is probably the most likely scenario of all. Only two teams from BCS schools go undefeated, but either Boise State or TCU (or both) also run the table. There’s a distinct scenario here where Boise State, TCU, Iowa, and Cincinnati all win their conferences without a loss, while USC, Virginia Tech, Florida, and Texas all win their conferences with 1-loss. Would you want to decide between those eight teams with those eight records which two get to go to Pasadena?
3. Two undefeated teams, only one BCS – Boise State OR TCU wins out, and either Florida, Alabama, Texas, Kansas, Iowa, Cincinnati, OR South Florida wins out. It might not be the prettiest thing in the world, but if there are only two unbeatens remaining when it all plays out, regardless of conference affiliation, I think those two will likely be playing for the national title this year.
4. One undefeated team, BCS – This is the second likely scenario, where only one team goes undefeated and it’s from a BCS school. That school would almost definitely be in, and teams like Florida, Alabama, Texas, Virginia Tech, Oregon, Southern Cal, and Ohio State could all be clamoring for that number 2 spot in the final poll.
5. One undefeated team, non-BCS – Exactly as above, except the undefeated team is Boise State or TCU. All that does is add to the pool of teams competing for the number 2 spot.
6. No undefeated teams – And the BCS totally collapses in on itself. After all, what happens if Oklahoma beats Texas this week, knocks off an undefeated Kansas team the following week, continues on to beat Nebraska and Oklahoma State and then beats either Missouri, Kansas, or Nebraska again to win the Big 12. With an 11-2 record that includes all of those wins, a caveat to the opening-season loss to BYU, and no undefeated programs in the country, would it be THAT absurd to see the disaster known as the BCS kick out Oklahoma as the number two team in the country?
The answer to that, by the way, is no. So root for some undefeated teams, will you?
Anyway, as promised, here again is the list of the remaining undefeated teams, as well as their conference affiliation:
With a bit of a longer column this week, here are my abbreviated five games for this week.
1. #20 Oklahoma vs #3 Texas in Dallas, TX
2. #11 Iowa @ Wisconsin
3. #6 Southern Cal @ #25 Notre Dame
4. #4 Virginia Tech @ #19 Georgia Tech
5. #22 South Carolina @ #2 Alabama
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